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PFPC by Boris Stremlin 12 May 2003 08:55 UTC |
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> I agree with Warren Wagar on two points. First, any > political movement, regardless of its beliefs or > agenda, has an organizational center (or a > vanguard). > I also agree that power politics is here to stay for > the foreseeable future (though its form may undergo > drastic changes). It is precisely because I agree > with these two points that I remain puzzled by the > bulk of the "Peoples Century" project as laid out by > Warren Wagar. First of all, the onset of the > electronic era and the internet notwithstanding, he > himself recognizes the "chief initiative" will have > to > be taken by certain countries (in the > semiperiphery). > I would add that countries taking chief initiative > also employ factories, use currency issued by > central > banks and deploy armies, all three of which are > located in geographically situated entities, and not > on the internet. It has also been pointed out (by > e.g. Randall Collins) that "live" interaction will > continue to be key in forming intellectual > movements. > In light of all this, regional realities will > continue > to crucially effect the way in which particular > countries conduct themselves in the ongoing process > of > systemic transformation. I am not convinced by > Chase-Dunn's location of centrality in an amorphous > semi-periphery - it seems to me far more likely that > the lead in equalizing global power and wealth will > be > taken by countries such as China and India, because > they are already politically centralized, and > because > of their central geopolitical location (there are > important extraterritorial agents, but they are also > regionally situated.) And it is far from clear to > me > that movements centered in China and India (or any > other country that can help it) will be willing to > cede their sovereignty to any global entity (unless > such sovereignty is institutionalized in a way which > allows them to excercise hegemony in their own > right). > > > Since Chase-Dunn has been invoked, I should note > that > he (and Thomas Hall) explicitly disagree with Warren > Wagar's focus on instituting a centralized global > state > in the breach left by the collapse of the current > system, and leaving the setting up of decentralized > structures until later. They see this strategy as > neither practicable nor desireable. While some sort > of global structure will probably be necessary, any > move in this regard will have to be accompanied by > decentralization, precisely because no state, no > matter how benign, will tolerate treason, and > because > the definition of treason will probably be quite > fluid > in the revolutionary conditions Warren Wagar > describes. I have little faith in such a state > "withering away" on its own (even given some measure > of success), because the study of world-empires > (admittedly very flimsy to date) suggests that such > structures can be very long-lived. In fact, > continued > improvements in computer and genetic technology will > probably increase its longevity. Conversely, > renewed > revolutions to remove corrupt post-revolutionary > elites will continue to threaten the planet with > physical destruction. It is quite likely that the > dangers of a world-state (with or without democratic > pretentions) will outweigh its benefits. > > However long the current transition takes, it seems > to > me unwise to focus all energies on a particular > temporality and a particular blue-print of what we > "all" want the world to look like. Warren Wagar has > for many years stressed the "will to agree". It is > at > least equally as important to outline the far more > numerous areas in which we can agree to disagree > without blowing each other to bits (in other words, > to > parcelling out, rather than absolutizing, > sovereignty). Part of utopistics will be centered > around the construction of institutions which will > allow us to manage such disagreements in the most > democratic way possible. > > > I ask: > > > > Any suggestions as to where the "well integrated > > planet-wide movement of progressive forces" would > be > > headquartered? > > Thanks to the wonders of the electronic era, it > would not have to be > headquartered anywhere. I think Chris Chase-Dunn is > probably correct in > his feeling that the chief initiative would be taken > by various people in the > semiperipheral countries, but to be successful it > would need extensive > support from many inhabitants of core and peripheral > countries as well. > > > Of what groups/individuals will the > > organizational center/vanguard be composed? > > We all know the Braudelian phrase "la longue > duree." The duration of > the modern world-system is not knowable, but I fear > that it will persist for > several more decades, at the very least. Perhaps > even > for a century or two, > if the already well-stretched natural resources of > our > planet allow. > Speculation about the composition of the > "center/vanguard" is futile. I am > only reasonably sure that there will be a > "center/vanguard." Hundreds of > millions of people cannot talk and listen to one > another simultaneously. A > few people here and there have to acquire the > respect > and confidence of the > rest to build a consensus and coordinate action. > > > How shall > > it be funded, given the unicameral set-up of the > world > > government (considering the richer countries are > > unlikely to be interested)? Relatedly, how will > the > > UN be made into democratic world-government, > > considering that all power resides with the highly > > undemocratic Security Council? > > I do not see any possibility of funding such > a > movement or transforming > the present-day United Nations into a democratic > world-government any time > soon. We can publish all the progressive > declarations > we like. The fact > remains that the overwhelming majority of human > beings > at the beginning of > the 21st Century think only in terms of the > self-interest of given national, > ethnic, corporate, and/or religious entities (at > best--when they are not > thinking still more narrowly in terms of their > individual self-interest). > The only imaginable circumstance that could prompt > large numbers of human > beings to forswear these segmental allegiances is > the > catastrophic breakdown > of the world-system itself--chaos bred by war, > economic collapse, > environmental challenge, whatever. I am not being > cynical. I think it is > perfectly understandable that people cling to the > institutions and mores > that frame and sustain their daily lives. The > problem > is that the modern > world-system, despite its short-run virtues, is an > inherently unstable and > unjust contrivance that will almost certainly > self-destruct. When and if it > does, will enough of us be ready to work in concert > to > replace it? > > > Assuming this problem > > is somehow taken care of, how will such a UN > proceed > > to "disarm national military establishments and > > dispossess corporate oligarchs"? > > > "Such a UN" will not proceed. Only a > planet-wide > revolution, programmed > and timed to seize the initiative in the wake of > catastrophe, can create a > radically different United Nations with the resolve, > === message truncated === __________________________________ Do you Yahoo!? The New Yahoo! Search - Faster. Easier. Bingo. http://search.yahoo.com
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