Re: Kondratieff

>>> <wwagar@binghamton.edu> 04/09/03 04:08am >>>

>       I have a question.  Ken says that the world-economy has been
>depressed for the past 3 decades.  The general understanding among
>world-systems people is that the world-economy entered a B-wave in the
>Kondratieff cycle as early as 1968, and no later than the early 1970s.
>Are we still riding that B-wave, 35 years down the road?  Isn't this a
>longish time, and can anybody reasonably forecast the arrival of an A-wave
>any time soon?  Or is Kondratieff no longer working?

If the next A wave is centered in China, it could already be under way.  If 
that is 
the case, is this about the right time for ... just hypothetically speaking of 
course ... 
a period of war and international upheaval?

Bruce R. McFarling, Newcastle Graduate School of Business
UNCLE, Australia