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The New York Times: The Annotated Edition by Threehegemons 30 September 2002 03:23 UTC |
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<<Firing Back From Iraq September 29, 2002 By PATRICK E. TYLER >> Always recall that newspapers work on a strict vertical principle. The Headline, and the tone it sets, is most important, followed by the first paragraph, the second, etc. Below I offer some comments on this story, along with translations of particularly obscure passages. <<WASHINGTON, Sept. 28 - Iraq's rejection of any new United Nations resolution that toughens the terms of disarmament appeared calculated to widen the gap dividing the United States and Britain from the other big powers at the United Nations as they were struggling to find a common approach to confront Saddam Hussein.>> Translation: Iraq has already surrendered to the principle of UN weapons inspectors. It hopes France, Russia, and China will understand this. <<But if it stands as Iraq's last word, this refusal could also mark the beginning of the transition from diplomacy to war in the Persian Gulf, as President Bush and Prime Minister Tony Blair were already wheeling their military forces to higher states of readiness.>> Trans: The Bush administration is praying both that France, Russia and China will agree to what amounts to demanding that Iraq completely surrender its sovereignty, and that, should this actually occur, Iraq does not foil their plan by going along with the new resolution. The Bushies undoubtedly recall that this strategy worked (more or less) when the US wanted to wage war against Yugoslavia. <<The verbal blast from two of Mr. Hussein's top aides, Vice President Taha Yassin Ramadan and Deputy Prime Minister Tariq Aziz, made it apparent that Mr. Hussein was seeking to disrupt the Bush administration's diplomacy as American and British diplomats were engaging in urgent consultations with France, Russia and China. >> Trans: Iraq insisting that it be held to the terms the UN has already defined amounts to a ‘verbal blast’ and disruption. <<But the tactic could backfire. The fiery statements from Baghdad may actually please the Bush administration because Iraqi intransigence will make it easier to argue the case for military action. At the same time, the Iraqi defiance may make it more difficult for critics here and abroad to question the Bush administration's unrelenting campaign to bring the Iraq situation to a head. >> Trans: Bush wants to go to war. So would everyone just shut up already? <<And Mr. Aziz's sober warning that "the assault against Iraq will not be a cakewalk" but rather "a fierce war during which the United States will suffer losses they have never sustained for decades," was timed to exploit the concerns expressed by American political and military figures that the task of removing Mr. Hussein's government could devolve into punishing urban warfare and thousands of American casualties. >> Iraq plans to resist the US when Bush would like an easy win to weaken domestic opposition and justify more wars of conquest: the nerve of some governments! <<The draft resolution was regarded as provocative by a number of European governments, Western diplomats said, and the hope of opposition within the Security Council may have prompted Baghdad's effort to pre-empt the diplomacy before Washington could win over the other permanent members of the Security Council. "That can never fly," a German diplomat said after he learned from the French the basic outline of the draft. Germany joins the Security Council as a non-veto member in January and has strongly opposed war with Iraq. "Even the British have informed the Europeans that they were clearly insisting on a real option for Saddam Hussein," the German diplomat said. "Either there are to be inspections and the destruction of weapons of mass destruction, if they are found, or the destruction of the regime. "But any text," the diplomat said, "must clearly give the impression that there is a real option, not a zero option or something so narrow, in order to take as quickly as possible a decision on military action." >> this quote from a German diplomat appears even further down in the text than you may realize—I’ve edited some of the article out. <<The Iraqis could not have missed the testimony of three retired four-star American generals who issued a series of cautions in testimony to Congress this week.>> Trans: Criticism by retired generals, who one might believe are concerned about the best interests of the US army and government, is giving solace to Saddam. The Bush lackeys who fed this stuff to the Times are pissed. <<Among them was Gen. John P. Hoar, who noted that Mr. Hussein appeared to be preparing for a defense of Baghdad. General Hoar said he feared a "nightmare scenario" of six Iraqi Republican Guard divisions and six additional tank divisions ringed by several thousand antiaircraft guns. "The result would be high casualties on both sides, as well as in the civilian community," he told the Senate Armed Services Committee. "U.S. forces will certainly prevail, but at what cost? And at what cost as the rest of the world watches while we win and have military rounds exploding in densely populated Iraqi neighborhoods?" he asked. >> Also note—the opinions of retired US generals are even less important than those of German diplomats. <<Separately today, Mr. Hussein dispatched his foreign minister, Naji Sabri, to the capital of his old enemy, Iran, seeking an 11th-hour alliance against the United States. Foreign Minister Kamal Kharazi of Iran met Mr. Sabri at the airport and told reporters, "It is absolutely imperative we make serious efforts to prevent a new war in the region, because the region cannot support a new war" that would touch off "insecurity and instability." Saudi officials have signaled the Bush administration that they would join an American-led campaign to topple Mr. Hussein as long as it is conducted under the mandate of the United Nations. But one adviser to the Saudi leadership asked after hearing a description of the resolution, "Are they just trying to intimidate him to say no?" >> And of course, Iranians and Arabs are least important, although that quote from an ‘adviser to the Saudi leadership’ is particularly cogent. Steven Sherman http://www.nytimes.com/2002/09/29/international/middleeast/29IRAQ.html?ex=1034266618&ei=1&en=b0e2a95958e0591b
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