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after the Taliban collapse, then what? by Richard N Hutchinson 18 November 2001 21:39 UTC |
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Louis and all- Very interesting comparison of Islamists and Narodniks. However, the more things change, they do not in all respects stay the same. I have argued that the Arquilla et al "Netwar" idea is just hype, and so far I see nothing to refute that -- social movements have long taken the form of networks ("acephalic, segmented and reticulated" as Gerlach & Hine put it way back in 1970, long before the net, or in other words, decentralized, locally based and linked horizontally). BUT, it is also true that networks can extend transnationally more easily than ever before, with more instantaneous communication, facilitated by encryption. So the image of "individualist adventurism" is not at all accurate. It seems quite likely to me that even if the U.S. soon produces Osama bin Laden's "head on a pole," they will have made future terrorist incidents (by their own hypocritical, self-serving definition) more rather than less likely. The polarization of the world system and ever-increasing inequality, combined with technological change and the persistence of ideological "in group-out group" hostilities, of which religious fundamentalism is but one example, is a sure-fire recipe for ongoing conflict, and the "U.S. calvary" cannot stop it. Some medium-range "practical utopia" like the emergence of an EC-centered powerful U.N. (as sketched in Boswell & Chase-Dunn) carrying out with "simultaneity" Gert Kohler's "global Keynesian redistribution" is the only way out. Humane social democracy (which will not occur through thinking nice thoughts) or barbarism. RH
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