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RE: Kondratieff Wave?

by Andrew Wayne Austin

01 February 2000 19:33 UTC


WSN,

The long-swing might have the character of a law if it is recognized that
all laws are covered by ceteris paribus generalizations. Laws as stated
usually work only under ideal conditions, or more precisely, only under
specially, carefully controlled situations in which context is
rationalized.

This is one of the problems of comparing the movement of history
(especially across historical systems) with the physicalist conception of
scientific law: the physicalist position assumes that the covering law
model of explanation is valid.

Given counterveiling forces and different objective frames of reference
this conception of physical laws is problematic. Even in controlled
situations, physical laws are only approximations. Objects fall at 9.8
m/s2 on Earth in a vacuum only on average, and as we all know an average
is not a real thing. And to complicate the matter further, these
approximations attempt to approximate a fluid reality.

Andrew Austin

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