Sviatoslav Zabelin
Goldman Environmental Prize winner-93
Co-chairman of the Council of
Socio-Ecological Union, International
E-mail: svet@glasnet.ru
P.O.Box 211 Moscow 121019 Russia
Dear Sviatoslav,
Thank you very much for your excellent call to action, based on sound
systemic analysis.
You said:
> I feel certain that we simply have no time to wait. We do not
>have years to make critical decisions, only months, and I will repeat
>this sense of urgency a thousand times if it will help.
>...
> I am sure that only a coalition of courageous peoples from
>different sectors, from different countries can give humanity a chance
>not to return to the Dark Ages with its murders, wars and plagues.
I am pleased to inform you that there are people who agree with you, who
have made a similar analysis, and who have launched precisely the coalition
you envision. I sincerely hope you will align your energy and vision with
our initiative. I have taken the libery of subscribing you to our the
coalition's networking list, which includes people from all over the world:
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As a secondary issue, I must differ with part of your analysis. You say...
>In their book "Beyond the Limits" published in 1992 they repeated
>their calculations and confirmed that no significant changes occured
>during the past 20 years and the development of the world economy is
>still coinciding with the computer projections stated in "Limits to
>Growth".
There is a problem with using linear projections in this way, and that is
they discount the ability of those who control the system from responding
intelligently (from their perspective). There _have been significant
changes in the past 20 years, but they have been changes of _political
_control, the consolidation of the reins of power into the hands of the
capitalist elite.
It is not _yet in the interests of the elite to moderate the destructive
impact of traditional capitalist enterprise: it serves the important
purpose of furthering the destabilization of the nation-state world system.
This centuries-old world system is "thesis", globalization is
"antithesis", but "synthesis" is _not, I suggest, to be total systemic
collapse.
There are those who considered the Great Depression of the thirties a
`collapse' and a `disaster', but for the banks who grabbed up agricultural
land at bargain prices, and the warmongers who engineered WW-II out of the
chaos, it served a very useful purpose.
The standard marxist assumption that capitalism must, based on its own
premises, finally collapse, turns out to be also be based on a false linear
extrapolation, and fails to take into account the actual experience of
latter-day capitalism. That latter-day phenomenon is exemplified by the
petroleum industry, which long ago reached its essential global limits.
Instead of collapse, it transitioned from competitive capitalism into
fraternal market collaboration among the seven-sister majors. One might
say the actual capitalist endgame is a return to a kind of feudalism, with
the capitalist elite in the old role held by kings, popes, and landed
aristocracies. The same endgame is now being played out in every major
market segment, under globalization, as market after market comes under the
dominion of cliques of global mega-operators, who only compete marginally.
Finally, allow me to share this recently published article, which you may
find of interest...
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Date: Fri, 24 Apr 1998
From: rkmoore@iol.ie (Richard K. Moore)
To: cyberjournal@cpsr.org
Subject: PPI-017-rkm essay> Destroy & Rebuild -- The story of the global economy
PEOPLES PRESS INTERNATIONAL (PPI)
- a public service of CADRE (Citizens for a Democratic Renaissance) -
Destroy & Rebuild --
The story of the global economy
(c) Richard K. Moore, 1998
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017-rkm-destroy-and-rebuild.txt
------------------------------------------------------------------------
Destroy & Rebuild --
The story of the global economy
(c) Richard K. Moore, 1998
The standard pattern of capitalist development, repeated fractally at
every scale of operations, and througout the past two centuries, is
`Destroy and Rebuild'. You can see this when an area is demolished to
make room for a shopping center. What was a collection of residences,
or whatever, suddenly becomes transformed into a reliable revenue-stream
for the development-investors.
Or a forest with wildlife becomes transformed into a sterile mono-
culture `tree farm', with much higher board-foot per acre per year
yields. Or the Great Plains and Western US, from whence the Indians and
the Buffalo were `cleared' for the grandest single development program
ever undertaken (ie, the USA), prior to globalization itself.
You can see this very same pattern in the former Soviet realm, where
economies and infrastructures are being razed to the ground, forced by
Western intentional policies, overt and covert, so that a new
international-capital friendly regime can be established -- and who
gives a damn about whatever human suffering might occur during the
transition.
`Destroy and Rebuild' applies to plots of land, markets, technologies,
industries, nations, and as well to international arrangements.
Bretton Woods, together with the US gold standard, created an extremely
stable and sound international financial regime in the postwar era --
nothing's ever perfect but that was a damn good job.
A primary characteristic of this system was that nations enjoyed
relatively stable currencies (if their policies were sound) and could
keep control over their economies.
At some point an elite decision was made in capitalist circles that this
regime was insufficiently profitable -- national economic policies were
too restrictive of capital investments by the international investor
community.
There followed a series of destabilizing measures -- the `Destroy'
phase:
- US goes off gold standard
- safe havens for unaccountable financial transactions (in truth
money laundering operations) setup in Bahamas, Panama, and
elsewhere
- erosion, by deep & well-funded lobbying, of regulations on
financial transactions across borders
In fact, this was the beginning of the overt globalization process,
beginning well in advance of the public coming-out-of-the-closet of
neoliberalism, with Reagan and Thatcher as standard bearers, c. 1980.
We are still in the very midst, the climax even, of the `Destroy phase'
regarding the international financial system. As a matter of fact, the
international financial system, under the guidance and with the direct
participation of the elite-controlled IMF, has become a highly tuned
instrument for the destabilization of national and regional economies,
as we have seen in Brazil, Mexico, etc, and most recently in South East
Asia, and soon-to-come in Japan.
What we are seeing is a sequence of search-and-destroy operations being
carried out against any economy which has any quality of local or
regional integrity, which embodies any semblance of local optimization
for local advantage -- the globalization vision is that all econonomies
everywhere lie prone on their backs ready for consentual rape by passing
capital investors -- `competitiveness' means that the nations should
dress-up sexy so as to be more attractive to the capital-investor
community.
These intentional destabilization raids will continue, and when they
cross the Rubicon into the USA and Europe, they will _suddenly be
_perceived (ie, characterized in the media) as a _serious problem that
_something must be done about.
Then pundits will all-at-once realize that a more stable international
financial system is needed and _lo and _behold a plan will be all ready
for adoption! Such wonderful serendipity!
And guess who will administer this marvelous just-in-time solution?
That will be the WTO, or some other acronymical-bureaucracy equally
dominated by `public-spirited staffers' from the TNC sector.
So in the end financial stability will be `rebuilt', as is the standard
final phase of every capitalist development project. We started with a
stable Bretton-Woods, nation-centered regieme, it was `destroyed' by a
sequence of measures, and we'll end up with a `rebuilt' regime which is
elite-centered.
The world economy has been razed so that it can be turned into a
shopping mall for the capitalist elite, where they can conveniently go
shopping for bargains among the world's various `markets', each of whom
is expected to `compete' on the basis of its seductiveness to capital.
rkm
------------------------------------------------------------------------
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