[Fwd: Fwd: War - shock and awe article]

This was forwarded to me.  MS.
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> > Date:         Mon, 17 Mar 2003 09:18:36 -0500
> > Reply-To: "Philosophy, Interpretation, & Culture"
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> > Sender: "Philosophy, Interpretation, & Culture"
> >               <PIC-L@LISTSERV.BINGHAMTON.EDU>
> > From: NATHAN BATALION <batalionn@EARTHLINK.NET>
> > Subject: War - shock and awe article
> > To: PIC-L@LISTSERV.BINGHAMTON.EDU
> >
> > The 20th century was infamous for having the  very highest % of human beings
> > on the planet murdered in warfare, due to the "advancement" of
> > technologies...highest % in the thousands of years of civilization. It seems
> > the ante is still being raised in the 21st - unless we truly advance
> > civilization with technologies of peace.
> > __________________________________
> > Shock and Awe(worth a read..though long!)
> > ___________________________________
> >  "Shock and Awe"
> >
> > Russian Expert Predicts 500,000 Iraqi Dead in War Designed To Test Weapons
> >
> > Rossiyskaya Gazeta in Russian
> >
> > www.globalresearch.ca <http://globalresearch.ca
> >
> > The URL of this article is: http://globalresearch.ca/articles/SLI303A.html
> >
> > Interview with military analyst Vladimir Slipchenko by Aleksandr Khokhlov;
> >
> >
> > Vladimir Slipchenko, is military analyst, doctor of military
> > sciences,professor, and major general of reserves, is a major Russian
> > specialist on future wars.
> >
> > His predictions of the course of US military operations in Iraq(1991,1996,
> > and 1998), Yugoslavia (1999), and Afghanistan (2001)
> > coincided almost 100% with what subsequently happened in reality. Today the
> > military analyst predicts the course and outcome of the next US war against
> > Iraq, which the American military themselves have already dubbed
> >
> > Operation "Shock And Awe."
> >
> >
> >  [Khokhlov] Vladimir Ivanovich, so much has already been said about the
> > reasons and causes of the new war in Iraq, but I cannot get rid of the
> > feeling that they are either talking about something entirely different, or
> > not telling the full story...
> >
> >
> >  [Slipchenko] The main purpose of the war is indeed being left out of the
> > picture and nobody is saying anything about it. I see the main purpose of
> > the war as being the large-scale real-life testing by the United States of
> > sophisticated models of precision weapons. That is the objective that they
> > place first. All the other aims are either incidental, or outright
> > disinformation. For more than 10 years now the United States has conducted
> > exclusively no-contact wars. In May 2001 George Bush Jr., delivering his
> > first presidential speech to students at the Naval Academy in Annapolis,
> > spoke of the need for accelerated preparation of the US Armed Forces for
> > future wars. He emphasized that they should be high-tech Armed Forces
> > capable of conducting hostilities throughout the world by the no-contact
> > method. This task is now being carried out very consistently. It should be
> > observed that the Pentagon buys from the military-industrial complex only
> > those weapons that have been tested in conditions of real warfare and
> > received a certificate of quality on the battlefield.
> >
> > After a series of live experiments -- the wars in Iraq, Yugoslavia, and
> > Afghanistan -- many corporations in the US military-industrial complex have
> > been granted the right to sell their precision weapons to the Pentagon. They
> > include Martin Lockheed, General Electric, and Loral. But many other
> > well-known companies are as yet without orders from the military department.
> > The bottom line is $50-60 billion a year. Who would want to miss out on that
> > kind of money? But the present suppliers of precision weapons to the
> > Pentagon are also constantly developing new types of arms and they must also
> > be tested The US military-industrial complex demands test bed wars from its
> > country's political leadership. And it gets them. And that is the main aim
> > of the new war in Iraq.
> >
> >
> > Peculiarities of the War
> >
> >
> > [Khokhlov] How will this war differ from the no-contact wars previously
> > waged by the United States?
> >
> > [Slipchenko] First, in terms of its political objectives. For the first time
> > since 1991 the United States sets the goal of changing the political system
> > in the enemy state and removing or physically eliminating the country's
> > leadership. They have not previously succeeded in this.
> > Remember, the Americans did not previously try to remove Saddam Husayn from
> > politics, and even Milosevic was not removed from the post of Yugoslav
> > leader by military
> > means. The US Armed Forces carried out their required tests of new weapons
> > and then
> > packed up their guns and went home. Now they face a very difficult
> > mission.Therefore, second, because of the change of objective the strategy
> > of the war also changes radically For the first time the war aims mean that
> > the United States must without fail achieve total victory. To that end it is
> > necessary to achieve three objectives: rout the enemy's Armed Forces,
> > destroy his economy, and change the political system. The Iraqi army
> > will be subjected to very powerful blows. It will be physically annihilated.
> > In order to impose a new puppet government in the country (and I am sure the
> > Americans have already formed that government) and to give that government
> > the opportunity to get on with its work, the United States will be forced
> > actually to occupy Iraq. The occupation of territory within which seats of
> > organized resistance could persist would
> > lead  to large losses among US Army personnel. Guerrillas, and in the
> > context of the Arab world also shahid martyrs wearing explosive
> > belts --naturally the Americans do not need this. Therefore they will
> > totally annihilate the Iraqi
> > army. Practically all Iraq servicemen will
> > die. There will be terrible carnage.
> >
> >
> > [Khokhlov] Does Iraq have any chance of offering resistance to the United
> > States?
> >
> >
> > [Slipchenko] In Iraq we will once again see a situation where two
> > generations
> > of warfare meet. Iraq is strong and prepared for a war of the last
> > generation -- on land and for land, for every target. But 600,000 soldiers,
> > 220
> > military  aircraft, something like 2,200 tanks, 1,900  artillery guns,
> > around 500
> > multiple rocket launchers, 6 SCUD missile launchers, 110 surface-to-air
> > missile systems, and 700 anti-aircraft installations will prove useless when
> > they meet the aggressor. In fact,
> > there will not be a meeting on the battlefield as such. The Americans,
> > waging a no-contact war, will methodically use precision missile strikes to
> > destroy all the key facilities of Iraq's state
> > and military infrastructure, and will then wipe out enemy manpower with
> > missile and bombing raids.
> >
> >
> > Progress of the War
> >
> >  [Khokhlov] How will the Americans begin hostilities?
> >
> >  [Slipchenko] First of all there will be precision strikes against
> > bunkersand command posts where Saddam Husayn and the Iraqi leaders might be
> > hiding,against Army headquarters and troop positions, and against components
> > of the
> > air defense system. Sophisticated ground-penetrating vacuum-type precision
> > munitions will be used to destroy buried targets. Even if one of these
> > weapons explodes not exactly inside, say, an underground bunker, in any case
> > the exits from the shelter will be blocked. The bunker will become a mass
> > grave for everyone who is unfortunate enough to be in it.
> >
> > To destroy armored equipment, in the very first days the Americans will use
> > cluster aviation bombs with self-guided munitions. The "mother"-cluster bomb
> > gives "birth" to several tens or hundreds of "baby" bombs, each of which
> > independently chooses its own target to destroy on the ground. I am
> > confident  that in the very first hours of the war the United States will
> > also use new pulse bombs They are also called microwave bombs.
> >
> > The principle by which these weapons operate is as follows: an instantaneous
> > discharge of electromagnetic radiation on the order of two megawatts. At a
> > distance of 2-2.5 kilometers from the epicenter of the explosion the
> > "microwaves" instantly put out of action all radioelectronic systems,
> > communications and radar systems, all computers, radio receivers, and even
> > hearing aids and heart pacemakers. All these things are destroyed by the
> > meltdown method. Just imagine, a person's heart explodes!... As a result of
> > the use of these weapons Iraqi systems for command and control of the state
> > and troops will be destroyed practically instantaneously.
> >
> >  [Khokhlov] What other new types of arms could be tested?
> >
> > [Slipchenko] Since this war will be experimental for the United States,
> > several new types of precision cruise missiles will be tested with a view to
> > obtaining quality certificates. I believe attention will be devoted first
> > and foremost to missile launches from submarines. The Americans are planning
> > to make their submarine fleet the main launchpad. The Pentagon will continue
> > to perfect the mechanism for targeting precision weapons. In 2000 with the
> > help of the space shuttle  Endeavor the United States scanned around 80% of
> > the surface of the Earth and created an
> > electronic map of the planet in three-dimensional coordinates. The level of
> > detail of objects on this map is down to the size of a window. That is to
> > say, you could train a lens -- installed in a military satellite -- first on
> > Baghdad, then on the city center, then on Saddam's palace, and on his
> > bedroom window. You give the command -- and in a few  minutes' time a
> > targeted cruise
> > missile flies into that window...
> >
> >
> > [Khokhlov] How long will this war go on?
> >
> >
> > [Slipchenko] I predict that Operation Shock And Awe will last not more  than
> > six weeks. The first period of the war -- the "shock" -- will last around 30
> > days. Some 400-500 sea- and air-based precision cruise missiles will be
> > launched against targets in Iraq every 24 hours. During that month Iraq's
> > troops and its economic potential will be annihilated.
> >
> > Anything that survives for any reason will be guaranteed destruction in the
> > next two weeks. In the second stage -- "awe" -- the Americans will conduct a
> > piloted version of a total cleanup of the territory. To this end the United
> > States will use B-52 and B-2 Stealth bombers. In four hours of flight one
> > Stealth is capable of detecting and destroying as many as 200 stationary or
> > moving targets on the ground. The United States intends to use at least 16
> > B-2 bombers The Stealths will be in the air constantly, one replacing the
> > other.
> >
> > [Khokhlov] Will the Iraqi air defense system be able to counter the American
> > planes and cruise missiles?
> >
> >
> > [Slipchenko] Iraq already has no air defense facilities in the north and
> > south of the country -- US aviation is constantly bombing these areas. What
> > remains in the center of the country will be destroyed in the first 10
> > minutes of the war. Iraq's anti-aircraft system is based on the classical
> > active radar detection system: emit -- detect --illuminate --destroy. The
> > Americans will exploit this for their own purposes. As soon  as an Iraqi
> > radar reveals itself by emitting electromagnetic energy, a precision cruise
> > missile will be dispatched against the "revealed" air defense facility using
> > this same beam. Iraq has no chance of countering this.
> >
> > [Khokhlov] How much will this war cost?
> >
> > [Slipchenko] According to my estimates, $80 billion. But the total sum spent
> > could rise to 100 billion. We will never know the exact figure of
> > expenditure, if only because the war will be partly funded by  private
> > companies offering the Pentagon their experimental models of precision
> > weapons for free in the hope of future dividends. The program for rearming
> > the US Armed Forces is about $600 billion Therefore today the
> > military-industrial complex need not stint, it can give weapons to  the Army
> > for free.
> >
> >
> > [Khokhlov] What human losses could Iraq suffer?
> >
> >
> > [Slipchenko] Very considerable ones. Since the Americans are planning to
> > physically annihilate the Iraqi army, I reckon that at least 500,000 people
> > will be killed. This will be a very bloody war.
> >
> > After the Apocalypse
> >
> > [Khokhlov] What will come after the war?
> >
> > [Slipchenko] The Americans will have to occupy Iraq. The occupation corps
> > will apparently consist of four mechanized and armored divisions, one
> > parachute division, and one division of the British Armed Forces.  All these
> > troops will not fight. There will be no ground operations in Iraq! The US
> > Army will enter a burning desert -- the Iraqis will certainly set fire to
> > the  oilfields -- without a single shot being fired. There  will  simply be
> > nobody  to shoot at them.
> >
> >
> > [Khokhlov] How long will the direct occupation last? Will the Americans stay
> > in Iraq forever?
> >
> >
> >  [Slipchenko] They will certainly leave Iraq. There is no point in their
> > staying there. The occupation will last one and a half, two, or at the most
> > three years and will cost American taxpayers a further $80-100 billion to
> > maintain the troops in Iraq. Then the United States may enlist  in an
> > operation that they will undoubtedly call "peacekeeping" the Poles, Czechs,
> > and other "new recruits" to NATO, the Estonians, but they themselves will
> > leave. The "peacekeepers" will stay a further one to one and
> > a half years in Iraq. During this time major investments will be made in the
> > country with a regime friendly to the United States, and in two years' time
> > Iraq's oil sector will reach a level of oil extraction of 2-2.4 million
> > barrels a day. In five years they will be extracting up to 5 million barrels
> > of oil a day. The world oil price will fall to $12-15 a barrel. The
> > currently stagnant US economy will soar.
> >
> > [Khokhlov] And what will happen to Russia's economy, which is currently
> > supported exclusively by "petrodollars"?
> >
> >
> > [Slipchenko] I have no answer to that question. I am an expert in wars.
> >
> >
> > Copyright Rossiyskaya Gazeta 2003. For fair use only/ pour usage seulement .
>
> --- End Message ---