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Re: Affective measures in the social sciences produce more ideologic agitprop... by Nemonemini 19 September 2002 22:41 UTC |
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What is meant by "height". In any sense I can think of, 12th or 13th century European civilization was a more advanced civilization than was ancient Rome. I would say the same for Islamic civilization in the ninth or tenth centuries (the very middle of the "dark ages").
The big issue raised is the simultaneity of various religious movements around 600 BC. We have the Hebrew prophets
Elijah (ca 850) Isaiah (ca. 745) Jeremiah (627) and Daniel (586) followed by the appearance of Zoroastrianism (598), Taoism (571) Buddhism (534) Confucianism (529) and Jainsim (527).
On the surface, the "sudden" appearance of all these new religions where few were seen before seems impressive--like something speical is happening. But we have to consider the "sampling issue" before we come to such a conclusion. Consider this figure. It shows the plot of "generational frequency" of two kinds of events. In black are shown the number of "unrest events" (revolts, riots, uprisings civil wars etc.) per moving 25-year period. In red are shown the frequence of relgious events like those listed above per 25 year period. Ignore the osicillations, just focus on the general levels.
Clearly evident is a big red spike right around 600 BC. This is your eonic effect. But look at the black line. It also rises around 600 BC. The reason why it rises is I can't find many dated events for the period much before 700 BC. In fact, relative to black events, the number of red events was higher before 700 BC than it was after. In other words, perhaps the only reason why more religious things seem to have started happening then is because we know more about what happened then than what happened in the previous centuries.
The situation is even more grim for the period around 3000 BC. There is very little data, and I didn't see discussion of the Indus or the Oxus valley civilizations.
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