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Re: u.s. unilateralism by Richard N Hutchinson 18 February 2002 16:49 UTC |
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Thanks for your comments, Warren. One clarification, though. I meant "realism" as in the theory, not the everyday usage. Randall Collins has been developing a geopolitical theory for several years now that is a variant of realist theory, and which is based on quite different premises than world-system theory. Collins' theory has one major accomplishment so far -- he was one of a handful to successfully predict the collapse of the USSR, because based on the theory, he analyzed the USSR as overextended, a victim of imperial overstretch. Realist theory, in general, focuses on military power as opposed to the WST emphasis on economic exploitation. I would say both are therefore one-sided, and I am raising realist theory as a corrective to the faulty predictions that seem to be coming from one-sided WST theory. The Gramscian point (persuasion/coercion) is interesting. But just as the U.S. under Reagan was able to bring a huge inflow of investment from Japan and others during the "Cold War II", the current military operations may also lead to a strengthening of the U.S. vis a vis the "allies" and a consequent benefit for them as the U.S. remains the "market of last resort" for intra-core trade. Too soon to tell how it will play out. All I want to do is challenge any knee-jerk assumption that U.S. assertiveness will backfire, particularly given the complete failure of such predictions over the past 20 years. RH
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