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Datum: Mon, 22 Oct 2001 12:58:57 -0600 An: ecol-econ@csf.colorado.edu Von: Barry Carter <bcarter@igc.org> Betreff: Re: Terrorism and Ecol-Econ may relate. Dear Doug, At 10:07 PM 10/21/2001 -0700, Doug Bashford wrote: The environmental and economic links to the terrorist attacks appear to be strong enough to support our exclusive attention. The US government has lusted after an oil pipeline through Afghanistan for a long time. You can read a DOE assessment of this "problem" at: http://www.eia.doe.gov/emeu/cabs/afghan.html Journalists and academic writers around the world are speculating that the search for Osama bin Laden may be just cover for the establishment of a government in Afghanistan which is more favorable to such a pipeline. You can read some of these articles on the following web pages: http://www.atimes.com/global-econ/CJ06Dj01.html http://www.bushbacklash.com/NewFiles/oilwars.html http://www.brojon.com/frontpage/bj091701.html http://english.pravda.ru/main/2001/10/16/18147.html http://jurist.law.pitt.edu/forumnew33.htm The recent oil-industry-sponsored coup in the US installed a regime which is certainly willing to procure oil at any environmental or social cost. We build corporate, governmental and religious structures and give them control of many of the things we think we need to survive. Soon these structures take on a life of their own and perpetuate themselves by threatening to take away what we need if we don't support their agenda. They control us with fear. If a terrorist is one who commits acts that spread fear then the greatest terrorists are the mass media who have been spreading an epidemic of belief, which is being used to channel our outrage at the September 11 events into unquestioned support for another oil war in the Middle East. I think that the way to bring change to structure is inherent in the term "ecological economics". The study of ecology is the study of how all of the parts interact and contribute to the benefit of the whole. Structure tends to isolate parts and characterize them as being separate from the whole. If we wish to change structure we must bring more wholistic thought to bear on it. Unfortunately the term "wholistic thought" is a bit of an oxymoron. We usually think of thought as being a sort of binary either-or logic while wholistic nature is more of a spectrum of possibility and actuality. If we have a wholistic sense it would be beyond this sort of dualistic thought. Terrorists like Osama and the news media like to paint the world as a black and white picture. They use terms like "good and evil" to justify their actions. To the extent that our thinking is wholistic and ecological we will not be taken in by dualistic thinking. Figuring out how to get away from dualistic thinking has been a major focus of my attention because I figure that wholistic being is the best way to bring change to the structures which we have empowered to control us. What has worked in my life is to change my focus from what I don't want (or what I fear) to what I do want and then to trust the whole to bring what I do want into manifestation. In my own thought I call my connection to ecology or the whole "love". I think it is the same thing that scientists like David Bohm, Mae Wan Ho and Philip Callahan call quantum coherence. I have noticed that when I describe a desired outcome and then quit thinking about it and think about love instead, the outcome often manifests in a very short time. I have also noticed that the path to a given outcome is rarely what I thought it might be. The best that I have found to do is to always be ready to follow any opportunity which presents itself. I see little point in thinking about how to get to the outcome, as much of this thought is often anticipation of problems which then become the things which are manifest instead of the original thing that I wanted. I believe that as we take care of our own inner ecology we become more supportive of the global ecology and less supportive of structure. Structure depends on our fear of lack to mobilize support for its agenda. As we realize that we can manifest what we want using the technique I described, we become less fearful and dependent on the benefits which structure claims to provide. -- With kindest regards, Barry Carter <bcarter@igc.org> Web Pages: Forest - http://www.subtleenergies.com/ormus/bmnfa/index.htm ORMUS - http://www.subtleenergies.com/ormus/whatisit.htm Phone: 541-523-3357 Attend to what is directly before you. You have no responsibility to save the world or find the solutions to all problems--but to attend to your particular personal corner of the universe. As each person does that, the world saves itself. -Jane Roberts, Dreams, Evolution and Value Fulfillment September 2001 Afghanistan The information contained in this report is the best available as of September 2001 and can change. General Background Afghanistan's significance from an energy standpoint stems from its geographical position as a potential transit route for oil and natural gas exports from Central Asia to the Arabian Sea. This potential includes the possible construction of oil and natural gas export pipelines through Afghanistan, which was under serious consideration in the mid-1990s. The idea has since been undermined by Afghanistan's instability. Since 1996, most of Afghanistan has been controlled by the Taliban movement, which the United States does not recognize as the government of Afghanistan. On December 19, 2000, the UN Security Council imposed additional sanctions against Afghanistan's ruling Taliban movement (which controls around 95% of the country), including an arms embargo and a ban on the sale of chemicals used in making heroin. These sanctions (Resolution 1333) are aimed at pressuring Afghanistan to turn over Osama bin Laden, suspected in various terrorist attacks, including the August 1998 US Embassy bombings in Kenya and Tanzania. These latest sanctions are in addition to sanctions (Resolution 1267) imposed on Afghanistan in November 1999, which included a freeze on Taliban assets and a ban on international flights by Afghanistan's national airline, Ariana. The Taliban reacted sharply to the new sanctions, ordering a boycott of US and Russian goods, and pulling out of UN-mediated peace talks aimed at ending the country's civil war. On November 29, 1999, UN Secretary General Kofi Annan issued a report on Afghanistan which listed the country's major problems as follows: civil war (which has caused many casualties and refugees, and which has devastated the country's economy), record opium production, wide-scale human rights violations, and food shortages caused in part by drought. According to the 2001 CIA World Factbook, Afghanistan is an extremely poor, landlocked country, highly dependent on farming and livestock raising. Afghanistan has experienced over two decades of war, including the nearly 10-year Soviet military occupation (which ended in 1989). During that conflict one-third of the population fled the country, with Pakistan and Iran sheltering a combined peak of more than 6 million refugees. Large Afghan refugee populations remain in Pakistan and Iran. Gross domestic product has fallen substantially over the past 20 years because of the loss of labor and capital and the disruption of trade and transport. The severe drought of 1998-2000 added to these problems. The majority of the population continues to suffer from insufficient food, clothing, housing, and medical care. Inflation remains a serious problem throughout the country. International aid can deal with only a fraction of the humanitarian problem, let alone promote economic development. The economic situation did not improve in 1999-2000, as internal civil strife has continued, hampering both domestic economic policies and international aid efforts. Numerical data are likely to be either unavailable or unreliable. Afghanistan was by far the largest world producer of opium poppies in 2000, and narcotics trafficking is a major source of revenues. Energy Overview The Soviets had estimated Afghanistan's proven and probable natural gas reserves at up to 5 trillion cubic feet (Tcf) in the 1970s. Afghan natural gas production reached 275 million cubic feet per day (Mmcf/d) in the mid-1970s. However, due to declining reserves from producing fields, output gradually fell to about 220 Mmcf/d by 1980. At that time, the Jorquduq field was brought online and was expected to boost Afghan natural gas output to 385 Mmcf/d by the early 1980s. However, sabotage of infrastructure by the anti-Soviet mujaheddin fighters limited the country's total production to 290 Mmcf/d, an output level that was held fairly steady until the Soviet withdrawal in 1989. After the Soviet pullout and subsequent Afghan civil war, roughly 31 producing wells at Sheberghan area fields were shut in pending the restart of natural gas sales to the former Soviet Union. At its peak in the late 1970s, Afghanistan supplied 70%-90% of its natural gas output to the Soviet Union's natural gas grid via a link through Uzbekistan. In 1992, Afghan President Najibullah indicated that a new natural gas sales agreement with Russia was in progress. However, several former Soviet republics raised price and distribution issues and negotiations stalled. In the early 1990s, Afghanistan also discussed possible natural gas supply arrangements with Hungary, Czechoslovakia, and several Western European countries, but these talks never progressed further. Afghan natural gas fields include Jorqaduq, Khowaja Gogerdak, and Yatimtaq, all of which are located within 20 miles of the northern town of Sheberghan in Jowzjan province. Natural gas production and distribution is the responsibility of the Taliban-controlled Afghan Gas Enterprise. In 1999, work resumed on the repair of a distribution pipeline to Mazar-i-Sharif. Spur pipelines to a small power plant and fertilizer plant also were repaired and completed. Mazar-i-Sharif is now receiving natural gas from the pipeline, as well as some other surrounding areas. Rehabilitation of damaged natural gas wells has been undertaken at the Khowaja Gogerak field, which has increased natural gas production. In February 1998, the Taliban announced plans to revive the Afghan National Oil Company, which was abolished by the Soviet Union after it invaded Afghanistan in 1979. Soviet estimates from the late 1970s placed Afghanistan's proven and probable oil and condensate reserves at 95 million barrels. Oil exploration and development work as well as plans to build a 10,000-bbl/d refinery were halted after the 1979 Soviet invasion. A very small amount of crude oil is produced at the Angot field in the northern Sar-i-Pol province. It is processed at a primitive topping plant in Sheberghan, and burned in central heating boilers in Sheberghan, Mazar-i-Sharif, and Kabul. Another small oilfield at Zomrad Sai near Sheberghan was reportedly undergoing repairs in mid-2001. Petroleum products such as diesel, gasoline, and jet fuel are imported, mainly from Pakistan and Turkmenistan. A small storage and distribution facility exists in Jalalabad on the highway between Kabul and Peshawar, Pakistan. Turkmenistan also has a petroleum product storage and distribution facility at Tagtabazar near the Afghan border, which supplies northwestern Afghanistan. Besides oil and natural gas, Afghanistan also is estimated to have 73 million tons of coal reserves, most of which is located in the region between Herat and Badashkan in the northern part of the country. Although Afghanistan produced over 100,000 short tons of coal annually as late as the early 1990s, as of 1999, the country was producing only around 1,000 short tons. Afghanistan's power grid has been severely damaged by years of war. Currently, the ruling Taliban are concentrating on rebuilding damaged hydroelectric plants, power distribution lines, and high-voltage cables. Production of power by Afghanistan's hydroelectric dams was negatively affected by the drought of 1998-2000, resulting in blackouts in Kabul and other cities. Increased rainfall in 2001 has improved power production. The Kajaki Dam in Helmand province near Kandahar is undergoing the addition of another generating turbine with assistance from the Chinese Dongfeng Agricultural Machinery Company. This will add 16.5 megawatts (MW) to its generating capacity when completed. Transmission lines from the Kajaki Dam to Kandahar were repaired in early 2001, along with a substation in the city, restoring supplies of electricity. The Dahla Dam in Kandahar province also has been restored to operation, along with the Breshna- Kot Dam in Nangarhar province, which has a generating capacity of 11.5 MW. The 66-MW Mahipar hydro plant also is now operational. Turkmenistan supplies electricity to much of northwestern Afghanistan. In October 1999, Afghanistan announced that it had reached agreement with Turkmenistan for electricity imports into northwestern Afghanistan, including power to the city of Herat and the Herat cement plant. Another transmission line has been built from Turkmenistan to the city of Andkhoy, and one was under construction in 2001 to Sheberghan. Electricity has previously been imported from Uzbekistan for Mazar-i- Sharif, but supplies were cut off during the winter of 1999 due to payment arrears. Regional Pipeline Plans In January 1998, the Taliban signed an agreement that would allow a proposed 890-mile, $2-billion, 1.9-billion-cubic-feet-per-day natural gas pipeline project led by Unocal to proceed. The proposed pipeline would have transported natural gas from Turkmenistan's 45-Tcf Dauletabad natural gas field to Pakistan, and most likely would have run from Dauletabad south to the Afghan border and through Herat and Qandahar in Afghanistan, to Quetta, Pakistan. The line would then have linked with Pakistan's natural gas grid at Sui. Natural gas shipments had been projected to start at 700 Mmcf/d in 1999 and to rise to 1.4 Bcf/d or higher by 2002. In March 1998, however, Unocal announced a delay in finalizing project details due to Afghanistan's continuing civil war. In June 1998, Gazprom announced that it was relinquishing its 10% stake in the gas pipeline project consortium (known as the Central Asian Gas Pipeline Ltd., or Centgas), which was formed in August 1996. As of June 1998, Unocal and Saudi Arabia's Delta Oil held a combined 85% stake in Centgas, while Turkmenrusgas owned 5%. Other participants in the proposed project besides Delta Oil include the Crescent Group of Pakistan, Gazprom of Russia, Hyundai Engineering & Construction Company of South Korea, Inpex and Itochu of Japan On December 8, 1998, Unocal announced that it was withdrawing from the Centgas consortium, citing low oil prices and turmoil in Afghanistan as making the pipeline project uneconomical and too risky. Unocal's announcement followed an earlier statement -- in August 1998 -- that the company was suspending its role in the Afghanistan gas pipeline project in light of the recent U.S. government military action in Afghanistan, and also due to intensified fighting between the Taliban and opposition groups. Unocal had previously stressed that the Centgas pipeline project would not proceed until an internationally recognized government was in place in Afghanistan. To date, however, only three countries -- Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and the United Arab Emirates -- have recognized the Taliban government. Besides the gas pipeline, Unocal also had considered building a 1,000- mile, 1-million barrel-per-day (bbl/d) capacity oil pipeline that would link Chardzou, Turkmenistan to Pakistan's Arabian Sea Coast via Afghanistan. Since the Chardzou refinery is already linked to Russia's Western Siberian oil fields, this line could provide a possible alternative export route for regional oil production from the Caspian Sea. The $2.5- billion pipeline is known as the Central Asian Oil Pipeline Project. For a variety of reasons, including high political risk and security concerns, however, financing for this project remains highly uncertain. In April 1999, Pakistan, Turkmenistan and the Taliban authorities in Afghanistan agreed to reactivate the Turkmenistan-Pakistan gas pipeline project, and to ask the Centgas consortium, now led by Saudi Arabia's Delta Oil (following Unocal's withdrawal from the project), to proceed. Periodic meetings to discuss the project have continued. It remains unlikely, however, that this pipeline will be built. Energy Infrastructure at a Glance Oil Angot Oilfield Produces a small quantity of crude oil; located in Sar-i-Pol province Zomrad Sai Oilfield Reportedly undergoing rehabilitation; near Sheberghan Sheberghan Topping Plant Primitive topping plant which processes crude oil for consumption in heating boilers in Kabul, Mazar-i-Sharif, and Sheberghan Jalalabad Storage Facility Petroleum product storage and distribution facility Gas Sheberghan Area Gas Fields The Jorqaduk, Khowaja Gogerak, and Yatimtaq gas fields are all located within 20 miles of Sheberghan Pipeline to Mazar-i-Sharif A pipeline connects these gas fields to Mazar-i-Sharif.Gas is used for a small power plant, a fertilizer plant, and domestic use. Local pipelines Small local pipelines near the gas fields distribute gas in small quantities to nearby villages and Sheberghan Electricity Kajaki Dam Located in Helmand province near Kandahar; undergoing upgrade which will add a third generating turbine and increase its installed capacity by 16.5 MW (from its current 33 MW capacity); transmission lines to Kandahar repaired in early 2001. Mahipar Dam Installed capacity of 66 MW.Repaired and operational. Breshna-Kot Dam Installed capacity of 11.5 MW.Repaired and operational.In Nangarhar province near Jalalabad. Breshna-Kot Substation Reportedly undergoing repairs. Dahla Dam Kandahar province.Repaired and operational. Mazar-i-Sharif Power Plant Small gas-fired power plant near Mazar-i-Sharif, with an installed capacity of 35 MW. Transmission Lines from Turkmenistan Transmission lines from Turkmenistan supply power to several cities in northwestern Afghanistan, including Herat, and Andkhoy.A line was under construction in early 2001 to Sheberghan. Note: This listing of Afghanistan’s energy infrastructure was compiled from information available in press and media sources, and should not necessarily be considered comprehensive. Only facilities which have been reported to be functional or under repair have been included. U.S. Geological Survey - Map of Afghanistan's Natural Resources Sources for this report include: BBC Monitoring South Asia; BBC Summary of World Broadcasts; Dow Jones; Economist Intelligence Unit Viewswire; Financial Times Asia Intelligence Wire; Foreign Broadcast Information Service(FBIS). For more information from EIA on Afghanistan, please see: EIA - Country Information on Afghanistan Links to other U.S. government sites: 2001 CIA World Factbook - Afghanistan U.S. State Department Travel Warning on Afghanistan U.S. State Department Consular Information Sheet -- Afghanistan U.S. Geological Survey - Afghanistan Natural Resources Map The following links are provided solely as a service to our customers, and therefore should not be construed as advocating or reflecting any position of the Energy Information Administration (EIA) or the United States Government. In addition, EIA does not guarantee the content or accuracy of any information presented in linked sites. The Islamic State of Afghanistan Afghanistan Online Washington Post: World Reference -- Afghanistan University of Texas at Austin: Afghanistan Information Afghanistan - Roads and Airports Map ReliefWeb - Map of Afghanistan's Provinces Afghanistan Today Afghan Network If you liked this Country Analysis Brief or any of our many other Country Analysis Briefs, you can be automatically notified via e-mail of updates. Simply click here, select "international" and the specific list you desire, and then follow the instructions. You will then be notified within an hour of any updates to our Country Analysis Briefs. Return to Country Analysis Briefs home page File last modified: September 24, 2001 Contact: Lowell Feld lowell.feld@eia.doe.gov Phone: (202) 586-9502 Fax: (202) 586-9753 URL: http://www.eia.doe.gov/cabs/afghan.html October 6, 2001 atimes.com Global Economy The oil behind Bush and Son's campaigns By Ranjit Devraj NEW DELHI - Just as the Gulf War in 1991 was all about oil, the new conflict in South and Central Asia is no less about access to the region's abundant petroleum resources, according to Indian analysts. "US influence and military presence in Afghanistan and the Central Asian states, not unlike that over the oil-rich Gulf states, would be a major strategic gain," said V R Raghavan, a strategic analyst and former general in the Indian army. Raghavan believes that the prospect of a western military presence in a region extending from Turkey to Tajikistan could not have escaped strategists who are now readying a military campaign aimed at changing the political order in Afghanistan, accused by the United States of harboring Osama bin Laden. Where the "great game" in Afghanistan was once about czars and commissars seeking access to the warm water ports of the Persian Gulf, today it is about laying oil and gas pipelines to the untapped petroleum reserves of Central Asia. According to testimony before the US House of Representatives in March 1999 by the conservative think tank Heritage Foundation, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan together have 15 billion barrels of proven oil reserves. The same countries also have proven gas deposits totaling not less than nine trillion cubic meters. Another study by the Institute for Afghan Studies placed the total worth of oil and gas reserves in the Central Asian republics at around US$3 trillion at last year's prices. Not only can Afghanistan play a role in hosting pipelines connecting Central Asia to international markets, but the country itself has significant oil and gas deposits. During the Soviets' decade-long occupation of Afghanistan, Moscow estimated Afghanistan's proven and probable natural gas reserves at around five trillion cubic feet and production reached 275 million cubic feet per day in the mid-1970s. But sabotage by anti-Soviet mujahideen (freedom fighters) and by rival groups in the civil war that followed Soviet withdrawal in 1989 virtually closed down gas production and ended deals for the supply of gas to several European countries. Major Afghan natural gas fields awaiting exploitation include Jorqaduq, Khowaja, Gogerdak, and Yatimtaq, all of which are located within 9 kilometers of the town of Sheberghan in northrern Jowzjan province. Natural gas production and distribution under Afghanistan's Taliban rulers is the responsibility of the Afghan Gas Enterprise which, in 1999, began repair of a pipeline to Mazar-i-Sharif city. Afghanistan's proven and probable oil and condensate reserves were placed at 95 million barrels by the Soviets. So far, attempts to exploit Afghanistan's petroleum reserves or take advantage of its unique geographical location as a crossroads to markets in Europe and South Asia have been thwarted by the continuing civil strife. In 1998, the California-based UNOCAL, which held 46.5 percent stakes in Central Asia Gas (CentGas), a consortium that planned an ambitious gas pipeline across Afghanistan, withdrew in frustration after several fruitless years. The pipeline was to stretch 1,271km from Turkmenistan's Dauletabad fields to Multan in Pakistan at an estimated cost of $1.9 billion. An additional $600 million would have brought the pipeline to energy-hungry India. Energy experts in India, such as R K Pachauri, who heads the Tata Energy Research Institute (TERI), have long been urging the country's planners to ensure access to petroleum products from the Central Asian republics, with which New Delhi has traditionally maintained good relations. Other partners in CentGas included the Saudi Arabian Delta Oil Company, the Government of Turkmenistan, Indonesia Petroleum (INPEX), the Japanese ITOCHU, Korean Hyundai and Pakistan's Crescent Group. According to observers, one problem is the uncertainty over who the beneficiaries in Afghanistan would be - the opposition Northern Alliance, the Taliban, the Afghan people or indeed, whether any of these would benefit at all. But the immediate reason for UNOCAL's withdrawal was undoubtedly the US cruise missile attacks on Osama bin Laden's terrorism training camps in Afghanistan in August 1998, done in retaliation for the bombing of its embassies in Africa. UNOCAL then stated that the project would have to wait until Afghanistan achieved the "peace and stability necessary to obtain financing from international agencies and a government that is recognized by the United States and the United Nations". The "coalition against terrorism" that US President George W Bush is building now is the first opportunity that has any chance of making UNOCAL's wish come true. If the coalition succeeds, Raghavan said, it has the potential of "reconfiguring substantially the energy scenarios for the 21st century". (Inter Press Service) ©2001 Asia Times Online Co., Ltd. Room 6301, The Center, 99 Queen's Road, Central, Hong Kong BROTHER JONATHAN'S FRONT PAGE NEWS THE DISMANTLING OF AMERICA POSTED: 09/17/01 THE DISMANTLING OF AMERICA The Phoney War in Afghanistan the bottom line ..... The current "war" on Afghanistani terrorism is a misdirection and a hoax. As pointed out in the book "Black Gold Hot Gold" the oil expected to flow from the vast oilfields under the Russian Caspian Sea, discovered about 20 years ago remains undrilled and untapped. That field contains about 500 years worth of oil at present world consumption rates. The only possible oil pipeline routes at the present time to handle the massive flow of oil from the Caspian Sea region under Chenya is either through Kosovo to the Mediterranean Sea, or through Afghanistan and Pakistan to the Indian Ocean. Two years ago, the Clinton administration attempted to place Kosovo under international control and begin pipeline construction, but was unable to complete the process. The normal oil route would have been to move oil from Chenya, across the Black Sea and through the Bosporus to the Mediterranean. But the narrow Bosporus channel is already clogged with oil tankers from the existing Black Sea oilfields. The only alternate is to move the tankers from the Black Sea, bypassing the Bosporus, up the Danube River and then through a very short pipeline across Kosovo to the Mediterranean at Tirana, Albania. That process was stopped by the Chinese who have supplied and armed the Albanians, as a client state, since 1949. Following the Soviet discovery of the vast Chechen oilfields in the late 1970's, they attempted to take control of Afghanistan to provide a massive pipeline system to allow the Soviets to market their oil directly from the Afghan-Pakistan seaport. This resulted in the decades long Soviet-Afghan war. The Soviets were stopped by the U.S. supplied and armed insurgent groups, including Osama bin Laden, who defeated the Soviets in the late 1980's. The Soviets had massively built up their military in the 1980's, including the world's largest nuclear submarine fleet, gambling on the huge profits to be made by selling their Chechen oil on the open market. When the Afghans under bin Laden, backed by the U.S. CIA stopped the construction of the Soviet-Afghan pipeline, the Soviet Union went through an economic collapse and ceased to exist in 1991. The vast Chechen oilfield still remains fallow and untapped. As identified in "Black Gold Hot Gold," the Empire of Energy is now making a new attempt to market the Chechen oil by carpet bombing Afghanistan and building the Afghan pipeline. George W. Bush's statement about declaring war on "terrorism" is obviously hollow and sallow. It strangely does not include the terrorists in Northern Ireland, nor even the terrorist suicide bombers among the Palestinians. Instead it makes an instant leap of logic to aim the U.S. military directly at Afghanistan. The terrain in northern Afghanistan is the arid rugged foothills of the Himalayas known as the Hindu Kush and is defended by the large fierce tribal armies of the Northern Alliance who are excellent guerilla fighters with years of experience fighting Soviets, now backed by the Chinese, and not connected with the main Taliban government in Kabul. The Soviets spent over 10 years at great expense to attack and "carpet bomb" Afghanistan, but they found fortress Himalaya is impenetrable. The result was tremendous loss of Soviet lives and the economic collapse of the Soviet Union. George Bush is now leading the United States down that same road. The Empire of Energy has for almost 100 years had as its goal the dismantling of the United States of America and amalgamating it into one large global energy market. They have found in George Bush a willing partner. Any war in Afghanistan would pit the U.S. against the Chinese who just last week, on the day of the Word Trade Center attack, signed a mutual pact with the Afghans. In the last 50 years the U.S, has fought numerous wars against the Chinese, as in Korea, Vietnam and elsewhere. In those wars the result was always a draw with massive loss of life. Even high tech "smart" weapons in Kosovo were unable to defeat the Chinese. In the upcoming Afghan war with the Chinese, the U.S. will lose by simple attrition. Neither smart bombs nor nuclear bombs work against hidden terrorists or against fortress Himalaya. There are more Chinese soldiers in uniform than the whole population of the U.S. Numerous recent news stories indicate the attack on the World Trade Center was known to the CIA and FBI weeks before the attack. Seemingly nothing was done. As for America, its panzers ran out of gas with the "strange" fraudulent election of November 2000. Both G.W. Bush and Al Gore were backed by the Empire of Energy, so it didn't matter for whom you voted. Americans have been anesthetized and put to sleep by their lack of knowledge of world history, as America disintegrates. -------------- Marshall Smith * * * * * Excerpts from the ebook "Black Gold Hot Gold" are available on the Brother Jonathan Gazette Front Page. Copyright © 2001 BJNews & TeddySpeaks Foundation, Inc. To respond to this story email BROTHER JONATHAN GAZETTE. If you want to say something nice, we might read it. If you only want to bitch then we will toss it without reading. BJNews is not responsible for the world situation nor your response to it. BROTHER JONATHAN'S - FRONT PAGE NEWS Click on the Menu Bar to Select a Section of the Gazette All pages are © Copyright 2001 the Teddy Speaks Foundation Inc., A Non-Profit Educational Corporation, Delaware USA "BROTHER JONATHAN GAZETTE" and "BROTHER JONATHAN WEEKLY MAGAZINE" are ® Trademarks of the Teddy Speaks Foundation, Inc. and the Kinderken Press. All Music on this site is property of Kinderken Records. Pravda.RU:Main:More in detail 14:11 2001-10-16 BILL SARDI: IS AN OIL PIPELINE BEHIND THE WAR IN AFGHANISTAN? Testimony before the US Congress is circulating on the internet. It pertains to a proposed oil pipeline through Central Asia that is applicable to the current war in Afghanistan. On February 12, 1998, John J. Maresca, vice president, international relations for UNOCAL oil company, testified before the US House of Representatives, Committee on International Relations. Maresca provided information to Congress on Central Asia oil and gas reserves and how they might shape US foreign policy. UNOCAL's problem? As Maresca said: "How to get the region's vast energy resources to the markets." The oil reserves are in areas north of Afghanistan, Turkmenistan, Uzbekistan, Kazakhstan and Russia. Routes for a pipeline were proposed that would transport oil on a 42-inch pipe southward thru Afghanistan for 1040 miles to the Pakistan coast. Such a pipeline would cost about $2.5 billion and carry about 1 million barrels of oil per day. Maresca told Congress then that: "It's not going to be built until there is a single Afghan government. That's the simple answer." Dana Rohrbacher, California congressman, then identified the Taliban as the ruling controllers among various factions in Afghanistan and characterized them as "opium producers." Then Rohrbacher asked Maresca: "There is a Saudi terrorist who is infamous for financing terrorism around the world. Is he in the Taliban area or is he up there with the northern people?" Maresca answered: "If it is the person I am thinking of, he is there in the Taliban area." This testimony obviously alluded to Osama bin Laden. Then Rorhbacher asked: "... in the northern area as compared to the place where the Taliban are in control, would you say that one has a better human rights record toward women than the other?" Maresca responded by saying: "With respect to women, yes. But I don't think either faction here has a very clean human rights record, to tell you the truth." So women's rights were introduced into Congressional testimony by Congressman Rohrbacher as the wedge for UNOCAL to build its pipeline through Afghanistan. Three years later CNN would be airing ist acclaimed TV documentary "Under The Veil," which displayed the oppressive conditions that women endure in Afghanistan under the rule of the Taliban (a propaganda film for the oil pipeline?). Rohrbacher then went on to say that a democratic election should take place in Afghanistan and "if the Taliban are not willing to make that kind of commitment, I would be very hesitant to move foreward on a $2.5 billion investment because without that commitment, I don't think there is going to be any tranquility in that land." Beginning in 1998 UNOCAL was chastized, particularly by women's rights groups, for discussions with the Taliban, and headed in retreat as a worldwide effort mounted to come to the defense of the Afghani women. This forced UNOCAL to withdraw from its talks with the Taliban and dissolve its multinational partnership in that region. In 1999 Alexander's Gas & Oil Connections newsletter said: "UNOCAL company officials said late last year (1998) they were abandoning the project because of the need to cut costs in the Caspian region and because of the repeated failure of efforts to resolve the long civil conflict in Afghanistan." [Volume 4, issue #20 - Monday, November 22, 1999] Three days following the attack on the World Trade Centers in New York City, UNOCAL issued a statement reconfirming it had withdrawn from its project in Afghanistan, long before recent events. [www.unocal.com September 14, 2001 statement] UNOCAL was not the only party positioning themselves to tap into oil and gas reserves in central Asia. UNOCAL was primary member of a multinational consortium called CentGas (Central Asia Gas) along with Delta Oil Company Limited (Saudi Arabia), the Government of Turkmenistan, Indonesia Petroleum, LTD. (INPEX) (Japan), ITOCHU Oil Exploration Co., Ltd. (Japan), Hyundai Engineering & Construction Co., Ltd. (Korea), the Crescent Group (Pakistan) and RAO Gazprom (Russia). Just because CentGas had dissolved does not mean that the involved parties have totally abandoned their interest in building an oil pipeline out of Central Asia. There is also talk of another pipeline thru Iran. India and Pakistan are bidding to be the pipeline terminal ocean port since they would obtain hundreds of millions of dollars in fees. So, in 1998 Osama bin Laden was identified as the villain behind the Taliban, Afghanistani women the victims of an oppressive Taliban regime, and the stage was set for a future stabilization effort (i.e. a war). Was all this a cover story for a future oil pipeline? In November 2000, Bruce Hoffman, director of the Rand Institute office in Washington DC, indicated that the next US President would have to face up to the growing threat is Islamic terrorism. Hoffman: "The next administration must turn its immediate attention to knitting together the full range of US counterterrorist capabilities into a cohesive plan." [Los Angeles Times, November 12, 2000] All that was needed was a triggering event. Bill Sardi
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