testing of past prognoses

Tue, 24 Mar 1998 21:58:32 +0000
Nikolai S. Rozov (rozov@nsu.ru)

Dear Colleagues,

One of my fellows Julia Wertheim is working on the problem of
relation between social prognostics and historical theorizing.

I recommended her to study first the destiny of past social prognoses
(as far as I know they were done since mid-XIX, since 1920-s rather,
and since 1960-s very actively). But here in Russia there is almost
no literature on this topic.

We would be very grateful for references on English-language papers
and/or books with systematic analysis, comparing with real
facts, statistics, and evaluation of past social prognoses(as well as
technical, economic, scientific, political, demographical,
ecological, cultural, etc.).

Thank you

Nikolai Rozov
******************************************************
Nikolai S. Rozov, PhD, Dr.Sc. Professor of Philosophy
E-MAIL: rozov@nsu.ru FAX: 7-3832-397101
ADDRESS: Philosophy Dept. Novosibirsk State University
630090, Novosibirsk, Pirogova 2, RUSSIA

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