The Albanian precedent

Thu, 24 Apr 1997 04:58:32 +0100
Richard K. Moore (rkmoore@iol.ie)

The Albania scenario seems to be shaping up as a precedent of foreboding
and historical significance. Although the news stories will focus on what
happens in Albania - and that may prove to be dramatic indeed - it is the
precedent that is more important in the long run because it sets the tone
for the new style of euro-imperialism that seems destined to characterize
the rapidly consolidating globalist system.

In order to fully understand the significance of Albanian events, let's
compare and contrast to two previous epsisodes: Desert Storm and Bosnia.
Desert Storm itself was a significant precedent. It established
the principle that a major power can, under cover of UN approval, "legally"
invade a country, cause major damage, and compel that country to conform to
UN-sanctioned constraints on its behavior - even to the extent of ceding
portions of its territory (eg Kurdish areas) to long-term control by
external forces. But Desert Storm was primarily an American operation, and
intervention by Uncle Sam was already so commonplace that it didn't greatly
change the apparent geopolitical scene.
To some extent, Bosnia was just one more example of UN forces
playing their traditional impotent role, showing the international flag but
constrained from significant intervention. But NATO was added to the
equation, and air strikes allowed the international force to play a
significant tactical role. And in the dramatic climax, when Croatia
invaded Bosnia, US cruise missiles were employed stragegically against
Serbian command-and-control - assuring a considerable and Western-desired
shift in the regional balance of power.
Nevertheless, in Bosnia, it was still primarily a proxy game that
was being played. Croats, Serbs, and Bosnians were being played off
against one another, and the NATO forces intervened only at timely moments.
It was a carefully managed tilt to a civil war, but the main action was
among local adversaries. (Much like the gods intervening at Troy, if we
can believe Homer.)

In Albania we are likely to see several important new trend-setting
developments - assuming the rebels don't simply fold in the face of
intervention, but instead become more determined and motivated, and achieve
wider popular support. We'll then see:
(1) Decisive "legal" intervention by major powers which do not
include Uncle Sam in their number.
(2) Intervention by forces which have a direct and obvious
partisan interest in both the conflict and the outcome.
(3) A primary combatant role on the part of the intervening
forces - they will engage enemy, take and hold territory,
and will find it necessary to incrementally escalate their
level of involvement, ala Vietnam. Unlike Desert Storm,
it seems not be shaping up as a Blitzkrieg affair.

Although Uncle Sam has typically had a covert geopolitical agenda (eg
maintaining control of oil production and distribution), he has managed to
play the part of a neutral intervening policeman - establishing order
without any obvious immediate national gain.
But in Albania we see Italy and Greece playing roles much more in
the tradition of standard imperialism: they have obvious historic and
ethnic relationships with Albania, and the intervention gives them an
opportunity re-engineer the Albanian political situation to their perceived
benefit, as imperialist powers have so often done before: adjusting balance
of power, gaining investment opportunities or markets, promoting favored
partisans, etc.

It is most significant that the intervening players were selected on a
voluntary basis - whoever wants to play (among the Euro gang) can, and they
can put down as many chips (troops) on the table as they see fit. This may
bring in a few humanitarian or duty-inspired players, but the primary
result of such a policy is to facilitate Euro gang members in pursuing with
force their geopolitical imperialist interests.
As long as the media can paint a convincing picture of chaos or
injustice, then the UN can respond to the "emergency" with a "mandate"
declaration and the interested gang members can jump in and gain whatever
they can from the intervention opportunity. And don't underestimate the
media's ability to make a mountain out of a molehill. For example, in
Grenada - when American citizens were in no danger whatever - it was very
easy for the media (with the help of dramatic official statements) to
create a false sense of crisis.

Thus it seems that the Desert Storm precedent (legalization of decisive
intervention in a supposedly sovereign state) is now being used to
authorize generic great-power imperialist activity, demonstrating for us
the paradigm for global management that is likely to characterize the
globalist era. We may ultimately have an integrated global military force,
with its own potent divisions, but in the meantime the Euro-gang (including
USA) of bullies will simply sail under a UN flag whenever they see the need
to make a geopolitical adjustment.

There will be squabbles among gang members - as between Italy and Greece
over who gets to land where. But these will be ironed out peacefully -
just like squabbles among the players on a football team. And the biggest
players (due to their permanent Security Council seats and their
influential positions in NATO) will insure their own interests are always
protected and will bring a strategic coherence to the overall pattern and
timing of intervention/enforcement activity.

That's what's different between old-style imperialism and this new
globalist version. We still have the Euro gang screwing the rest of the
world, but now they're doing it on a systematic collaborative basis,
instead of competing with each other to their mutual disadvantage. This
development provides a flexible model for maintenance of global "order" and
supplies the critical security component which is necessary to the New
World Order scheme. Albania seems to be the historic occasion where this
security component will be fully field-tested for the first time, in full
operational mode, and without Uncle Sam there to lend an on-the-ground
guiding hand.

One of problems which will arise will be the need to generate sufficient
home-country public enthusiasm to support the scale of military involvement
that may become necessary in a volative senario like Albania. There is a
straightforward formula that will most likely be employed to solve this
problem.
Just as in Albania, the troops will go in with a humanitarian &
order preserving mandate, with relatively few troops - enough to occupy
strategic positions and protect themselves temorarily. The troops will
then provoke attacks on themselves (although it won't be reported that
way), and public sentiment will support sending the next increment of
troops to back up the first. And so on up the spiral a war will evolve
that is larger than "anyone ever imagined" - or so you will be asked to
believe.

Developments in Albania deserve to be watched closely, reading especially
between the lines. The euro-gang's scheme for collective global hegemony
is being tested and debugged as we watch, cementing one more brick in the
wall of the New World Order edifice.

Regards,
rkm

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Posted by Richard K. Moore - rkmoore@iol.ie - PO Box 26 Wexford, Ireland
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