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Samir Amin in the world press (final part of series) - the Anglocentricity of world system research? by Tausch, Arno 20 June 2001 08:51 UTC |
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This is now the last 10 year archive selection from Reuters in my world system theory in the world press series. There were over 100 articles for Samir Amin, so I had to perform a selection. A final interpretation in the end: the series could and should show, that 'our points' in world systems research are carried in an interesting, but culturally very selective fashion in the world media. AGF's work has been received most actively in the countries of Asia and the Pacific over recent years; Giovanni Arrighi's impact has been especially noticeable in the countries of the Mediterranean (Spain and Italy) and in Brazil; Immanuel Wallerstein's world press echo includes France, Germany and Austria; while Samir Amin's work has been received most actively in the media of the world's South. The echo in all the languages of Reuters Business Briefing over the last 3 years on important authors in the world system tradition was: Samir Amin 93 articles Immanuel Wallerstein 71 articles Andre Gunder Frank 24 articles Giovanni Arrighi 16 articles the late Otto Kreye 7 articles Christopher Chase Dunn 5 articles Articles in English only were distributed as following: Samir Amin 32 articles Immanuel Wallerstein 29 articles Andre Gunder Frank 23 articles Giovanni Arrighi 4 articles the late Otto Kreye 1 article Christopher Chase Dunn 5 articles Thus the coefficient of Anglo-Centricity in the reception of world system theory (English language reception in the world press per total world press reception, i.e. Table 2 divided by Table 1) was: (hope that table comes out well!) total world press echo english language echo english echo per total echo in % Amin 93 32 34,4 Wallerstein 71 29 40,8 Frank 24 23 95,8 Arrighi 16 4 25 Kreye 7 1 14,3 Chase Dunn 5 5 100 Thus the anglocentricity of the reception of world system theory reception in the international press according to Reuters archive over the last 3 years was the following (in %): <<...>> Enjoy the reading Arno Tausch 13Jun2001 SENEGAL: PANAFRICAN NEWS AGENCY (PANA) DAILY NEWSWIRE - Economists welcome African self-help initiat Dakar, Senegal (PANA) - Researchers attending the international conference of economists on the OMEGA Plan, which opened in Dakar Monday, have expressed support for the African self-help initiatives, drawn from various strategies and formulated by Presidents Abdoulaye Wade of Senegal and Thabo Mbeki of South Africa. "The most important thing is that all these plans are trying to offer new prospects and new dreams to the African continent," Hakim Ben Hammouda, a researcher at the Council for the Development of Economic and Social Research in Africa (CODESRIA) told the Senegalese News Agency (APS) following the opening ceremony. He emphasised that the initiatives were very important since "this new period which opens up for Africa differs from the preceding decade when the continent's sole perspective concentrated on the implementation of structural adjustment programmes (SAP) dictated by the IMF and the World Bank". Former Higher Education Minister Sakhir Thiam of Senegal, who is among the 200 participants, hailed the plan and urged that it be put into action and not allowed to remain dormant. These self-help initiatives, which Ben Hammouda said followed a period of lack of interest in the continent, had never been lacking in Africa, economist Samir Amin of the Africa Forum, indicated. "The fact that African States lag in development is not due to lack of initiatives, but rather to the international system which demolished all their attempts," pointed out Amin, who is renown for his Third World ideas. He cited ideas advanced since the Bandong Non-aligned conference in 1955 up to the Lagos Plan of Action, formulated by the UN Economic Commission for Africa, which the World Bank reduced to ashes. Far from sharing the views of his colleagues, he believes, for the moment, "that the liberal globalisation system is not at all favourable to Africa's being responsible for itself." He argues that the continent's marginalisation was partly due to the absence of self-help initiatives. After the Dakar meeting, another conference will be organised 18-19 June in Cairo, Egypt, where economic experts will discuss the OMEGA and MAP (initiated by Mbeki) plans, according to conference sources. All Material Subject to Copyright Copyright 2001: Panafrican News Agency (PANA) Daily Newswire. All Rights Reserved. Sources:MIDDLE EAST INTELLIGENCE WIRE PAN AFRICAN NEWS AGENCY (PANA) 13/06/2001 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 22Jan2001 BRAZIL: Global activists to hold "Anti-Davos" in Brazil. By Shasta Darlington RIO DE JANEIRO, Brazil, Jan 22 (Reuters) - Remember the thousands of protesters who disrupted high-profile world economic talks from Seattle to Prague with circus antics and street clashes? In 2001 they have set themselves a much bolder task - they are hosting an "Anti-Davos" forum in southern Brazil that they hope will produce more proposals than punches. Starting on Thursday, anti-globalization activists of all stripes and nationalities will converge on Porto Alegre, which is ruled by Brazil's left-wing Worker's Party, for the five-day World Social Forum (WSF). Timed to coincide with the World Economic Forum in Davos, socialists, environmentalists and other left-leaning groups will counter the elite powwow in Switzerland of world leaders, corporate CEOs and central bank chiefs, but pens will replace tear gas as the tools of choice. "This is an opportunity to show that the anti-globalization movement has proposals not just protests," said Oded Grajew, the 56-year-old Brazilian businessman-turned-activist who dreamed up the forum. "It is an anti-Davos answer to world problems." The some 10,000 activists, including 2,700 registered participants, will condemn the neoliberal economic policies that they believe have deepened the divide between the rich and the poor, though not even the organizers think the experimental meeting will produce a single, unifying manifesto. The eclectic list of visitors includes the French farmer Jose Bove, famous for trashing his local McDonald's, Nobel prize winning Portuguese writer Jose Saramago, Brazilian architect Oscar Niemayer, Egyptian economist Samir Amin and East Timor freedom fighter Taur Matan Ruak. Among other issues, they want to produce alternative proposals to debt relief programs, fiscal adjustment accords backed by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and free trade agreements, shoring up environmental and human rights concerns. IDEA BORN ONE YEAR AGO The idea for the WSF occurred to Grajew exactly a year ago as he watched the World Economic Forum unfold on television in Paris and he settled on Porto Alegre to host it. "We wanted to hold it in the Third World, since the Third World has suffered the most from neoliberal economic and social policies," Grajew said. Since then, hundreds of international organizations have thrown their support behind the forum and what was meant to be a meeting of 3,000 has ballooned into a mega-event expected to draw 10,000 protesters from around the globe. "This will probably be the largest gathering of activists since I've been one," said Soren Ambrose, policy analyst at "Fifty Years Is Enough," a Washington, D.C.-based group that campaigns against the IMF and World Bank. "A lot of people are really excited and curious to see how it works out." Participants from 120 countries and 1,000 organizations will meet for daily workshops and conferences at the Catholic University (PUC). "In Seattle, protesters were successful in getting our word out and showing there is opposition, but the media focus was on police repression and conflict, we want to show our other face," said Maria Luiza Mendonca, of Brazil's Global Justice, one of the eight groups organizing the forum. Riots in Seattle in December 1999 marred World Trade Organization talks and revealed huge opposition to what were thought to be widely accepted development policies. After that, clashes disrupted a European Union summit in Nice, and IMF and World Bank meetings in Prague. (Rio de Janeiro newsroom, 5521 223 7142, rio.newsroom@reuters.com). (C) Reuters Limited 2001. Sources:REUTERS NEWS SERVICE REUTERS NEWS SERVICE - CENTRAL AND SOUTH AMERICA REUTERS NEWS SERVICE 22/01/2001 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 21Dec2000 BRAZIL: DEMOCRACY-DEVELOPMENT - IN SEARCH OF A NEW UTOPIA. By Mario Osava. RIO DE JANEIRO, Dec. 21 (IPS) - The World Social Forum 2001 (WSF) to take place next month in Brazil will be a bold experiment in drawing together a broad range of interests and civil society groups with the ambitious aim of rebuilding the dreams of the left in today's globalized world. The Jan. 25-30 gathering in the southern Brazilian port city of Porto Alegre, the capital of the state of Rio Grande do Sul, will draw delegates of trade unions, non-governmental organizations (NGOs), and political and social movements from throughout the world to identify new routes and proposals to mobilize civil society internationally. The initial projection of 2,700 participants, divided in equal parts among the four above-mentioned sectors, could actually be several times that, given the flood of registrations, said Fernanda Carvalho, with the Brazilian Institute of Socioeconomic Research, an NGO on the organizing committee. One example of the strong level of interest is Italy, where a flight will have to be chartered to bring all of the delegates. Other countries have also exceeded their quotas. Given the enormous number of activists wishing to participate, the organizing committee will have to modify the schedule of events, which was to involve morning panels in the four auditoriums of the Catholic University, with a capacity for 800 people each. Afternoon workshops and a number of parallel activities will complete the program. The total number of participants could be in excess of 10,000, said Rio Grande do Sul Deputy Governor Miguel Rossetto, one of the gathering's hosts, who recently made a European tour to publicize the event. The WSF emerged as a counterpoint to the World Economic Forum, which has been taking place annually in late January in Davos, Switzerland for the past 29 years. The World Economic Forum "has played a key role in formulating economic policies throughout the world, sponsored by a Swiss organization that serves as a consultant to the United Nations, and financed by more than one thousand corporations," according to the WSF website. The idea to organize an alternative forum parallel to the World Economic Forum emerged from the demonstrations staged since 1998 against meetings of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), the World Bank and the World Trade Organization (WTO), such as the mass protests held at the WTO ministerial conference in Seattle, Washington in late November and early December 1999. The organizers describe the WSF as "a new international arena for the creation and exchange of social and economic projects that promote human rights, social justice and sustainable development," and which "will provide a space for building economic alternatives, for exchanging experiences and for strengthening South-North alliances between NGOs, unions and social movements." Participants will try to come up with "strategies for grassroots organizing" and "build proposals to democratize international institutions such as the WTO, the IMF, and the World Bank to limit the influence of multinational corporations on local communities." While the working agenda for the meeting is "anti-Davos," it will be based on the search for concrete proposals, said Carvalho, who stressed that this year's gathering would be a "first test" of joint reflection by organizations dedicated to a wide spectrum of issues, in the search for alternatives to neo-liberalism. The theme "Another World is Possible" highlights the aim of coming up with global proposals that, in the words of the Brazilian organizing committee, would place "human development and participative democracy among the top priorities of governments and citizenries." The WSF is also an attempt to reorganize and give direction to the world's leftist forces, but not merely political parties. Taking part along with socially concerned trade unions, parliamentarians and government officials will be NGOs fighting for the broadest range of causes. Human rights defenders, land reform advocates, environmentalists and activists working on issues ranging from the foreign debt to urban planning, the fight against poverty and inequalities, gender questions, and even the issue of a one percent tax on financial transactions - the so-called Tobin Tax - will exchange ideas in Porto Alegre. The WSF will not be a decision-making body, and no final document will be approved, but the various groups represented at the forum will be free to disseminate the proposals and joint positions that arise from specific meetings. The choice of Porto Alegre to host the gathering was a statement in and of itself. For the past 12 years, the city has been governed by Brazil's leftist Workers Party, which has run the city based on innovations and people-oriented policies such as the "participative budget," micro-credits, and top priority attention to social problems. Depending on the results of this first attempt to draw together such a wide range of groups and interests, the WSF could become a regular event, held in Brazil or in different countries. Participants will also have to decide whether the WSF headquarters will remain in Porto Alegre, or rotate from country to country. Among the personalities who have confirmed their attendance are U.S. linguist and activist Noam Chomsky, Indian physicist and ecofeminist Vandana Shiva, the leader of East Timor's independence struggle and 1996 Nobel Peace laureate Jose Ramos Horta, Egyptian economist Samir Amin, and Danielle Mitterrand, president of the France Liberti association. Brazil's Landless Movement (Movimento dos Sem Terra, MST) will propose that seeds be named a common heritage of mankind, as part of the struggle against transgenic products. It will also organize group visits by participants to camps set up near Porto Alegre by landless rural folk waiting to be settled on their own parcels of land. Chomsky sees the gathering as an "opportunity of unparalleled importance to bring together popular forces from many and varied constituencies from the richer and poor countries alike, to develop constructive alternatives that will defend the overwhelming majority of the world's population from the attack on fundamental human rights." The panels in which the formally registered delegates will take part will focus on four main themes: the production of wealth; access to wealth and sustainability; civil society and the public arena; and political power and ethics in the new society. A World Parliamentary Forum will also be held as part of the WSF, with some 500 delegates from throughout the world. Other events will be youth and indigenous camps, in which representatives of each sector will discuss their specific problems and concerns. Afternoon workshops will be organized around a variety of issues, in 60 different meeting rooms. The aim is to "cross agendas" and promote dialogue between organizations and movements working on a range of issues and with different constituencies, in a search for "symbiosis," said Carvalho. The gathering will be brought to a close by some 350 events - including concerts, plays and art exhibits - throughout the city, the organizers reported. (c) 2000 Global Information Network. Sources:GLOBAL INFORMATION NETWORK IPS NEWSFEED 21/12/2000 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 01Oct2000 TURKEY: Neoliberal globalization and the democracy paradox - The Turkish general elections of 1999. By Onis, Ziya. Neoliberal globalization as a late 20th century phenomenon is an inherently contradictory process. It is a process that unleashes tremendous potential for economic growth driven by rapid technological progress, notably in the areas of communications and information technology and is associated with the opening of markets and the rapid expansion of trade and capital flows. At the same time, it is a highly uneven process that tends to aggravate inequality between as well as within countries, by favoring certain regions or social groups over others. The uneven nature of neoliberal globalization is also a reflection or even a byproduct of the different speeds at which globalization occurs. It thus creates disproportionate benefits in favor of the industrialized countries of the North and the small number of semi-peripheral countries or emerging markets, such as Turkey, which are tied to the northern countries through north-south regional blocs. Significant parts of the developing world have been marginalized and left out of this process. Within individual countries, neoliberal globalization tends to create a group of winners who are able to take advantage of access to technology and integration with the world markets. Concurrently, it tends to create a group of losers, who lack the skills and the capacity to adapt themselves to the new environment and, hence, are excluded from its potential benefits. Natural corollaries of this tendency are the growing differentiation within the national economy and the dichotomy of highly prosperous and declining, or stagnant, regions within the same national economic space. The paradox of neoliberal globalization is that it unifies and integrates while it fragments and marginalizes. Globalization of the world economy finds its most complete form in financial markets; the process has been less thorough, however, in the areas of foreign direct investment and foreign trade. In the latter, in spite of significant recent moves to establish a free, multilateral world trading environment, striking elements of protectionism continue to exist and novel instruments of protectionism are created, notably in industrialized countries, in the form of labor and environmental and technical standards.1 While financial globalization constitutes the most successful aspect of neoliberal globalization, labor mobility comprises the sphere where progress to date has been the most limited. Labor mobility applies largely to a sub-group of highly skilled employees. Unskilled or semi-skilled workers are usually confined to their national territories and look to their respective governments to improve their living standards. The contradictory processes unleashed by neoliberal globalization thus places enormous strains and tensions on the state. In the aftermath of widespread privatization, as well as trade and capital account liberalization, many of the functions that the state has traditionally performed have become obsolete. This is not to argue that the state itself has no useful function to perform in the age of globalization. The state has to modify and adapt itself to the new environment and assume new responsibilities in such key areas as building human capital and technological infrastructure, maintaining macroeconomic stability, creating a competitive environment and regulating financial systems. The "competition state," which requires productive integration with the global economy, however, is a state that possesses limited capacity to provide social welfare. Indeed, attempts to extend the boundaries of the welfare state may result in capital flight and stagnation in an environment where individual nations are competing fiercely to attract the available pool of global capital. This article attempts to study the impact of neoliberal globalization on the process of democratization. First, I will discuss the conceptual relationship between neoliberal globalization and democratization. Then I will look at Turkey's specific experience with globalization and will identify some of its impacts on the Turkish economy Next, I turn to the political question and examine how globalization has affected political outcomes. This section specifically analyzes the results of the 1999 election and the trend toward party fragmentation. The last section analyzes the impact of this fragmentation on Turkey's democratization process. The Turkish experience presents itself as an interesting case because Turkey, as a second-generation newly industrialized country (NIC) and an emerging market, has experienced both the positive and negative aspects of neoliberal globalization during the 1980s and I990s. From a comparative perspective, the Turkish case also illustrates how the universal features of neoliberal globalization interact with certain specific national characteristics, such as the presence of a tradition of a strong, centralized state, which influences the process of sociopolitical development and the course of democratization within the national context. NEOLIBERAL GLOBALIZATION AND THE DEMOCRACY PARADOX: A CONCEPTUAL FRAMEWORK Does neoliberal globalization promote democracy, abstract democracy or both? This is a difficult question to answer. The relationship between globalization and democracy, or democratization, is a complex, ambiguous and contradictory one. In general, the impact of globalization on prospects for democratic governance in many parts of the world appears to be extremely favorable and prospects for democracy on a global scale indeed seem better than ever. Authoritarian regimes have been dismantled, or are in the process of being dismantled, in many parts of the developing world, notably in Latin America, East Asia and Eastern Europe.2 The current wave of economic globalization is resulting in Western-style, liberal and pluralistic polities, which set high standards regarding human rights. Increasingly, successful economic integration requires political reforms. Paradoxically, and in striking contrast to the Cold War era, transnational corporations and financial institutions are unwilling to invest in and lend to countries with authoritarian structures and weak human rights records. Authoritarian regimes are no longer justified on the grounds of stability or security, as in the past, and are increasingly associated with favoritism, lack of transparency and uncertainty. Transnational institutions like the World Bank place increasing emphasis on "good governance," suggesting that the development of strong and democratically accountable institutions have a critical role to play in successful economic development. Another striking element associated with contemporary patterns of globalization concerns the development of civil society and the proliferation of non-governmental organizations (NGOs). This is a process that manifests itself in industrial societies, and is also reflected, perhaps to a lesser extent, in the development of transnational NGOs. A positive correlation appears to exist between the development of civil society on a national or global basis and an extension of civil or human rights and freedom within individual countries. Considering the arguments that I have presented thus far, it is not surprising that many people tend to conceptualize globalization and democratization as necessarily parallel, interchangeable and mutually reinforcing phenomena. The reality is more complex, however, and a deeper analysis would suggest that the relationship between globalization and democracy contains a dark, negative side along with the positive, favorable features mentioned above. Associated with these patterns of globalization has been the emergence of nationalist and fundamentalist movements of various sorts, movements that tend to create enormous tensions during democratization. Authoritarian or exclusionary identity politics seem to be a necessary corollary of globalization, although the manifestations of such politics vary among countries. The growing influence of the far right in Western Europe, the spread of micro or ethno-nationalism in Eastern Europe and parts of Latin America and the resurgence of political Islam in the Middle East are arguably diverse national or regional representations of the same global tendency.3 From the perspective of political economy, this tendency is not difficult to explain. As suggested earlier, globalization is an intrinsically uneven process that dislocates individuals, uproots communities, creates unemployment and increases the degree of uncertainty in the lives of a growing number of individuals. Thus, globalization creates a large group of losers, and exclusionary identity politics based on race, religion or ethnic identity becomes a natural means whereby the losers of globalization protest, seek to recover their lost positions and try to re-establish a degree of stability and certainty in their lives. In many cases, these groups or movements benefit from the emergence of a more pluralistic political environment. Ironically though, in many cases their own democratic credentials are rather weak. They typically see democracy as a means to consolidate their own political position and their political projects, rather than an end in itself. Clearly, the emergence of anti-systemic political movements or parties, basing their claim for legitimacy on an exclusionary group identity, generates enormous ambiguities and tensions, notably but not exclusively, for nascent democratic regimes. This raises serious issues about how much these movements should be tolerated, and how democracies should best protect themselves from fundamentalist political movements who see democracy largely in instrumental terms. Another difficult issue concerning the complex relationship between globalization and democratization concerns the quality of democratization taking place in some countries. While democratic politics is being established as the norm in the majority of countries, serious questions remain regarding the true democratic credentials of many of the democracies being established. Various terms, such as "delegative democracy," "low intensity democracy" or "the politics of anti-politics, have been used to describe a familiar pattern: low key politics within a compressed public space and based on personalities rather than concrete party programs.4 Such politics are driven by the desire for individual material enrichment rather than the public good. Thus, it is not surprising to observe a degeneration of political activity and a corresponding loss of trust in politicians and political activity on the part of the general public. The moral vacuum that seems to accompany the current wave of democratization reflects the extension of the market to encompass economic and non-economic dimensions of everyday life, including political activity. It is therefore not so paradoxical that identity politics are emerging at the same time that neoliberal globalization is taking place. The deep sense of uncertainty and the feeling of rootlessness produced by globalization have clearly contributed to the rise of often authoritarian forms of identity politics to the center stage in the political arena. It is perhaps this very gap between what is possible and what is expected in this new, globalized environment that is causing widespread public dissatisfaction and disillusionment with politicians and political activity. TURKEY: CHALLENGES AND STRAINS OF GLOBALIZATION Turkey's encounter with neoliberal globalization dates back to 1980. Following the collapse of the import substitution model of development during the late 1970s, Turkey embarked on a major economic reform period in 1980, with strong support from transnational financial institutions. The objective of the reform process was to correct the severe inward orientation of the previous era and create an economy that would be fully integrated and competitive with the world market. The question of whether the Turkish version of neoliberalism has been successful is an issue that deserves treatment in its own right.5 What is significant in the present context is how Turkey's neoliberal reform process has conditioned the subsequent course of socio-political development and the pattern of electoral politics that has emerged, notably during the 1990s. With this specific question in mind, it is worth highlighting the following features of the Turkish experiment in neoliberalism. Rapid Growth In spite of the qualifications concerning the quality of economic growth, Turkey has nonetheless managed to grow at an average rate of 4 to 5 percent since 1980. This comparatively high growth rate has, in turn, created a significant group of winners from the globalization process. The winners have not been limited to largescale conglomerates, capitalizing on export markets and the opportunities provided by financial liberalization. A striking trend in recent years has been the emergence of new centers of industrial growth in inner Anatolia, such as Denizli, forum, Urfa, Gaziantep and Konya, which have challenged the industrial dominance of Istanbul and the Marmara region. The emergence of these new centers of growth is strongly associated with successful small firm development and heavily oriented toward production based on advanced technology for external markets. The striking performance of small-and medium-scale firms in these new centers of economic growth, the so called Anatolian Tigers, have been frequently highlighted in the recent literature on Turkey's development trajectory in the neoliberal era.6 Macroeconomic Instability and Fiscal Crisis Endemic macroeconomic instability and chronically high rates of inflation, originating from an underlying fiscal crisis of the state, have been striking features of the Turkish neoliberal experiment. The state's fiscal problems emerged in the 1970s, largely a result of unusually high public sector borrowing. During the early years of stabilization and reform in the 1980s, some success was achieved in containing the budget deficit and reducing the inflation rate. Following the transition to full, unrestricted multi-party democracy in 1987 and the resulting populist pressures for redistribution, however, the fiscal crisis of the state intensified in the late 1980s and the early 1990s. Indeed, fiscal disequilibrium was an important cause of the financial crisis of 1994 in Turkey.7 The subsequent stabilization measures, however, have so far failed to produce a fundamental change. Budget Deficit Another feature of Turkey's economy in the 1990s concerns the importance of domestic borrowing by the state at high interest rates to cover the budget deficit. Successive Turkish governments have found themselves confronted with a major dilemma: While the pressures for populist redistribution have been immense given the nature of inequality in Turkish society, populist redistribution has been increasingly inconsistent with the goals of achieving and sustaining high rates of growth and successful integration into the global economy. This creates a vicious circle whereby redistribution attempts result in endemic fiscal instability and high inflation. This tends to generate a fragile, stop-and-go pattern of economic growth based on inflows of short-term speculative capital. The absence of macroeconomic stability therefore fails to provide a conducive environment for long-term domestic and foreign investment. Moreover, the heavy interest burden on domestic debt, which has been accumulating throughout the 1990s, has increasingly left few resources to redistribute. Paradoxically, a disproportionate share of public resources are directed toward the repayment of the principal and interest on domestic debt, limiting the resources available for redistribution and long-term development. Inegalitarian Economic Development Although Turkey's economic growth has been fairly rapid, an inegalitarian pattern of development has persisted in Turkey during the 1980s and the 1990s. Turkey has one of the higher relative income inequalities: a recent estimate of Turkey's Gini coefficient, a standard indicator of relative income inequality, was 0.5. Furthermore, the Turkish development experience has been characterized by major inter-regional income inequality. Turkey's comparatively low per capita income of $5,516 (calculated to account for purchasing power parity) is a reflection of the wide gap between the relatively developed regions of the West and the South and the severely underdeveloped regions of the Southeast and East.8 While the Kurdish issue in Turkey is partly an issue of ethnic identity, it is also related to the economic underdevelopment of the Southeast. Associated with this inegalitarian pattern of development has been large-scale unemployment and underemployment, continued rural-urban migration and the growth of shantytowns around the major metropolitan centers. Fortunately, Turkey is in a process of demographic transition with population growth displaying a marked decline in recent years.9 However, the high rate of population growth until recently has created a population structure, which, in contrast to European patterns, is dominated by young people. In addition, a disproportionate share of the population, some 40 percent of the labor force, is concentrated in agricultural and rural areas, in spite of the fact that the share of agriculture to total national production has declined dramatically in recent decades. Yet another characteristic of the Turkish experience has been the cycles of wage repression and recovery Indeed, real wages were heavily depressed in the early years of the neoliberal experiment under military rule from 1980 to 1983 and the subsequent phase of restricted democracy from 1983 to 1987. Real wages recovered significantly in the late 1980s and the early 1990s. However, the financial crisis of 1994, and the subsequent stabilization program implemented in conjunction with the IMF, have created yet another round of wage depression during the latter half of the 1990s. A characteristic not unique to Turkey is that the state possesses limited capacity to reverse the inegalitarian trend resulting from globalization. It is increasingly left to informal institutional arrangements or networks to provide a rudimentary form of welfare provision.10 The growth of these informal networks and the concept of the "network society" is crucial to understanding the highly volatile electoral politics of the 1990s. The electoral scene of the 1990s is increasingly dominated by competition among these rival informal networks. PARTY FRAGMENTATION DURING THE 1990S Now that I have examined how globalization has affected the Turkish economy, I will move on to its impact on democratization and the political sphere. An apparent paradox of the Turkish political scene during the 1990s, which sharply differentiates it from the 1980s, concerns the fragmentation of the party system and the return of coalition politics. The political system was strictly controlled during the 1980s. As noted, Turkey had a military government from 1980 to 1983 and a controlled transition to democracy from 1983 to 1987. There were explicit limits imposed on the number and nature of the political parties allowed to participate in the general elections of November 1983 and the municipal elections of March 1984. In November 1983, Turgut Ozal's right-of-center Motherland Party won the first general election after military rule." The Motherland Party continued to dominate the political scene and emerged as the winner once again in the 1987 general election. However, following the September 1987 referendum, which eliminated the ban imposed by the military on such political parties as the Justice Party and the Republican People's Party and their leaders, Suleyman Demirel and Bulent Ecevit respectively, the Turkish political system reached a new point in its transition to unrestricted party competition. By the end of the 1980s, Motherland's popularity had started to wane significantly, and the party lost power in the 1991 election. Since then, Turkish politics have been characterized by instability caused by party fragmentation on both the Left and the Right.12 With the return of the principal political leaders of the earlier era to active politics after the 1987 referendum, a clash of personalities also played a divisive role in Turkish politics. The fragmentation of the Turkish party system and the volatility of electoral politics in Turkey during the 1990s is clearly illustrated in Table 1. In analytical terms, it is useful to divide the principal political parties in Turkey into three distinct categories: 1) right of center political parties, including Motherland and the True Path; 2) left of center political parties, including the Republican People's Party and Ecevit's Democratic Left; and 3) fringe political parties with anti-systemic orientations, including the pro-Islamist Virtue Party, the extreme Nationalist Action Party and ethnic nationalist HADEP, a party that seeks to represent the rights of the Kurdish minority in the southeastern part of the country The electoral performance of the "Nationalist Action coalition" and the "VirtueWelfare coalition" are displayed separately in Table 1-A. (The Virtue Party replaced the Welfare Party after it was closed by the Constitutional Court in January 1998.) However, I show the collective performance of these parties in Table 1-B, together with another small party, the Reformist Democracy Party, as they joined forces in the elections of 1991, under the collective banner of Welfare. The Reformist Democracy Party, however, has subsequently been marginalized and left out of the "Welfare coalition." Several trends emerge from this data. First, none of the political parties have independently been able to capture more than 25 percent of the total vote in national or local elections. This is contrasted with the electoral patterns of the 1970s and the 1980s, when electoral politics was typically dominated by one major political party on the right and one on the left of the political spectrum. In fact, with the exception of relatively brief interludes, the general pattern of democratic politics since its inception in 1950 has been characterized by the dominance of a major political party of the center-right. Second, both parties of the center-right have been steadily losing ground in the 1990s and emerged from the April 1999 elections as clear losers. Third, the Republican People's Party, the party which perhaps comes closest to a Western style social democratic party in Turkey, has also been on a steady downward slide. The party could claim only about 8 to 9 percent of the total national vote and failed to secure any seats in Parliament for the first time since its creation by Atatirk in 1923. The Democratic Left, the other main party with social democratic credentials, however, has managed to increase its share of the vote steadily in the 1990s and emerged as the leading party in the 1999 elections. Table 1-A Table 1-B While many of the centrist parties have suffered declining electoral support, fringe parties have enjoyed an unexpected and dramatic rise in national prominence, such as the Welfare Party's marked success during the March 1994 municipal elections and the December 1995 general elections. The Welfare Party was subsequently renamed, or replaced by, the Virtue Party following its closure by the Constitutional Court and its effective exclusion from formal politics in January 1998. Equally striking has been the rise of the extreme Nationalist Action Party to the position of the second largest party in parliament.13 In fact, an examination of the distribution of votes between center and fringe parties suggests a steady improvement in the relative position of the fringe or anti-systemic parties, as illustrated in Table 2. Another important political development involves the apparent convergence in party programs during the course of the 1990s. An examination of recent party programs and a comparison on the basis of seven main criteria point toward some interesting tendencies, which are worth highlighting. The seven criteria are: privatization, as a measure of commitment to reducing the direct involvement of the state in economic affairs; decentralization, as a measure of commitment to reducing Ankara's control over regional districts; democratization and individual rights, as a measure of the party's commitment to civil rights and democracy; traditional and conservative communitarianism, which involves a mix of Islamic and nationalist undertones and emphasizes tradition, hierarchy and group solidarity; nationalism, which measures the extent to which the party programs are based on nationalist, exclusionary dialogue; secularism, which measures the party's commitment to separation of religion and the state; and, foreign policy orientation, which indicates the party's stance toward EU membership. These trends are laid out in Table 3. Table 2 Some interesting trends are clear from Table 3. First, there seems to be much less disagreement on economic issues in the 1990s compared with earlier periods. In the past, significant differences existed between the right-of-center and left-of-center parties concerning the role of the state in economic affairs and the issue of whether or not to privatize the large state enterprise sector. Now, almost all political parties appear to be in favor of privatization and the market economy, although differences of emphasis may still be detected.14 Table 3 Secondly, all of the parties appear to be in favor of some decentralization and delegation of authority to local governments. Most of the political parties also appear to be in favor of democratization and the enlargement of individual rights. At the same time, with one exception, the programs of all the principal political parties tend to reflect strong traditional and conservative communitarian elements involving various mixes of Islam and nationalism. This type of communitarianism, with its emphasis on tradition, culture, hierarchy and group solidarity, makes a rather sharp contrast with the "liberal communitarian" vision of the world, with its emphasis on the individual and individual rights within a broader social context. Perhaps not surprisingly, then, the emphasis on nationalism appears to be particularly strong across the political spectrum. The degree of emphasis placed on secularism seems to be a point of demarcation between center-left and center-right political parties, with the former placing more emphasis on the importance of secularism. Center-right parties appear less concerned with maintaining secularism. Foreign policy orientations of the political parties are broadly parallel, again with one or two exceptions. The link between party programs and electoral results will be explored later. One last dramatic trend underlying the electoral politics of the 1990s, and particularly the elections of 1999, and closely related to the process of globalization, involves the national-local divide. The 1999 elections are important because they marked the first time national and local elections were held simultaneously in Turkey Thus, the electoral performance of any given political party may differ significantly in the same locality depending whether one examines the results from the general or the local elections. For example, the pro-Islamic Virtue Party's share of the national vote declined in the 1999 elections relative to its 1995 performance, but the party continued to dominate in major metropolitan centers, such as Ankara and Istanbul. This suggests that voters increasingly differentiate between local and national politics and consider the personalities and the performance of the parties at the local level independently of the broader ideology or program of the national party The divergence between the performance of the principal political parties in the national and local elections is illustrated in Table 4. IMPACT OF GLOBALIZATION ON POLITICAL BEHAVIOR A closer examination of party programs and electoral behavior in Turkey during the 1999 elections in particular reveals what is now needed for electoral success. First, successful electoral performance seems to depend on the formation of a broad coalition that successfully integrates the winners as well as the losers of neoliberal globalization. The Welfare Party is a particularly good example of this. Welfare has managed to successfully integrate groups who have benefited from the globalization process, such as the rising bourgeoisie and the new elites in emerging centers of small enterprise development in Anatolia with marginal groups in urban centers who constitute the clear losers of globalization. The strong emphasis in the Welfare program on communitarian elements, such as Islam or nationalism, integrates these rather diverse groups in a nationwide organization. A similar phenomenon is evident in the rise during the 1999 elections of the Nationalist Action Party.Although its populist rhetoric and varying degrees of emphasis on nationalism and Islam appealed to the underprivileged, Nationalist Action has managed to attract the rising businessman and the new elites on the periphery to forge a cross-class coalition. White Nationalist Action's bond is based more on an appeal to nationalism, the Islamic element has also been an important feature of the party's electoral program. The Nationalist Action Party capitalized on the decline of the Virtue Party, following the loss of morale and organizational disarray after its predecesor was closed. Indeed, the Nationalist Action Party has managed to increase its votes precisely in the areas where Welfare previously dominated. The experiences of both the Welfare and the Nationalist Action Parties clearly testify to the importance of strong organizational skills, local level networks and redistributive mechanisms, which are crucial in building a broad cross-class coalition from a grassroots level. The logical implication of this argument is that class-based politics do not produce success in the new political environment. This observation is directly verified in the cases of both the Motherland and the Republican People's Parties, which have become increasingly class-based and which have sustained significant electoral losses. The Motherland Party under Ozal during the 1980s was a truly cross-class coalition. Its programmatic appeal was based on a hybrid ideology, combining a strong commitment to the market with communitarian elements of nationalism and Islam, although not to the extent of Nationalist Action and Welfare. Following the departure of Ozal and the more conservative elements in the party, it progressively lost its cross-class quality Under the dominance of its liberal wing, during the 1990s the Motherland Party increasingly became the principal representative of the urban bourgeoisie, which has naturally benefited from the globalization process. The Motherland Party example clearly demonstrates that a political party that only appeals to the winners of globalization will not be able to translate this limited popularity into electoral success. Similarly, the Republican People's Party, which tried to appeal primarily to the losers of the globalization process, was not able to generate the desired level of electoral success in the 1990s. It is important to note, however, that the specific historical legacy of the Republican People's association with the state and the state ideology of authoritarian secularism has also limited its electoral success.15 A second attribute of successful parties in the 1990s is their appeal to the underpriviledged, which accounts for the Welfare Party's rise to power in 1994 and 1995 and the unexpected rise of the Nationalist Action Party in 1999. Both of these parties have capitalized on the weaknesses of the traditional social democratic parties in Turkey and have represented themselves as the natural outlets for the underprivileged. In both cases, they appeared to be more statist and populist than the mainstream parties. At the same time, they managed to differentiate themselves in terms of their discourse from the mainstream political parties of the "center." Welfare appealed to the electorate by using Islamic nationalism whereas Nationalist Action focused more on nationalism and national identity.16 The appeal to the underprivileged in both cases utilized strong collectivist and communitarian elements that helped to build a bridge between various levels of society These strong communitarian elements had a strong moral appeal in the Turkish environment, which is increasingly characterized by favoritism, corruption and an overall decline in ethics caused by relentless materialism and the extension of the market into everyday life. The identification of the main center-right political parties with corruption has also been instrumental in tilting the balance of support toward parties of the extreme right. Table 4 This moral imperative also helps explain the rise of Ecevit's Democratic Left as the premier party of the center-left. Ecevit's brand of social democracy embodied a strong emphasis on nationalism in conjunction with a challenge to political Islam, although it did not convey the strong authoritarian secularist tone associated with its rival Republican People's Party Specifically, the Democratic Left presented an image of being on good terms with pure Islam while being against the politization of religion. Ecevit's image as a clean politician has helped bolster the party's electoral chances. In fact, pleas for clean politics were an important common element in the rise of two leaders, Ecevit of the Democratic Left and Bahceli of Nationalist Action, during the 1999 elections. A third attribute is that, despite cross-class coalitions, winning parties continue to command a relatively small fraction of the total vote. The reasons for the limited nature of these cross-class coalitions are primarily economic. The parties concerned do not have economic resources themselves or access to state resources. They are therefore unable to build broadly based electoral coalitions that would win a majority of the vote. Thus, the financial limits of clientelistic politics contribute to the fragmentation of party politics. IMPACT OF PARTY FRAGMENTATION AND COALITION GOVERNMENTS An interesting question to consider is whether electoral volatility and party fragmentation necessarily imply an inherently unstable polity in Turkey From an economic point of view, the fragmented party system and associated pattern of coalition politics during the 1990s have clearly restricted the ability of governments to undertake rapid and far-reaching reform in such key areas as privatization, taxation and social welfare. Coalition politics, at least until recently, have been associated with weak governmentsgovernments that have lacked the authority to pursue, as well as the willingness to pay the price for, deep-seated structural reforms. The failure to undertake reforms has been costly to the Turkish economy Due to the presence of persistent macroeconomic instability and chronically high rates of inflation, the Turkish economy has failed to realize its potential level of economic growth. Nonetheless, the degree of political instability in Turkey should not be overexaggerated. First, a significant gap exists between what parties promise while in opposition and what they can deliver once they are actually in office. The presence of severe fiscal constraints and the discipline imposed by the international financial community limit how much parties can deliver to low income groups. Thus, many populists become at least qualified neoliberal reformers once in government. This is best illustrated by the recent example involving the coalition between the Democratic Left and Nationalist Action and its commitment to key reforms in the areas of privatization, social security and the banking system. It is also striking that the statist and redistributive orientation of the Islamist Welfare Party was significantly reversed when the party was the dominant government coalition partner from July 1996 to June 1997. Moreover, the old party program of the Virtue Party, which was based on extensive redistribution and an expanded role for the state, has been replaced by a commitment to privatization and a reduction of the role of the state in economic affairs. The parameters set by the logic of neoliberal globalization and the requirements of successful integration with global capitalism effectively lead to a convergence of economic policies when parties of different ideological orientations find themselves in government. This gap between what is preached in opposition and what is implemented in government has led to a certain disillusionment with politics and political activity in general.17 It also contributes to the volatility and fragmentation of the party system in the sense that electoral choice is increasingly centered around leaders and personalities, as opposed to concrete party programs. The paradox is that this instability will not impact economic policies, as they are increasingly determined by exogenous factors. In the political realm, the fragmentation of the center-left and the center-right has contributed to political instability in Turkey by providing room for fringe parties of the extreme right to establish themselves as major political actors. This was clear during the rise of political Islam in the mid-199Qs, which provided a direct and serious challenge to the existing secular constitutional order. The strong tradition of a centralized state and the Kemalist ideology based on a deep commitment to the principles of secularism and the unitary nation-state have built a significant element of stability, perhaps overstability, into the Turkish political system. The closure of the Islamist Welfare Party in 1998-an action spearheaded by the military-clearly highlights the limits imposed by the key institutions of the state. Thus, Turkey's challenge is to balance a stable political order with the process of democratization. The centralized state, and a strong commitment to Kemalism, restricts the sphere of action of groups or parties whose politics are based explicitly on religious or ethnic identity. At the same time, the democratic credentials of anti-systemic parties, such as the Welfare Party or its successor, the Virtue Party, are also in doubt. Important developments increase optimism regarding the potential for democratic deepening in Turkey First, the experience of the most recent coalition government, formed after the 1999 elections, suggests that Turkey is learning to live with coalition governments. Coalition politics no longer necessarily imply the deep-seated instability or conflict as it did in the latter half of the 1970s and the early phase of the I990s. Moreover, there has been a change in political culture in favor of greater tolerance and management by consensus. Indeed, in spite of the existence of a fragmented polity, the most recent coalition government in Turkey has been able to undertake radical economic reforms. A second element of democratic deepening involves the process of decentralization and the growing importance of local level participation in politics that are in line with the global trends. A third positive influence concerns the potentially favorable impact of eventual membership in the European Union following the formal announcement of Turkey's candidacy for the EU at the Helsinki Summit of December 1999. EU membership is crucial for the process of democratic deepening in Turkey. CONCLUSION Neoliberal globalization is an inherently inegalitarian process that undermines the redistributive capacities of the state, but paradoxically tends to promote democracy. However, the democracy that emerges is without real alternatives in the economic arena. The distinction between the traditional Right and traditional Left is being progressively blurred with steady convergence in the economic realm between parties of quite different ideological orientations. Consequently, politics has shifted to radically different terrain and now centers around issues of ethnic, religious or national identity It would be misleading to assume, however, that identity politics is a purely superstructural phenomenon or a cultural manifestation of contemporary patterns of globalization. Indeed, closer examination reveals that what appears on the surface to be conflicts over group identity are, in many instances, economic conflicts. Neoliberal globalization tends to generate a significant group of losers as well as winners. The mobilization of those adversely affected by globalization frequently occurs by appealing to ethnic, religious or national identity Hence, what appears to be identity politics is in fact a protest on the part of the excluded against deeply rooted inequalities that are worsened by exposure to the globalization process. This may explain the electoral success of the Islamist Welfare Party in Turkey in 1994 and 1995, and the subsequent rise of the Democratic Left and the extreme Nationalist Action during the 1999 elections. While the losers of globalization typically constitute the backbone of political parties, class-based politics has been unable to generate electoral success. A clear formula far electoral success requires forging a broad cross-class coalition, which integrates both the winners and losers of the globalization process. Strong traditional and conservative communitarian agendas based on nationalism or Islam or both appear to be crucial in tying these disparate elements together in a broad-based cross-class coalition. The construction of cross-class coalitions is also critical in generating the resources needed to organize informal networks of redistribution to the poor and underprivileged majority within these coalitions. Indeed, the construction of such well-functioning informal networks constitutes an important organizational precondition for electoral success. The recent Turkish experience also helps to highlight another apparent paradox of neoliberal globalization: it restricts the state's ability to guarantee social rights even as citizens increasingly look to their state for welfare provision due to the increasingly uncertain economic environment. Under these circumstances, citizens become increasingly disenchanted with politicians and political activity This growing lack of trust in politics is also caused by low ethical standards and corruption due to weakening state authority. Not surprisingly, the more successful parties in Turkey have effectively capitalized on this moral vacuum by stressing their claims to clean politics. The parties concerned are confronted with a real dilemma once they find themselves in office. In opposition, their ability to distinguish themselves from their rivals constitutes a key element of their success. Once they are in government, however, their ability to differentiate themselves from their rivals declines sharply, given the parameters set by the official state ideology and the international financial community. This discrepancy reduces their chances of replicating their previous electoral success and contributes to the inherent fragmentation and lack of equilibrium in the party system. 1 On the broad economic aspects of the contemporary globalization process and its inherently uneven character, see Paul O. Hirst and Grahame Thompson, Globalization in Question (Cambridge: Polity Press, 1996); Robert Boyer and Daniel Drache, eds., States Against Markets: The Limits of Globalization (London: Routledge, 1996); Susan Strange, The Retreat of the State (New York: Cambridge University Press, 1996) and Andrew Hurrell and Ngaire Woods, "Globalization and Inequality," Millennium, 24, no. 3 ( 1995) pp. 447-70. 2 On the complex relationship between globalization and democratization, see James Mittelman, ed., Globalization: Critical Perspectives (Boulder, CO: Lynne Rienner, 1996) and John S. Dryzek Democracy in Capitalist Times: Ideals, Limits and Struggles (New York: Oxford University Press, 1996). On a favorable assessment of the prospects for democratization, see Samuel P Huntington, The Third Wave: Democratization in the Late Twentieth Century (Norman, OI and London: University of Oklahoma Press, 1991 ). 3 For a broad analysis concerning the relationship between globalization and the emergence of authoritarian politics, see Samir Amin, Capitalism in the Age of Globalization (London and New Jersey: Zed Books, 1997). On the emergence of the extreme right in Western Europe, see Herbert Kitschelt, The Radical Right in Western Europe (Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press, 1995). For a discussion of similar tendencies in the Eastern European context during the post-1989 era, see Sabrina P. Ramet, Whose Democracy? Nationalism, Religion and the Doctrine of Collective Rights in Post-1989 Eastern Europe (Boulder, CO and New York: Rowman and Littlefield, 1997). A good discussion of similar tendencies in the Latin American context is provided by Alison Brysk and Carol Wise, "Liberalization and Ethnic Conflict in Latin America," Studies in Comparative International Development, 32, no. 2 (Summer 1997) pp. 76-104. 4 Particularly important in this context are Guillermo O'Donnell, "Delegative Democracy" Journal of Democracy, 5, no. 1 ( 1994) pp. 55-69; Barry Gills, Joel Rocamora and Richard Wilson, eds., Low Intensity Democracy: Political Power in the New World Order (London and Boulder, CO: Pluto Press, 1993); and Fareed Zakaria, "The Rise of Illiberal Democracy," Foreign Affairs (November/December 1997) pp. 22-43. 5 For a detailed and critical assessment concerning the consequences of the Turkish neoliberal experiment in the post-1980 era, see Ziya Onis, State and Market: The Political Economy of Turkey in Comparative Perspective (Istanbul: Bogazici University Press, 1998) and Ziya Onis, "The Turkish Economy at the Turn of a New Century: Critical and Comparative Perspectives," in M. Abramowitz, ed., Changing Turkey and the United States (Washington, DC: The Century Foundation, forthcoming). 6 On new centers of industrial growth based on small and medium sized firms in the socalled Anatolian Tigers, see Ahmet Kose and Ahmet Oncu, "Dunya ve Turkiye Ekonomisinde Anadolu Imalat Sanayii: Zenginlesmenin mi Yoksa Yoksullasmanin mi Esigindeyiz," Toplum ve Bilim, 77 (Summer 1998) pp. 135-58; Alpay Filiztekin and Insan Tunali,:Anatolian Tigers: Are They For Real?" New Perspectives on Turkey, 20 (Spring 1999) pp. 77-106. 7 On the nature of fiscal disequilibrium in the Turkish economy during the neoliberal era, see Izak Atiyas and Serif Sayin, "The Political Economy of Budget Deficit in Turkey" Bagazici Journal, 12, no. 1 ( 1998) pp. 55-80. For an analysis of the Turkish financial crises of 1994 from a comparative perspective, see Ziya Onis and Ahmet Faruk Aysan, "Neoliberal Globalization, the Nation State and Financial Crises in the Semi-Periphery: A Comparative Analysis," Third World Quarterly, 21, no. 1 (2000) pp. 119-40. 8 For evidence on different dimensions of income inequality in Turkey, see Zehra Kasnakoglu, "Income Distribution in Turkey: Who Gets What?" Private View, 4/5, no. 3 (Autumn 1997) pp. 56-62. The per capita income Figure is based on UN Human Development Report, 1998 (New York: Oxford University Press, 1999). 9 For a comprehensive analysis of the changing demographic trends and the decline in the rate of population growth in Turkey during the recent period, see TL15IAD, Turk ye'nin Firsat Penceresi: Demografk Donusum ve Izduiumleri (Istanbul: TUSIAD Publication, 1999). 10 For a comprehensive discussion of informal networks and their importance in the political economy of Turkey, see Aye Bugra, "The Immoral Economy of Housing in Turkey," International Journal of Urban and Regional Research, 22, no. 2 (1998) pp. 303-17. 11 For an analysis of the political environment of the 1980s and the rise of the Motherland Party, see John Waterbury, "Export-Led Growth and the Center Right Coalition in Turkey" Comparative Politics, 24 (Winter 1992) pp. 127-45. Also relevant to an understanding of the period is Metin Heper, ed., Strong State and Economic Interest Groups: The Post-1980 Turkish Experience (Berlin and New York: Walter de Gruyter, 1991 ). On the pattern of electoral politics during the 1990s, see Ersin Kalaycioglu, "The Shaping of Party Preferences in Turkey: Coping with Post Cold War Era," New Perspectives on Turkey, 20 (Spring 1999) pp. 47-76. 12 In retrospect, the fragmentation of the party system is a surprising phenomenon in the sense that one of the chief intentions of the military elite during the 1980-1983 era was to build a certain measure of stability into the system. What they had in mind originally was the design of an electoral system that would ensure a natural two-party equilibrium. On the rise and fall of the Welfare Party during the 1990s, see Ziya Oni, "The Political Economy of Islamic Resurgence in Turkey: The Rise of the Welfare Party in Perspective," Third World Quarterly, 18, no. 4 ( 1997) pp. 743-66 and Haldun Gulalp, "The Poverty of Democracy in Turkey: The Refah Party Episode," New Perspectives on Turkey, no. 21 (Fall 1999) pp. 35-59. '" The programs of all the major political parties seem to display a certain degree of continuity in the campaigns leading toward the elections of 1995 and 1999, with the exception of that of the Virtue Party, which has changed its program significantly in favor of a more liberal approach in economic affairs and a new emphasis on democratic rights and civil liberties. Moreover, Virtue currently attaches major importance to developing closer links with the European Union. These changes mark a sharp contrast to the program of the Welfare Party in 1994 and 1995. Welfare's program had been based on a hyper-populist rhetoric of "just order" and a clear bias could be detected in its foreign policy stance in favor of the Arab and Islamic world and against Israel and the European Union. The closure of the Welfare Party in January 1998 clearly resulted in a massive overhaul of the program of its successor, Virtue. The link with the EU is more important in this context in terms of protecting the party against another possible closure. The shedding of its more communitarian elements in favor of a program based on individual rights and liberties, with a focus on religious rights, has not helped Virtue's electoral fortunes, however, as the results of the 1999 elections testify. 'S For a discussion and a critique of official state ideology and the notion of authoritarian secularism, see Hakan Yavuz, "Turkey's Fault Lines and the Crisis of Kemalism>" Current History (January 2000) pp. 33-38. For similar critical perspectives concerning the positions taken by the Turkish state concerning the Kurdish issue and political Islam respectively, see Henri J. Barkey and Graham E. Fuller, Turkey's Kurdish Question (Oxford: Rowman and Littlefield, 1998) and Mehran Kamrava, "Pseudo-Democratic Politics and Populist Possibilities: The Rise and Demise of Turkey's Welfare Party, " British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies, 25, no. 2 (1998) pp. 275-301. Turning our attention to the Republican People's Party, there is an interesting dichotomy between its staunch defense of Kemalism on the issue of political Islam and its more liberal stand concerning minority rights and ethnic identity. 16 The Nationalist Action Party's rise is also associated with the tough and uncompromising stance that the party has adopted on the Kurdish issue. Consequently, it has been able to appeal to these segments of the electorate who have been directly affected by the war in the Southeast. It is interesting to observe, however, that Nationalist Action, following its electoral victory in 1999, has been moving toward the center of Turkish politics and has been developing a milder image. How this change will affect the electoral fortunes of the party in the coming years is an interesting question. 17 For valuable survey research demonstrating the broad lack of trust concerning politicians and political parties in Turkey see Yilmaz Esmer, Devrim, Erim, Statuko, Turkiye'de Sosyal, Siyasal, Ekonomik Degerler (Istanbul: TESEV Yayinlari, 1999). Ziya Onis is a Professor of International Relations at I oq University in Istanbul and was formerly a professor of economics at Bogacizi University His areas of specialization include comparative politics, international political economy and development and the political economy of contemporary Turkey He recently published State and Market: The Political Economy of Turkey in Comparative Perspective. With James Riedel, he produced the World Bank publication, Economic Crises and Long-Term Growth in Turkey. Prof. Oni has published extensively in journals ranging from Third World Quarterly to Mediterranean Quarterly to Journal of Economic Issues. Onis received both his BSc and his MSc in Economics from the London School of Economics. He received his PhD in development economics from the University of Manchester. This article attempts to study the impact of neoliberal globalization on the process of democratization. This article attempts to study the impact of neoliberal globalization on the process of democratization. First, the conceptual relationship between neoliberal globalization and democratization is discussed. Turkey's specific experience with globalization is examined. Some of its impacts on the Turkish economy are identified. An examination is made of how globalization has affected political outcomes. A specific analysis is presented of the 1999 election and the trend toward party fragmentation. An analysis is made of this fragmentation on Turkey's democratization process. Copyright Journal of International Affairs Fall 2000 Sources:UMI JOURNAL OF INTERNATIONAL AFFAIRS 10/2000 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 23Jun2000 SENEGAL: Forum Maps Out New Development Paradigms For Africa. Dakar, Senegal (PANA) (Panafrican News Agency, June 23, 2000) - A group of prominent Africans seeking innovative approaches to African development wound up their three-day meeting in Dakar late Thursday, with a declaration that could launch the continent on a new path of growth and development this century. The Independent Commission on the 'Millennium for Africa' project said it cannot be business as usual for a continent that has been ravaged by slavery, colonialism and multiple forms of exploitation in the last 500 years. "Africa is a continent of almost infinite natural resources (currently exploited for the exclusive benefit of the Western world, rather than for the African continent itself). "Like other continents it has the potential of almost infinite human resources capable of being developed for the purpose of exploiting and transforming these natural resources for the benefit of its people," the declaration said. The meeting participants, who brain-stormed on several aspects of the African condition, said in spite of its present difficulties, Africa should not be characterised as a continent of doom endemically inferior to the rest of the world. To begin with, they said, "Africa is a continent and no with an almost infinite variety in its peoples and cultures. Different parts of the continent have achieved different levels of growth and development, and so, limitations and crises in one part of the continent should not be taken as representative of the continent. Thus, they said, priorities for African development should be viewed from the local, national, sub-regional and continental levels. Critical areas include education, health, finance, infrastructure, political stability and security. But of paramount importance is the freedom for Africans as individuals and as a corporate entity to take charge of their destiny. The forum also took a critical look at the debt issue, saying it would make a thorough study of the origins and nature of the continent's estimated 300 billion dollars foreign debt and demand cancellation of the bad ones. The participants said recognition of the causes of Africa's present condition needed urgent consideration. "Restitution for the sustained and deliberate destabilisation of the continent over the last 500 years, particularly through the institution of slavery and the slave trade, which physically removed many millions of Africans from the continent for the development of Europe and the Americas. "It is essential that the beneficiaries of this exploitation and destabilisation be clearly identified so that this restitution can be claimed", the declaration said. The conference proposed a prize for exemplary leadership to be named after late Tanzanian president, Julius Nyerere. It also proposed the establishment of an African technology institute or Space Centre to deal with a host of issues including infNY1/21and communication technologies and bio-engineering. The declaration would be presented to African leaders at the July OAU summit in Lome, Togo, and the General Assembly of the UN in New York in September. The Millennium for Africa project was initiated way back in 1998 by Benin's frontline historian, Albert Tevoedjre with the support of UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan, whose report on the 'Role of the United Nations in the Twenty-First Century' set the ball rolling. Members of the commission include Nigerian Nobel Laureate, Wole Soyinka, renowned Egyptian economist Samir Amin, former secretary-general of the OAU, William Eteki-Mbomua and space engineer, Chiekh Modibo Diarra. The Commission held was inaugurated in Abuja in January. By Felix 'Machi Njoku, PANA Correspondent Copyright 1900 Panafrican News Agency. Distributed via Africa News Online. . Distributed via COMTEX News. Sources:AFRICA NEWS SERVICE 23/06/2000 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 21Jun2000 SENEGAL: PANAFRICAN NEWS AGENCY (PANA) DAILY NEWSWIRE - Africans Urged To Banish Fatalism In New Mil By FELIX 'MACHI NJOKU, PANA STAFF CORRESPONDENT. Dakar, Senegal (PANA) - The independent Commission of the 'Millennium for Africa' project opened its second session in Dakar Tuesday with a call on Africans to reject fatalism and focus on building the essential components of a new and prosperous Africa. Opening the three-day meeting attended by over 100 prominent Africans, Senegal's Prime Minister Moustapha Niasse said fatalism should no longer be used as a pretext for Africa's lag in the development ladder. He called on the participants, including intellectuals, writers and experts in several fields, to thrash out a new development culture capable of arresting the continued marginalisation of the continent. "At the level of ideas and technology, Africa can liberate itself if the major constraints imposed in her from outside are removed," Niasse said. Henceforth, African leaders and intellectuals would do well to refocus their attention "on the essential components of a new Africa". Earlier, the executive director of the commission, Prof. Albert Tevoedjre of Benin, gave a run-down of the many man-made and natural constraints and calamities which have rendered Africa impotent. Tevoedjre accused Africa's leadership of "indifference to the external exploitation of its people" over the years. "Political dictatorship in Africa has demonstrated its limitations. Things must now begin to change for Africa and Africans," he added. A representative of the UNDP, Mar Dieye, painted a grim picture of the current situation in Africa, saying 42 percent of its 600 million people live below the poverty datum even though his organisation devotes 60 percent of its basic resources on the continent. Algerian Ambassador to Senegal, Abdelkader Taffar, delivered a message from President Abdelaziz Bouteflika, current chair of the OAU, saying that Africa has the resources to propel its development, if only it can get a little sympathy from the international community. Meanwhile, the Assistant secretary-general the UN, Ibrahima Fall, said finding a solution to Africa's problems requires endogenous and exogenous approaches. Fall cited the secretary-general's Millennium Report which seeks to refocus UN intervention on the people and not on governments, as one way through which help for the continent can come from outside. The conference on the theme 'Africa and the Challenges of the 3rd Millennium' seeks to prepare a blueprint on how to tackle the myriad problems facing African countries. These are based on a series of pan-African charters, action plans and declaration prepared over the years. These include the OAU charter, the Lagos plan of Action, the treaty establishing the African Economic community, the conventions of the various sub-regional groupings and the recent Syrte Declaration on African union. The documents would be presented to African leaders at the July OAU summit in Lome, Togo, and the UN General Assembly in September. The Millennium for Africa project was initiated in 1998 by Tevoedjre with the support of UN secretary-general Kofi Annan, whose report on the 'Role of the United Nations in the 21st Century' has provided a lot of input to the project. The commission is made up of 28 prominent Africans including Nigerian Nobel Laureate, Wole Soyinka, renowned Egyptian economist, Samir Amin and former secretary-general of the OAU, William Eteki-Mbomua. The first meeting of the commission was held in Abuja in January. All Material Subject to Copyright Copyright 2000: Panafrican News Agency (PANA) Daily Newswire. All Rights Reserved. Sources:MIDDLE EAST INTELLIGENCE WIRE PAN AFRICAN NEWS AGENCY (PANA) 21/06/2000 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 01Apr2000 AFRICA: Globalization, regionalism and democracy - An interview with Samir Amin. By Anonymous. Samir Amin heads the Third World Forum in Dakar, Senegal, where he is leading an effort to strengthen regional ties among African nations. He is the author of many books, including: Capitalism in the Age of Globalization, Delinking: Toward a Polycentric World and Unequal Development. Multinational Monitor: What do you mean when you say that the world capitalist system is facing stagnation? Samir Amin: After World War II, we had very high rates of growth for three decades in the three parts of the world: the capitalist world (the West), the socialist world (the East), and most parts of the Third World (the South). Three decades of high growth and investment, which had never been achieved in the history of capitalism before. This is precisely because the markets were regulated - that is, because there was a balance of forces between capital on the one hand, and the working or popular classes on the other hand. This balance was less in favor of capital than it had been for a long time before, and was the result of a double victory - the victory of democracy over fascism and the victory of the people of Asia and Africa over colonialism. These two popular victories created the conditions which compelled capital to adjust to the social demands of working people. The adjustment of capital to those demands is the meaning of the market being regulated. Capital was unable to unilaterally impose the logic of profit maximization. That was the basis of high growth and accelerated rates of accumulation and development. Gradually, the balance of forces has been eroded to the benefit of capital for a variety of reasons. If we look at the West in the capital centers, the pattern is that welfare states and democracy have been gradually eroded by the pressures of globalization - the opening of national economies to the pressures of the global system. In the East, it is because of the internal limits of so-called socialism and the lack of democracy. In the South - especially in Asia and Africa there was a period of strong national unity which started to be eroded by internal social conflicts. This erosion of the regulation of the market which dominated after World War II led to a change in the balance of forces to the benefit of capital. We can say that Reagan and Thatcher were the announcement of that. But it was not just under Reagan and Thatcher. It was also due to the loss of legitimacy of most national radical popular regimes of the South, as well as the stagnation of the Soviet system. That led to a comeback of the utopian capitalist dream of ruling the world as a market and reducing whole societies to just market-based relations. Which means the unilateral domination of capital. MM: And removing regulations on capital undermined growth? Arvin: According to the so-called neoliberal view, "deregulation" of the market - which meant oppressing other social interests - should have led to higher growth. Instead, it led to the opposite. Since the early 1970s, it led to a slowing of the rates of growth, to about half of what they had been in previous decades. This happened not only in the West, but also in the East after high growth rates during the Soviet period of industrialization. It also happened in the South. In the 1960s, the rates of growth in Africa were roughly twice as high as they have been in the 1980s and 1990s during the current period of structural adjustment. Simultaneously, rates of investment and the expansion of the productive system went down. That led to a new kind of crisis characterized by a surplus of capital which does not find an outlet in the expansion of the productive system in the West, East and South. In order to avoid this problem, the owners of capital are designing rules in order to open alternative financial outlets for capital. This is not leading to higher growth but to relative stagnation of growth. There is no absolute stagnation, but rates of growth in OECD countries are half of what they had been in the 1950s and 1960s. There is deepening inequality. You have growing inequality everywhere in the world, within each nation state and at the global level between nations. It is more and more politically and socially unbearable and unacceptable to people. The reason for the deep crisis of capital is precisely the utopian effort to realize the unilateral rule of capital. The system cannot function according to the unilateral rule of capital. MM: There has been a renewal of growth in the last couple of years in the United States at much higher rates. Do you think that the new communications technologies might revitalize the global economy? Amin: No. We should separate the eventual effect of the technological revolution and particularly communications on the one hand, and the specif is effects of that revolution and other technologies on the relative achievements of the various partners - the U.S. vis-a-vs Europe, for instance. With respect to the effects of the technological revolution, every period of deep structural crisis of capitalism has also been a period of industrial revolution. For example, take the deep structural crisis which happened from 1873 to 1896. That was also a period of the second industrial revolution, the first one occurring in the early nineteenth century. The second industrial revolution involved electricity, petroleum, the automobile and the airplane. These are the technologies that dominated industrial development in the twentieth century. The current crisis started in 1971 with the end of Bretton Woods and the floating of the dollar. Along with the crisis, we have had a third industrial revolution, the basis of which is infomatics and biogenetics with all the dangers that it represents, as well as nuclear and space technology. By themselves those technologies are not enough to create the conditions of high growth, because growth depends on an equilibrium between the various social forces. During each of these periods, capital interests have exploited the industrial revolution to their own unilateral benefit. Because an industrial revolution also means that old industries are decaying, labor loses the advantages of collective stability and becomes more vulnerable. Therefore capital is in a position to erode whatever rights the working classes have conquered in the previous period. That's what's happening now. Along with an industrial revolution there is growing brutality, inequality - not just between capital and labor, but between a variety of workers - and an overall vulnerability of the working classes. As long as capital is able to mobilize unilaterally and use the industrial revolution to its exclusive benefit, it is not able to move out of the crisis. We can also compare the atmosphere now to the atmosphere during what was called the belle epoch at the beginning of the twentieth century. That 15-year period was after a long crisis and before World War I. During the course of that time the discourse was exactly what we hear today - that the unilateral rule of capital is going to benefit everybody. It was a period of the weakening of the working classes. The movement of the socialist parties to the right - like Tony Blair and Gerhard Schroeder, etc. - is exactly similar to the move to the right of the socialist parties at the beginning of the 20th Century. For exactly the same reasons. Nairobi slum. I am not suggesting that the industrial revolution per se is or is not the basis of growth. It could be if social and political conditions established a better balance of forces - less unilaterally favorable to capital. That is one dimension. Another dimension is how it works in different parts of the world. Particularly, for example, the U.S. vis-a-vis Europe and Japan. It is true that today's discourse, especially in the United States, stresses the relatively higher rates of growth. But this growth is socially unbearable in the longer run. It goes along with a growing inequality and with a growing vulnerability that the American working class will not accept indefinitely. It is also artificial and at the expense of others. The success of the U.S. is proportionate to the lack of success elsewhere, particularly in Europe and Japan. This means that the so-called U.S. hegemony is very vulnerable. In the nineteenth century, Britain, which was hegemonic at that time, had an enormous export surplus which was the counterpart of its ability to export capital. It was financing railways in Argentina and India, etc. If we look at the pattern of current globalization and U.S. hegemony, we find exactly the opposite. The U.S. balance of trade is in an enormous deficit, which means that hegemonic power is (draining) capital from other parts of the world. Who is funding that? The whole world, but especially the Europeans and Japanese. I don't think that they will accept that indefinitely. This doubles the vulnerability of the so-called high growth in the United States. MM: Andre Gunder Frank has argued that developing countries may benefit most when there is stagnation or contraction in the center countries. What is your perspective on that in the current period? Arvin: I am a friend of Andre Gunder Frank and we agree on many things, but I am cautious about those kind of sweeping generalities. I think everything depends on class struggle and not on whether we are in an A phase or a B phase. Development changes are unequal throughout the world, because the balance of social and political forces are not similar from one place to another. During the current period of crisis, not all of the countries of the Third World have suffered. Major countries, including China, to a lesser degree India, southeast Asia, Korea and Taiwan and if you add up their populations, you get more than half of the world - have not suffered from the crisis. They have had high rates of growth because they were less subject to the rule of globalization than others. They have controlled their own move into the global system. We could discuss whether they have been democratic or not, but the domestic ruling class has, to a certain degree, been in control. We saw the exact opposite in Africa, the most vulnerable part of the Third World, where the local ruling classes do not control anything and where as a result the rates of growth are zero if not negative in some cases. Therefore we see that the differences in the same period depend on the capacity of the local ruling class - bourgeois capitalists in various shapes and forms - to control its relation to the global system. MM: You write that structural adjustment is not misguided but a part of the management of the crisis in the rich countries. What do you mean by that? Arvin: Structural adjustment as it is imposed by the World Bank and IMF on most countries of the South and on the former socialist countries in eastern Europe and the Soviet Union is unilateral. That is, adjustment of the economies of those countries is to the needs of dominant capital. That means the needs of the triad - the U.S., the European Union and Japan - and nothing more. This structural adjustment is not structural but a conjunctural adjustment. It is one of the tools of crisis management - that is, finding an outlet for the surplus of financial capital. That is the root of the external debt of the Third World and former socialist countries. The effects are disastrous, as we can see in any part of the world other than in the dominant triad. What we need is another pattern of globaliza tion. The issue is not globalization or withdrawing from the world and going to the moon. There are many alternatives. Globalization could be conceived as a pattern of regulated expansion of the markets at the international level, of channeling the surplus of capital towards productive investments. That would be a pattern of globalization that I would call structural because it would help change structures. It would also be multilateral rather than unilateral, an adjustment of each part of the world to another pattern of globalization - what I call a multipolar pattern of globalization. MM: What is your perspective on calls for reforming the IMF to make it a "good"global regulatory institution? Amin: I think you cannot start from the top, by changing these international institutions. That would be very naive, because the international institutions reflect the imbalance of forces at that level. Things must start from below, from national societies. Again, it is the class struggle which is the key to understanding social change. Things must change at that level to the benefit of the working classes everywhere - in the U.S. as well as in Senegal. That means reinventing new forms of organization, of action, of legitimate targets, etc. It has deep social dimensions. That should be supported or enlarged by regional organizations. One can imagine that an average country in Latin America alone cannot go very far, but Latin America on the whole can. Similarly, no African country can go very far alone, but Africa as a whole could and can. Not to speak of India or China. To think about a move from the top is a little naive, as if there are no interests behind the system as it is. There are interests, of course, and they are the prevailing interests of transnational capital and the triad states that are behind them, as well as compradors in the Third World. MM: If developing countries were to form regional blocs, what would be the institutional structure of region-wide economic management? Amin: It must accomplished gradually. First, we must reinforce the complimentarity between the industrial and agricultural developments of the partners. And that needs much more than just a free trade area, because it needs some degree of planning-a word that is not fashionable today - of investment ot develop complimentarity with a view to reducing the monopolies of the West - monopolies in technologies, in communications and media, in the use of natural resources. But it also has a political dimension. It must gradually reinforce the capacity of those regions to ensure security, both internal and external security - not only in the police sense, but a security based on legitimate power, the whole question of democracy. It must also work toward regional security, that is, reducing the causes of conflict. We'll never have a world without conflict, but we can reduce the causes. MM: How would you see the regions relating to external forces, especially the rich countries? Amin: That is where it would lead to institutional changes in the U.S. We have had this in the past during the decade after World War 11, during that period of high growth, when we had negotiations at the global level, however weak. It was a time of UNCTAD [the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development]. There were negotiations on the transfer of technologies, etc. We need not have a remake of that, but a revival of its spirit. This would give back a role to the UN in serious international negotiations on those issues. I don't want to be overly optimistic, but I think the last meeting of UNCTAD in Bangkok is indicative of a move in this direction. We heard there a majority of states, most from the Third World, speaking against globalization as it is. MM: What would be the regional approach to capital flows from outside the region or trading outside the region? Amin: There are a number of principles. One is that so-called hot money flows - capital that wants to get a quick profit - should bi forbidden and countries should be allowed to establish exchange controls against that. Second, we should look at productive investment, including that by transnationals, on a caseby-case basis. Getting certain technologies is difficult without accepting private investment of foreign capital. But that could be negotiated. There we come back to a series of old questions, such as the control over the export of profit, control over the degree of using local inputs, the transfer of technology, property rights, etc. These are important points of the agenda. It's not fashionable today to speak of that, but these are objectively needed. During an interview, Samir Amin, the head of the Third World Forum in Dakar Senegal, discussed the stagnation of the world capitalist system, the renewal of growth in the US at much higher rates, and region-wide economic management. Copyright Multinational Monitor Apr 2000 Sources:UMI MULTINATIONAL MONITOR 04/2000 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 01Jan2000 ARGENTINA: Structural adjustment and social disarticulation - The case of Argentina. By Teubal, Miguel. Structural Adjustment and Social Disarticulation: The Case of Argentina* ABSTRACT: In most cases structural adjustment (SA) involves transfers of income, wealth and power into the hands of economic and political establishments, implying marginality and exclusion for the majority of the population. SA contributes to development of a new "regime of accumulation," more "socially and sectorally disarticulated" than previous ones. Disarticulation occurs when the main activities of the economy are increasingly dissociated from the demands of wage earners. While the social and sectoral articulation/disarticulation dichotomy was first conceived to distinguish development in the third world as compared with the first world, it also applies to different stages of third-world development. This framework is used to analyze the case of Argentina, a semi-industrialized country in which labor organizations had historically acquired substantial power. Adjustments applied since the mid-1970s culminate in the SA program of the Menem administration (1989-1999), which has led to the extreme social disarticulation prevailing in the present. THROUGHOUT THE WORLD NEOLIBERAL ECONOMIC policies reign supreme. Governments everywhere are induced, either because of their own convictions or under pressure from the IMF and World Bank, to apply structural adjustment (SA) programs. Wholesale privatization, deregulation, flexibilization of labor markets, and "opening up" to the world economy are all essential features of these programs. As part of the rhetoric it is assumed that "excessive government interventionism" and "fiscal deficits" must be reduced if national economies are to embark on the path of growth and prosperity. Structural adjustment is not just an economic program. It also implies adjusting institutions to the workings of the market. In most cases this leads to enormous transfers of income, wealth and power into the hands of the economic and political establishments. Concentration of power and wealth also implies marginality and exclusion for the majority of the population and a devaluation of everything that has to do with the "social." As has been frequently pointed out, structural adjustment involves an increase in the exploitation of labor, as evidenced in a reduction in real wages (both direct and indirectly, a greater regressiveness in income distribution, and increased unemployment in its several forms. All of this comprises a new model of development or regime of accumulation (RA) 2 which can be defined as "socially and sectorally disarticulated." In this paper I consider some of the main features of this new regime of accumulation as it emerges in a third world country as a consequence of the application of a SA program: the fact that it tends to be much more "socially and sectorally disarticulated" than previous regimes of accumulation - for example, import substitution industrialization (ISI).3 This is due to the central role played in the new RA by the fall in real wages and incomes of lower income groups and the impact this has on the structure of the economy and the nature of productive investments. Disarticulation means that the main activities of the economy are not related to, or are increasingly dissociated from, the demand of wage earners. The domestic market based on the demand of wage earners ceases to be of interest. Only the demand of middle and upper income groups increasingly appears to be of interest for domestic and foreign investors alike. This applies not only to the productive structure of the economy - industry, agriculture - and to certain services including the financial sector, but to the provision of basic needs as well. Low cost health, education, housing and the like are substantially reduced. Thus, SA policies adopted by successive governments tend to reduce real wages, causing income distribution to become increasingly regressive.4 This shift of resources to the rich is not simply a once-and-for-all occurrence. Increased income inequality becomes self-replicating, due in large measure to its impact on the changing structure of the economy, which tends to reproduce this inequality in the long run. When changes in both traditional activities and the emergence of new ones are oriented mostly to the demand of the upper income groups, excluding lower income wage earners and groups, then the economy tends to a greater "social and sectoral disarticulation." This concept is clearly related to the role of wages in propelling growth. Its "social" aspect concerns the disorganization and distress associated with low wages and increased unemployment in all its forms; the "sectoral" aspect refers to the presence or absence of a balance between the major departments of production (and consumption) within a country. Evidently, a major "opening" of the economy can lead to substantial changes in this balance between sectors, and this may tend to be self-reinforcing, as has been the case recently in many third world countries. While there is a certain overlapping in the use given to the concepts of SA and "social and sectoral disarticulation," the former refers more to a program or strategy that implies "restructuring" large segments of the economy, whereas the "social and sectoral articulation/ disarticulation" dichotomy has to do with the way the economy functions and reproduces itself, especially the relationships between wage income and the structure of the economy, as well as their overall impact on income distribution. The "social and sectoral (dis)articulation" concept was developed in the 1960s and 1970s by Furtado, Amin, de Janvry and others to describe some of the structural differences between first and third world economies, and to explain the fact that poverty and exploitation were much greater in the latter than in the former. Nevertheless, it is a complex concept whose specifics were never spelled out completely. On the one hand, it refers to the degree or rate of exploitation prevailing in different economies. But then it also includes important demand elements, which are complementary to the rate of exploitation but not exhausted by that concept. As Marx pointed out, the production of surplus value in capitalist economies can take a variety of forms. One stage of development is defined by the production of absolute surplus value: exploitation of labor is increased via reduction of wages or increase in the working day; that is, more work is extracted from the labor force at a given wage. But relative surplus value is most characteristic of advanced capitalism. This appears when new techniques or innovations are introduced in the productive process, resulting in productivity increases.5 In this case it is possible that real wages and/or the share of wages in national income may increase, and a certain welfare be attained for the laboring classes. This of course depends on the struggles of the working classes in defending or increasing the real wage rate and/or wage share. The concept of social and sectoral articulation/disarticulation also includes demand elements, mainly wage income as an important Kaleckian demand factor that influences the industrial structure of the economy. Under certain circumstances real wage increases may also induce productivity increases. If the latter increase proportionately more than real wages the rate of exploitation may continue increasing. But then productivity increases may be accompanied by real wage increases, as apparently has occurred in certain periods of capitalist development, or real wages may increase proportionately more than productivity, raising the share of wages.6 A relatively articulated economy can be construed to have been attained in the advanced capitalist countries in the post-World War II years durring the so-called golden age of capitalism. Capitalism in this period functioned with increasing real wages, at a rate more or less equal to the rate of productivity increase. This implies that capitalism continued to function as a system of exploitation, even if real wages and the share of wages in national income were high or tended to increase. In the advanced capitalist countries wage shares are much higher than in the third world, and hence the rate of surplus value is lower. Nevertheless, given that productivity levels in advanced capitalist countries are substantially higher than in the third world the mass of surplus value attained compensates for lower rates of surplus value. This golden-age articulated economy was possible due to a combination of Marx's production of relative surplus value with Kalecki's wage income demand functions. The former was due to large productivity increases contingent upon the continuous incorporation of new technologies into production. In the advanced capitalist countries this became feasible due to Keynesian full employment policies combined with the establishment of a full-fledged welfare state, as well as incomes policies sustained on the basis of a certain "social pact." As Celso Furtado points out, this situation was quite different from that emerging in the third world under ISI. In the present stage of capitalist development the mechanisms used for production of surplus value are much more sophisticated and require elaborate state policies. This is where structural adjustment comes in. Under the desarrollista (developmentalist) perspective sustained in the 1960s in certain third world countries policies were oriented, on the whole, towards increasing relative surplus value. On the other hand, SA programs, in particular when they do not take into consideration productivity increases, can be construed as tending towards the production of absolute surplus value. Nonetheless, both mechanisms for the production of surplus value may be present at any one time. The social and sectoral articulation/disarticulation dichotomy was first conceived to distinguish development in the third world compared with development in the first world. Nevertheless it can also be used to describe distinctive features of different stages of development in both the first and third worlds. Import substitution industrialization in the third world in the post-World War II years (more or less the same period in which Fordist regimes were prominent in the first world) tended to be more "socially articulated" than the earlier agro-export economies. Nevertheless, it was also presumably more "articulated" than the "open economies" of the 1990s developed in the wake of neoliberal policies and "globalization" or SA strategies. While these strategies tend to disarticulate both developed and underdeveloped economies, the differences between the two cases are quite marked. In this paper I consider the impact of SA policies in Argentina, a case that stands out for the following reasons. 1. At the beginning of the century and up to the 1930s Argentina was one of the high income per capita "new and empty lands" or "regions of recent settlement" similar to Australia, Canada and, to some extent, the United States. Argentina's growth in this period was based on the fertility of her lands and enormous differential rents accruing to large landowners and the supporting classes of an agroexport economy.7 She did not have the surplus labor that characterized other countries of the third world; labor was to a large extent provided for by means of large-scale immigration. 2. Argentina's agro-export model fell into crisis in the 1930s; thereafter, under the Peronista and desarrollista regimes of the 19401960 period, import substitution industrialization was furthered, taking on a variety of forms. By the early 1970s industrialization had been considerably advanced in the wake of working-class struggles and ISI strategies. Due to major trade union movements and social struggles considerable labor and social welfare legislation was placed on the books, and segments of the middle and working classes attained a measure of welfare and a betterment in their standards of living not always found elsewhere in the third world.8 3. Since the mid-1970s a series of adjustment policies following the prescriptions of the IMF and the World Bank were applied by successive governments. While the military regime of the Proceso (1976-1983) carried out important "adjustments," the democratically elected governments of Alfonsin (1983-1989) and Menem (19891999) followed suit. Under the Menem administration a severe "structural adjustment" program was put in place. The new RA that emerges as a consequence of the application of this program is substantially different from that prevailing under ISI. 4. Thus, previous trends were reversed drastically: income distribution became more regressive, real wages (both direct and indirect) and incomes of lower income groups fell, and unemployment and poverty in all their forms increased. A key factor in defining the character of this new RA is the role played by institutions or structural forms influencing real wages. While the share of wages in national income fell and income distribution became much more regressive, the structure of the economy was transformed: much of industry based on small and medium-sized firms disappeared and the remnants of the welfare state were heavily contested by the neoliberal establishment. 5. The case of Argentina also stands out for not being a "success" story of the NIC type (such as Korea, Taiwan or even Brazil), probably due precisely to the fact that the SA program applied in the 1990s was one of the most extreme of third world countries. This of course has elicited much struggle and opposition from varying quarters. In the following section, I discuss the concept of "social and sectoral disarticulation," and the extent to which it is useful for describing differences in the industrial structures of first and third world countries. This concept can also be used for comparing different stages of development in the third world; eg., ISI being more articulated than the present "open" economies developed in the wake of severe SA programs. Next I deal with the case of Argentina. I describe some of the measures applied in recent decades, and in particular under the Menem administration, and relate social disarticulation to falling wages, increases in interest rates and in the prices of, and hence popular access to, commodities meeting basic needs. My main hypothesis is that the new "open" economy emerging in Argentina in the 1990s is much more "socially and sectorally disarticulated" than previous regimes based on ISI. Finally, I offer some reflections as to why these structural adjustments may have been implemented in a country such as Argentina. Conceptualizing Social and Sectoral Disarticulation The differences between capitalist development in the center and in the periphery (to use terms originally coined by Prebisch) were part of the development debate of the 1950s and 1960s. Celso Furtado (1961, 1965, 1974) points out that while technological innovations are the essence of capitalist development, this process in the underdeveloped world is substantially different from that prevailing in the center. In the periphery the introduction of new technology disorganizes important segments of the economy and creates a problem of surplus labor with no possibilities for its absorption. The ensuing dualism of the economic structure is reflected in a much greater inequality of income distribution, on the one hand, and a lack of a vigorous demand for final wage goods, on the other. Workers' resistance is limited, due to large labor reserves available to capitalists, a factor that also inhibits the formation of a domestic market. Thus, the economic surplus created is in large measure used for luxury consumption or filtered abroad. This situation is essentially different from industrialization in the center, which is based on the widespread diffusion of the "fruits of technical progress" - creation of mass markets, large economies of scale, and increases in real wages - all of which do not impede the widespread concentration of capital.9 According to Furtado the experience of countries such as Brazil, Mexico, and India demonstrates that this model of industrialization does not reproduce itself in the periphery. Thus any model of the world economy must take into account these qualitative differences between center or dominant capitalism and peripheric or dependent capitalism - the first based on the introduction of new products and the diffusion of their use, that is, mass consumption; the latter on technological imitation and a greater concentration of wealth and income. "The only thing that we know for sure concerning the industrialization processes in countries of the capitalist periphery is that the masses do not have access to the fruits of productivity increases" (Furtado, 1975, 25, my translation). Thus one of Furtado's main arguments (later picked up by Samir Amin) is that whereas a mutually reinforcing relationship between workers' consumption expenditures and investments is the basis for sustained growth and industrial democracy in the advanced capitalist economies, this interdependent relationship does not exist in the periphery because mass consumption demand does not constitute a significant market outlet for local manufactures. High and middle income groups - the principal outlets for ISI in Latin America tend to equate development and progress with their attainment of the levels of consumption available to comparable groups in the advanced capitalist countries. Imported technologies required to produce these goods are biased toward capital-intensive production and concentration of income. These limit the spread of technical progress to other parts of the economy, and this in turn leads to the marginalization of vast segments of the population. Since wage incomes and other mass-consumption demands are not important as market outlets, the dominant groups' interest is simply to keep wages very low. 10 Samir Amin and de Janvry go along with much of this analysis. According to Amin industrialized countries tend to have "articulated" or "autocentric" patterns of growth and accumulation in which part of the gains in labor productivity are transformed into wage increases. Workers' consumption capacity thus increases along with output and creates the possibility for dynamic equilibrium - both between aggregate consumption and production, and among key sectors (notably the mass consumption and capital goods sectors) (Amin, 1974, 9-11). According to Amin, while an internal solution for the maintenance of a dynamic equilibrium is possible in the center, the periphery tends to be functionalized to the center's needs and is therefore devoid of a dynamic of its own. In the periphery an investment structure emerges which does not always contribute to growth, because it tends to be "extraverted," that is, it is oriented towards traditional exports, or towards the needs of the upper classes (Amin, 1982). For Amin capitalism is either "autocentric" or "extraverted," based on whether or not the two main departments of social production are located in the country in question. Thus peripheral capitalism is considered to be incomplete, because the production of capital goods takes place in the advanced capitalist countries. According to de janvry, Amin places too much emphasis on external factors in determining the disarticulation and stagnation of peripheral economies; domestic class structure and the dynamics of domestic capitalist development are also important. In any case both authors relate regressive income distribution to the industrial structure emerging in the periphery, which tends to be biased in favor of services and industries producing luxury goods (Amin, 1975; de Janvry, 1981).11 As de Janvry and Sadoulet point out, in an articulated economy labor is simultaneously a cost and a benefit for capital: a cost in that all wage payments are a subtraction from profits, and a benefit in that the mass of wages paid creates "the necessary effective demand for the products to be sold and for capital to return to the form of money." Under pure social disarticulation, labor is only a cost to capital. Non-workers' incomes create both the source of savings and the expanding final demand for the key growth sectors. "Growth finds its roots in increasing inequality, and the only limit to inequality is the relative power of labor versus other classes" (de Janvry and Sadoulet, 1983, 279). In essence, there is social and sectoral articulation when it is mostly wage income (including income from non-wage or salaried low income earners arising, for example, in the informal sector) that determines the "expanding demand" for "key growth sectors." This contributes to a certain homogeneity in the structure of the economy because the bulk of demand is provided by wage earners and low income earners, and industry produces mostly "wage goods and services." There is also a correspondence between the share of wage earners in the labor force, of wage income in GDP and of wage earners' demand in global consumption.12 This is what occurred in certain periods of center capitalist development, in particular the "golden age" of the post-World War II years. The crux of the matter refers to trends in real wages in relation to productivity increases, and their influence on mass consumption and investments, all of which induced a "virtuous circle of accumulation." By contrast social and sectoral disarticulation exists or increases when the bulk of demand is provided by non-wage high income groups, and hence "key growth sectors" tend to produce mostly "luxury goods." While wage earners and low income earners of the informal sectors constitute the bulk of the labor force, they tend to represent a small or decreasing share of GDP and consumption. Thus, mostly "luxury" goods oriented to the demand of upper income groups or exports are produced. Investments are also oriented to the production of these luxury goods and exports. 13 These concepts have been used to explain why industrialization in the third world did not elicit improvements in the living conditions of wage earners and lower income groups. They are thereafter implicitly reintroduced when different stages of development of the advanced capitalist countries are being considered. The French Regulation school (Boyer, Lipietz, Aglietta) and the Social Structure of Accumulation theorists of the United States (see Kotz, 1990) imply in their analyses that different regimes of accumulation tend to be more or less articulated, depending on the institutions prominent in different stages of capitalist development (see Ruccio, 1989). Following this line of thought the Fordist regime that characterized the post-World War II years in Europe and the United States was relatively articulated or "wage-led," compared with the post-Fordist regimes of the present time. The crisis of the late 1960s and early 1970s was a crisis of Fordism. Thereafter neoliberal policies contributed to social disarticulation. The provision of indirect wages by the welfare state in the golden age became one of the main objects of attack by neoliberalism. While discussion concerning the crisis of Fordism in the first world continues being prominent, analysis of the stages of development and the nature of post-ISI economies in the third world has been somewhat less debated. While ISI was more socially articulated than previous regimes of the pre-1930s period, being based on the growth of the domestic market (and wage income),14 the new RA that emerges as a consequence of the SA programs tends to be much more disarticulated. The trajectory of a third world economy from ISI to the open economy can also be visualized in these terms. The Case of Argentina In the case of Argentina, ISI was relatively articulated in its initial phase. Certain industries - textiles and light metallurgical products oriented to the demand of wage earners - were established or grew substantially in the 1930s, 1940s and 1950s due to the development of a relatively extended domestic market based on real wage increases. In the second, more "difficult," stage of ISI (mostly in the 1960s) "heavy" industry - petrochemicals, the automobile industries, etc. - was established or became prominent, and the economy became somewhat less articulated because production and real investments tended to be oriented to the demand of middle and upper income groups. Nevertheless, the changeover to an "open economy" in the 1970s, 1980s and 1990s, induced in large measure by a series of "adjustments" and "structural adjustments," contributed to the formation of a "pure" disarticulated regime. Deindustrialization, regressive income distribution, and social exclusion became the essential features of this new stage of development (see Teubal, 1994; Teubal and Pastore, 1998). A greater heterogeneity emerged in the structure of the economy as well. In large measure deindustrialization was related to the decline and disappearance of wage-goods industries, in which traditional small or medium-sized business played an important part (for example, certain food, textile, light metallurgical industries). Thus, in its initial phases ISI had been in large measure wage-led and its crises related to periodic foreign trade bottlenecks: imports (mostly intermediary goods and capital goods required for the industrialization process) increased more rapidly than (primary goods) exports, thus causing balance of trade deficits. Stabilization policies and large devaluations were recommended by the IMF to redress these imbalances. Nevertheless, devaluations designed to bring the economy back to a workable "equilibrium" provoked domestic recessions and caused real wages to fall. Industrialization became an important goal, since it was to induce changes in the structural relations of the economy. In the late 1960s it was seen that new industrial exports had to be encouraged if the model was to remain viable. Industrial exports also reduced dependence on primary goods exports. This was to complement the establishment of heavy industry, which furthered the more "difficult" import substitution process. Nevertheless, from the mid-1970s onwards industrialization, whether of the import substitution or the export variety, ceased to be a goal of long-run public policy. Fiscal equilibrium and maintenance of foreign debt service payments substituted for ISI policies, reflecting important domestic and international structural and political changes. The economy ceased to be wage-led in the sense that it used to be under ISI: real wages fell systematically, independently of productivity gains, and the prices of goods and services providing for basic needs tended to rise, reinforcing the fall in real wages and the regressiveness of income distribution. These factors contributed to the fall in the wage share, to deindustrialization and to further structural changes. The economy tended to become a "labor surplus" economy. Disarticulation refers not only to the industrial structure, but to all the activities of the economy, including "services." To the extent that health, education and housing tend to be provided mostly for upper income groups, social and sectoral disarticulation was extended, reinforcing the regressive trend in income distribution. The "open economy" of the 1970s, 80s and 90s faced a series of pitfalls on the foreign front, although these were due mostly to problems of foreign debt servicing and financial and speculative considerations. Periodic crises emerged, due in large measure to the priority the various governments placed on maintaining foreign debt servicing, a factor that draws resources from the domestic front and contributes to balance of payments difficulties. Foreign debt servicing requires strict fiscal disciplinary measures and a surplus in domestic finances. Hence it is not only a question of reducing the fiscal deficit: there must also be a fiscal surplus, and resources must be accumulated to pay for foreign debt servicing requirements. These resources come from funds previously earmarked for public expenditures on education, health, housing, etc.; from increased taxation; from net capital inflows from abroad; from rollover of existing debts; or from obtaining new debts. This situation is much more unstable than it was under ISI because of the overall opening of the economy and the limited capacity governments have for controlling capital inflows and capital flight. Capital flight of the sort that occurred during the recent "tequila" or "Brazil" crises can easily become another source of domestic crisis. Towards a New Regime of Accumulation: The Case of Argentina Two highlights were important in paving the way for the establishment of a new RA in Argentina: the military coup of 1976 and the so-called "economic coup" of 1989. The military coup of 197615 was undoubtedly an important landmark; by establishing a new "bureaucratic authoritarian state" (O'Donnell, 1971) a series of institutions was established - in particular, those operating on the labor front, and those impacting financial and capital markets. The "economic coup" of 1989 was implemented by the economic establishment when it induced a wholesale capital flight, which led to accelerating devaluation and hence hyperinflationary spurts of the 1989-1991 period. This then led to a need for new "disciplinary" measures to be imposed on a large part of civil society. The Convertibility Plan of 1991, part of the severe structural adjustment program implemented by the Menem administration, can be considered a response to this coup.16 Freezing wage increases and reducing wages in the public sector for the purpose of dampening fiscal deficits were among the first measures adopted by the military government of the so-called Proceso de Reorganization National in April 1976. This was the recommended pattern for the private sector as well. Real wages fell substantially in the first months of the military coup (with falling money wages supplemented by price liberalization measures and reduction of government expenditures). It is estimated that in the first three months of the new military government real wages fell 40% in relation to the levels attained in the first half of the decade (Marshall, 1995, table 3) and the share of wages in GDP fell from about 49.3% in 1975 (an average of 45.9% for the 1970-1974 period) to 32.8% in 1976 (an average of 32.3% in the 1976-1980 period) (Schvarzer, 1983, 130). These trends continued throughout the 1980s and 1990s. While in the first years of the Alfonsin administration (1984-1989) and during the implementation of the Austral Plan (in 1985) real wages increased somewhat, at no time did they attain their pre-1976 levels. Real wages during theTXT> 10 For a succinct exposition of Furtado's thought, see Oman and Wignaraja, 1991, 157-158. 11 "The process of development of peripheral capitalism goes forward within a framework of competition (in the broadest sense of the word) from the center, which is responsible for the distinctive structure assumed by the periphery, as something complementary and dominated. It is this competition that determines three types of distortion in the development of peripheral capitalism as compared with capitalism at the center: (1) a crucial distortion toward export activities, which absorb the major part of the capital arriving from the center; (2) a distortion toward tertiary activities, which arises from both the special contradictions of peripheral capitalism and the original structures of peripheral formations; and (3) a distortion in the choice of branches of industry, towards light branches, and also, to a lesser degree, toward light techniques" (Amin, 1982, 205). 12 In 1986 wages and salaries represented 73.8% of national income in the United States (URPE, 1988, Statistical Appendix). In Argentina in 1998 they represented only 26% of national income. If we add the incomes of the self employed this proportion is increased to 34.5% (Clarin, June 21, 1999). 13 An "open" economy is not necessarily less articulated than a "closed" economy. For example many European countries are quite open, the share of exports and imports in GNP is high, but they continue being relatively "articulated" because imports and exports are also mostly "wage goods." 14 In many cases as a consequence of argrarian reforms (see de Janvry, 1981). 15 The military coup of 1976 was the last of a long string of military coups that began in 1930. Others took place in 1943, 1955, 1962 and 1966. 16 In the 1950s and 1960s "stabilization programs" were also implemented, but these apparently were not intent on changing the essential features of the ISI strategies or the "regime of accumulation" prevailing at the time. 17 It has been estimated that about 40% of the desaparecidos were wage earners, including many shop floor labor leaders. 18 "... financial speculation was exacerbated by the financial reform of 1979: profits channeled to the financial sector tended to remain within the financial circuit. Capital owners speculated domestically and abroad, made little investment in manufacturing activities at home, and their profit expectations were increasingly based on ever shorter time spans. To the rapid growth of speculation should be added the impact of "opening up" the Argentine economy. The final outcome was the partial dismantling of the manufacturing sector, and the substantial increase in idle capacity" (Marshall, 1992, 14). 19 Foreign debt continued to increase in the 1980s and 1990s under successive governments. Under the Menem administration it increased from 62 billion dollars in 1990 to 118 billion in 1997. A large part of this foreign debt financed capital flight, as reflected in external deposits of Argentinians abroad officially estimated at about 75 billion dollars (see Mayo, forthcoming). 20 "In the late 1980s, the term `Washington Consensus' served to encapsulate the crystallization of a paradigmatic shift in economic policy making regarding Latin America. The intellectual impetus behind the consensus view clearly flowed from Washington, the locus of the U. S. Treasury, the International Monetary Fund, and the World Bank. Equally important, the consensus encompassed key Latin American business elites and functionaries of the state apparatuses. Transnational corporations, particularly in the financial realm, used their extensive influence to consolidate a policy that promised to open virtually all areas of the Latin American economies to foreign investment and unrestrained financial flows across borders, including fluid repatriation of profits. Leading orthodox economists both in the U. S. and throughout Latin America urged deregulation of capital markets, free exchange rates, privatization of parastate firms, and 'flexible' labor markets" (Cypher, 1998, 47). 21 This was a scheme devised in 1989 by U. S. Secretary of the Treasury Nicholas Brady with bank and government approval, whereby foreign debts of third world countries were restructured, "old debt" was replaced by "new debt," and a new zero coupon U. S. treasury bill purchased by the debtor countries (with IMF financing) was used as collateral for debt servicing. In exchange for this, debtor nations received a discount on principal of debt or reduced interest rates. Argentina accepted the Brady deal in April 1992. Presumably the deal, as had also occurred with the prior Mexican Brady deal, was to reduce uncertainty and provide for greater confidence among foreign investors, which would then increase capital flows into Argentina. 22 Supermarkets accounted for 18% of food sales in 1973. In 1994 they controlled 56% of sales. This increase in the share of supermarkets became significant in the 1990s (see Teubal, 1998). 23 In the period April 1991-April 1995 the food price index reached 160 (April 1991 = 100), health services 195, educational services 165 and "other goods" (non-food items) 115. In this period the overall price index increased by 50%. 24 According to Perry Anderson a strong agrarian landowning class and a strong labor movement were factors that influenced the structural basis for the succession of military dictatorships in the 1960s (Anderson, 1988). 25 The fact that advanced capitalist countries maintained high employment for long indicated "the changed correlation of class forces (including, in particular, the decline in the weight of financial interests in the aftermath of war and decolonization" (Patnaik, 1999, 55). I REFERENCES Aglietta, Michel. 1987. A Theory of Capitalist Regulation: The U. S. Experience. London: Verso. Amin, Samir. 1975. Capitalismo periferico y comercio international. Buenos Aires, Argentina: Ediciones Periferia. . 1982. "The Disarticulation of Economy within Developing Societies." In Alavi and Shanin, eds., Introduction to the Sociology of "Developing Societies" New York and London: Monthly Review Press. Anderson, Perry. 1988. "Democratic y dictadura en America Latina en la decada del '70." Cuadernos de Sociologia, No. 2. Carrera de Sociologia, Universidad de Buenos Aires. Astori, Danilo. 1984. Controversial sabre el agro latinoamericano: Un andlisis critico. Buenos Aires, Argentina: CLACSO. Azapiazu, Daniel. 1994. "La industria argentina ante la privatization, la desregulacion y la apertura simetricas de la economia." In Daniel Azapiazu, and Hugo Nochteff, El desarrollo ausente. Restricciones al desarrollo, neoconservadorismo y elite economics en la Argentina. Buenos Aires, Argentina: Flacso-Tesis Grupo Editorial Norma. Azapiazu, Daniel, Eduardo Basualdo, and M. Khavisse. 1986. El nuevo poder economico en los anos 80. Buenos Aires, Argentina: Legasa. Basualdo, Eduardo. 1987. Deuda externa y poder economico en la Argentina. Buenos Aires, Argentina: Nueva America, Beccaria, Luis. 1992. "Cambios en la estructura distributiva, 1975-1990." In A. Minujin, et al., Cuesta abalo. Los nuevos pobres: efectos de la crisis en la sociedad argentina, Buenos Aires, Argentina: UNICEF-Losada. Brenner, Robert, and Mark Glick. 1991. "The Regulation Approach: Theory and History." New Left Review, No. 188. Cypher, James. 1998. "The Slow Death of the Washington Consensus on Latin America." Latin American Perspectives, Issue 103, 25:6 (November). da Conceicao Tavares, Maria. 1973. Da Substituicao de Importacoes ao Capitalismo Financiero. Rio de Janeiro, Brazil: Zaher Editores. de Janvry, Alain. 1981. The Agrarian Question and Reformism in Latin America. Baltimore, Maryland: Johns Hopkins University Press. de Janvry, Alain, and E. Sadoulet. 1982. "Social Articulation as a Condition for Equitable Growth." Journal ofDevelopment Economics. No. 13. Ferrer, Aldo. 1963. La economia argentina. Mexico: Fondo de Cultura Economica. Furtado, Celso. 1961. Desarrollo y subdesarrollo. Buenos Aires, Argentina: Editorial Universitaria de Buenos Aires. . 1965. Dialectica del desarrollo. Mexico, Buenos Aires: Fondo de Cultura Economica. -. 1974. El mito del desarrollo economico y el futuro del tercer mundo. Buenos Aires, Argentina: Ediciones Periferia. Kosacoff, B. et aL 1993. El desafio de la competitividad. La industria argentina en transformacion. Buenos Aires, Argentina: CEPAL-Alianza Editorial. Kalecki, Michal. 1971. Selected Essays on the Dynamics of the Capitalist Economy, 19331970. Cambridge, England: Cambridge University Press. Kotz, David. 1990. "A Comparative Analysis of the Theory of Regulation and the Social Structure of Accumulation Theory." Science & Society, 54:1 (Spring). Marshall, Adriana. 1992. Circumventing Labour Protection: Non-Standard Employment in Argentina and Peni. Geneva, Switzerland: Research Series, ILO, No. 88.. 1995. "Mercado de trabajo y distribution del ingreso: efectos de la politics economics, 1991-1994." In Realidad Economics, No. 129 (January-February). Marx, Karl. 1967. Capital, Vol. 1. New York: International Publishers. Mayo, Anibal. 1999. "El Plan de Convertibilidad (1991-1998): siete anos de ofensiva del capital." Forthcoming. Monza, Alfredo. 1993. "La situation ocupacional Argentina. Diagnostico y Perspectivas." In A. Minujin, ed., Desigualdad y exclusion. Buenos Aires, Argentina: UNICEF-Losada. O'Donnel, Guillermo. 1979. "Tensions in the Bureaucratic-Authoritarian State and the Question of Democracy." In David Collier, The New Authoritarianism in Latin America. Princeton, New Jersey: Princeton University Press. Oman, Charles and Ganeshan Wignaraja. 1991. The Postwar Evolution ofDevelopment Thinking. New York: St. Martin's Press and OECD. Patnaik, Prabhat. 1999. "Capitalism in Asia at the End of the Millennium." Monthly Review, July-August. Ruccio, David. 1989. "Fordism on a World Scale: International Dimensions of Regulation." Review of Radical Political Economics, 21:4. Sanchez, Miguel A. 1995. "El empleo en Argentina." IBAP, No. 1 (November). Teubal, Miguel. 1992. "Hambre, pobreza y regimenes de acumulacion: el caso argentino." Realidad Economics, No. 111 (October-November). 1993. "Argentina: Fragile Democracy." In Gills, Rocamora and Wilson, eds., Low Intensity Democracy. London: Pluto Press. . 1994. "Cambios en el modelo socioeconomico: problemas de incluidos y excluidos." In Norma Giarracca, ed., Acciones colectivas y organization cooperativa. Reflexiones y estudios de caso. Buenos Aires, Argentina: Centro Editor de America Latina, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Facultad de Ciencias Sociales. -. 1995. Globalization y expansion agroindustrial. iSuperacion de la pobreza en America Latina? Buenos Aires, Argentina: Ediciones Corregidor. . 1998. "Transformaciones en el sistema agroalimentario: Impacto sobre los precios relativos." In Informe de Coyuntura. El Complejo Agroalimentario: Estructura y Perspectiva de desarrollo. Centro de Estudios Bonaerenses, La Plata, Ano 8, No. 77 November-December. .1999. "From Import Substitution Industrialization to the 'Open' Economy: The Role of Peronism." Teubal, Miguel, and Rodolfo Pastore. 1998. "Acceso a la alimentacion y regimenes de acumulacion: el papel de los precios relativos." In Miguel Teubal, ed., Teoria, estructuras y procesos econ6micos, Ensayos en honor al Dr. Julio H. G. Olivera. Buenos Aires, Argentina: CEA-Eudeba. Union for Radical Political Economics (URPE). 1987. The Imperiled Economy, Volume I. New York. Centro de Estudios Avanzados University of Buenos Aires Mail to: Washington 2839 Buenos Aires, Argentina (1430) teuba@mail. retina. ar In most cases structural adjustment (SA) involves transfers of income, wealth and power into the hands of economic and political establishments, implying marginality and exclusion for the majority of the population. SA contributes to development of a new "regime of accumulation," more "socially and sectorally disarticulated" than previous ones. Copyright Guilford Publications, Inc. Winter 2000/2001 Sources:UMI SCIENCE & SOCIETY 01/2000 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 06Feb1999 SOUTH AFRICA: What they didn't talk about at Davos. Johannesburg (Mail and Guardian, February 5, 1999) - Unknown to most of the official delegates at the World Economic Forum in Davos, Switzerland, last weekend, a caravan of 60 leftist economists, researchers and activists had sneaked through the police cordons to stage an "Alternative Davos". It included intellectuals and activists from all five continents, a motley but determined crew who had spent two days in Zurich planning protests and other actions before surreptitiously staging a media conference on Saturday under the noses of the forum's security phalanxes. The mood in the bunker-like conference centre where the official Davos was being staged was disconsolate and contrary. Spin doctors failed to hide the undercurrents: the polite but stern tiff between United States and Japanese officials; European leaders' undisguised disquiet at Washington's apparent serenity; and deep concern about, as one Latin American central banker phrased it, "a loss of interest in globalisation in emerging markets" and the danger of a "political backlash" against it. The contours of disagreement seemed stark. Ranged on one side is the hang-on-for-the-ride camp (captained by the US and transnational corporations). On the other there's the loose band of "Third Way" politicians in Europe and some countries of the south, keen to stir up an alchemy between dynamic market economies and greater social responsibility. Pundits will fuss about this divergence, missing the fact, said Egyptian economist Samir Amin, that there remains a fundamental consensus to press ahead for more open markets, especially for financial investments. "These differences should not be exaggerated. The debate at the official Davos is really only about what, if any, types of self-regulation should accompany this drive." Whereas speeches at the official Davos came swaddled in metaphors ("a global village that has caught fire", "boats tossed on stormy seas" and "plumbing" that had to fixed), at the Alternative Davos the gristle and bones of the world economy held centre stage. "In 18 months," said Kang Sang Goo of South Korea's union-linked Policy and Information Centre, "we've gone from almost zero unemployment to 3, 65-million people without jobs and tens of thousands of people homeless. The suicide rate among young women is catastrophic." In Brazil, some 200 000 peasant farmers have lost their land in the past four years and almost $600-million of state assets have been auctioned off to transnational corporations, said Mario Luis Lill, leader of that country's Movimento Sem Terra. "I cannot speak here as a citizen of a rich country when the homeless die on our streets this winter," said Robert Cremieux of France's Movement of the Unemployed. A recently leaked French government study, he added, has pegged the true number of jobless not at the official three million, but at almost seven million. Many of the group's demands were pointed. Topping the roster was the need to block a new round of Multilateral Agreement on Investment talks. Scuttled last year in the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development by worldwide protests mounted mainly through the Internet, these negotiations are being shifted to the World Trade Organisation's "Millennium Round", due to start in November. If passed, warned development analyst and activist Susan George, the Multilateral Agreement on Investment would exempt transnational corporations from most national labour laws, environmental regulations and investment codes. The agreement expressed pure free market ideology applied globally: "Once it's in place, the south will have little to resist with. This has to be our first line of attack." Other demands issued by the Alternative Davos included instituting a tax on capital flows, eliminating tax havens and cancelling the debts of all countries of the south - "not just the 20 or so poorest". Wistful and unattainable? In Davos's conference centre bunker, US officials pounded much more chaste proposals to limit hair-trigger capital movements, fix currency trading zones or design "early warning" systems for troubled economies. "We're not here to bend the ears of some masters of the universe," countered one of the Alternative Davos delegates. "We're not asking. We're at the beginning of new struggles across the world around these issues. Often they know nothing of one another. Our aim is to link them." The fissures and disquiet coursing through the official Davos meant that sanitised versions of left-wing demands could feature in the surgery being performed on the global economy. It's not for nothing that Davos's theme this year was "responsible globality", or that the words "a new social contract" featured in the official proceedings. "Their idea of a new social contract is a little wider consultation which legitimises measures that - perhaps - could slightly soften the social and developmental devastation achieved by free market capitalism, " said Amin. "Ours is different. It will come about only if the kinds of forces at the Alternative Davos grow strong enough to engage and eventually negotiate with dominant political and economic powers. Out of that new, democratic social contracts can be created. "I'm talking about ordinary peoples' struggles - Brazil's peasants, workers in South Africa, youth in France - not just round tables and conferences." Copyright 1999 Mail and Guardian. Distributed via Africa News Online. Distributed via COMTEX News. Sources:AFRICA NEWS SERVICE 06/02/1999 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 01Dec1998 EGYPT: Nowhere to Run, BUSINESS TODAY. By Abdalla F. Hassan. A market-driven casino of commodities, currencies and exchanges circles the globe from Cairo to Montreal, Paris to Beijing, Manhattan to Tokyo to London and back again, 24 hours a day, seven days a week. It's one sign of the emerging phenomenon called globalization, the economic engine that is transforming the world. This phenomenon was the subject of passionate debate during a two-day economic symposium held in October at the Goethe Institute in Cairo and sponsored by Al Habashi General Contracting. The march toward globalization - i.e., regional or supernational integration - can be seen in the creation of regional trading blocs and, in the case of the Euro, the formation of a common currency zone. One aspect of globalization is the expansion of world trade. Goods, especially those that are technology intensive, are now being produced and assembled in different countries. Why the big fuss over globalism? In a global economy, forces of trade and finance give many people a sense that the world they knew has changed. Workers in developed countries feel that globalization will alter their living conditions through greater competition. "Germans would compete with Egyptians, who have lower income and lower social protections," explains Dr. Paul Bernd Spahn, professor of public finance at Goethe University in Frankfurt, Germany. "But [Egyptians] could do as good a job as German workers provided they had the same skills and access to information." The attributes of a global economy are also rather abstract. "Globalism is a fully decentralized system without any power center," explains Spahn, who describes a world where market forces dominate. Ideally, he argues, the forces of globalization are not controlled by any individual, government or institution. Proponents of globalization argue that the process gives Arab states an opportunity to integrate into the world economy, promoting economic growth, creating more employment opportunities and improving living standards. Technology, liberalization of trade, and increased capital flows and direct foreign investment are benefits globalization offers developing countries, argues Dr. Heba Handoussa, professor of economics at the American University in Cairo and the managing director of the Economic Research Forum for Arab Countries. "The role of the state has changed from producer and planner to arbitrator," she explains. In order to successfully compete in an era of globalization, governments must be more effective in creating infrastructure and providing education, training and health care services, which would attract investment. In addition, the move of transnational corporations to low-wage economies may eventually mean an equalization of wages worldwide. "Developing countries must not be afraid of being exploited for cheap labor," asserts Handoussa, believing the transition will give more citizens an opportunity to work and acquire the skills they need to compete in the global marketplace. The cost of labor in Egypt is lower than in any other country in the Middle East and North Africa region. As Handoussa points out, seven percent of the Egyptian population earns less than $1 a day. There are other advantages. Globalization makes nations dependent on each other. "Nations that are dependent on each other don't opt for war or armament," says Harald Schumann, journalist and co-author of the international best seller "The Globalization Trap." "They prefer negotiation in case of conflict." More importantly, economic integration has the potential to help developing countries catch up to the industrialized world on the basis of imported technology and capital, he adds. That's the good news. "The bad news is that so far this integration process is so poorly politically managed and regulated," argues Schumann. Referring notably to the countries of Southeast Asia, he adds, "Most of the countries that take part in this process became politically and economically unstable. The most important reason for this is the growing inequality in the distribution of income." Although economies are getting richer due to the infusion of foreign capital, a large percentage of the population does not reap the benefits, he says. This results in greater political turmoil. Schumann acknowledges that economic analysis of globalization generally neglects the political dynamics of countries and regions. Moreover, globalization has resulted in a huge number of crossborder transactions occurring continually, making economies sensitive to short-term currency speculation. Individual countries may face greater risks due to the massive movements of capital occurring virtually overnight. "The first thing to be done is to reregulate the international financial markets," suggests Schumann. "We have to tame these short-term capital flows." As some economists see it, globalization chronicles a major power shift in world affairs, from the public to the private, and from national governments to transnational corporations and international financial agencies. It was during the 19th and early 20th centuries that the search for raw materials - as well as pressure to protect or increase markets drove colonial expansion and promoted the birth of transnational corporations. Today, burdened by debt (Egypt, for example, has a foreign debt of LE 150 billion), low commodity prices and unemployment, governments throughout the less industrialized world have sought to liberalize investment restrictions and privatize public sector industries as a way of attracting technology, capital and jobs. For multinationals, less-industrialized countries offer the potential for market expansion, lower wages, and fewer health and environmental regulations than in Western Europe and North America. "The era of colonial exploitation is over," says Spahn, who argues that globalization presents an opportunity for developing countries. "You now have sovereign governments that can say 'no' or 'yes.' The market may have no morals; it's not an ethical institution. But the market at least gives you the freedom to say 'no.' " But Samir Amin, director of the Third World Forum in Senegal, calls globalization a "political strategy" and derides the notion of a self-regulating market. "Markets do not exist in the air. In reality, markets are always regulated." And the process of deregulation is nothing more than "secret regulation." The decision-makers of this capital market have not been democratically elected, he says, but by their influence in the marketplace, they have become a quasi world government. Transnational corporations, among the world's largest economic institutions, are the real power center, he reasons. Regional trading blocs, the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) and global institutions such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the World Bank work to the benefit of multinationals, eroding national decision-making powers, says Amin. Through tax breaks, subsidies and fewer restrictions, governments have liberalized their trade and economic policies to attract these foreign investors. To take an example, Amin points to the IMF bailout of South Korea. The source of Korea's financial woes, according to the IMF, is the monopolistic tendencies of indigenous conglomerates. This is how Amin views the solution proposed by the IMF: "Ugly monopolies in Korea [will be] sold to ugly monopolies in the U.S. or Japan." The end result is the dismantling of potentially competitive systems of production. The two sides of the debate are clearly drawn out. Is globalism economically beneficial to developing countries through increased trade and investment? Or does it merely serve the interests of organized capital? As economists search for answers, investors trade trillions in global markets, and the forces of globalism grind forward. Copyright 1999 BUSINESS TODAY all rights reserved as distributed by WorldSources, Inc. COPYRIGHT 1998 BY WORLDSOURCES, INC.,A JOINT VENTURE OF FEDERAL DOCUMENT CLEARING HOUSE, INC. AND WORLD TIMES, INC. NO PORTION OF THE MATERIALS CONTAINED HEREIN MAY BE USED IN ANY MEDIA WITHOUT ATTRIBUTION TO WORLDSOURCES, INC. Sources:WORLDSOURCES ONLINE BUSINESS TODAY (EYGPT) 12/1998 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>> 01Oct1998 USA: Desert Frontiers - Ecological and Economic Change Along the Western Sahel, 1600-1850.(Review) - By McDougall, E. Ann. By JAMES L. A. WEBB JR. Madison and London: University of Wisconsin Press, 1995. Pp. xxvi+227. [pounds]40.95 (ISBN 0-299-14330-9); [pounds]17.95, paperback (ISBN 0-299-14334-1). In contrast to the desert itself, the Sahara as subject of historical (re)construction is currently displaying signs of health and vitality. It is enticing historians into a range of theoretical and methodological domains deriving from other disciplines, and simultaneously attracting scholars from other disciplines to play out their own explorations around its contours.(1) For a space which seems to have no difficulty occupying well-delineated and identified areas in every genre of cartographical representation, the Sahara is surprisingly difficult to 'locate' in academic discourse. Its identity, in current parlance, is a popular focus of speculation and debate, challenging conventional notions of its location, both in time and in space. One of these challenges is engagingly articulated in the recent publication of economic historian James Webb Jr. His Desert Frontier: Ecological and Economic Change along the Western Sahel, 1600-1850, invites wider participation in this 'search for the Sahara' and in so doing, encourages broader understanding of just where 'Saharan studies' and in particular Saharan history and Saharan society stand in these so-called post-colonial times. This ambivalence notwithstanding the present review begins by defining the geographical and chronological space it will consider (excluding contemporary Niger, Chad and Sudan), and by concentrating on materials which refer to the post-sixteenth-century Sahara (with only brief references to work on the twentieth century). This approach to defining geographical space conforms in large part to the current 'state of the art' which tends to generate a fairly discrete literature on the Central Sudan and the Sudan itself. And the chronological parameters adopted here are justified to some extent by those defined in Webb's book. More importantly, however, these reflect the degree to which the study of the sixteenth to nineteenth centuries has become a sub-field in itself, defined by its particular sources and methodologies, and generating debates specific to its framework. The medieval Sahara (defined as a geographical feature) gave unity to the African continent and in so doing linked Africa to the Mediterranean and Arab worlds. For African historians, the Sahara was the focus of 'great states' like ancient Ghana, Mali and Songhay;(2) the sea of sand over which passed Bovill's 'golden trade of the Moors';(3) and the world of Islamic, nomadic warriors, such as the Almoravids, who waged holy war against the animist, sedentary 'Sudan'. With the arrival of the Europeans off the desert coast and the beginning of the competition between Atlantic and Saharan commerce, between 'the caravel and the caravan',(4) the Sahara lost its economic centrality and with it, its role in Africa's destiny. As African history became increasingly shaped by European rather than Arab sources, the Sahara became the definitive division between history 'north of' and 'south of' the Sahara. Sub-Saharan Africa was created. In studies of post-medieval Africa, the Sahara, like the Atlantic and Indian Oceans, became one of Africa's 'peripheries'. Its importance lay largely in the international trade, especially the slave trade, that it carried to the 'sub-Saharan' continent. Ralph Austen's exercises in counting trans-Saharan slaves are comparable to Philip Curtin's influential (and controversial) efforts regarding the Atlantic trade.(5) And the impact of trans-Saharan trade on West African states provided a perfect foil for its Atlantic counterpart, rich fodder for the 'development/underdevelopment' debates of the 1970s.(6) A. G. Hopkins, in his seminal work on West African economic history, compared Saharan oases to oceanic 'islands of consumption' which at least potentially, allowed for the existence of a Saharan population beyond its transient merchants.(7) But apart from Charles Stewart's early 1970s publication, Islam and Social Order in Mauritania,(8) historical study of the Sahara as home to such people and their development was sparse on a ground increasingly populated with anthropologists studying pastoralism and segmentary societies, and developmentalists addressing problems of aridity and desertification. The return of historians to Saharan research owes much to the results of that work, as is evidenced by the range of multi-disciplinary and inter-disciplinary literature to which they contributed during the 1980s and early 1990s. The thesis on which Webb's Desert Frontier was based,(9) for example, as well as his influential articles on the gum trade and the slave-horse trade,(10) reflect clearly these historiographical trends. It appeared alongside the work of fellow economic historians Stephen Baler and Paul Lovejoy, Knut Vikor and the present reviewer on Saharan salts;(11) of anthropologists/sociologists Pierre Bonte, Constant Hames and Abdel Wedoud Ould Cheikh on central Mauritanian political economy, society and Islam;(12) of historians and Islamic specialists Michel Abitbol, Elizabeth Hodgkin, John Hunwick, Zarha Tamouh on the Sahara as an element in Moroccan-Soudanese relations (religious, cultural, political and commercial);(13) of linguist Catherine Taine Ould Cheikh on the construction of hassaniyya (the Berber-Arabic dialect of Mauritania);(14) of ethnologist Aline Tauzin on sexuality and social structure;(15) and of folklorist/Islamicist Harry T. Norris on the Arabisation of Saharan culture(16) - among others. What has emerged from this particular melange are several fascinating concepts of how the Sahara came to be where it came to be, and what it came to be during various epochs between the ninth and the nineteenth centuries. These parameters have provided historians with a rich array of issues, debates and perspectives which has shaped research in the 1990s.(17) For Abdel Wedoud Ould Cheikh, whose magisterial three-volume doctorat d'etat explored the intersection of nomadism, Islam and political power in precolonial 'Moorish' society,(18) the essence of the Sahara lay in l'espace Maure. Defining the nature of this 'space' entailed determining both a temporal and geographical construct. For Ould Cheikh the origins of societe Maure or bidan(19) society lay in the eleventh century with the infiltration of the Amoravids into the desert. By the end of the nineteenth century, its frontiers were delineated by the physical movement of Mauritanian families and tribes. As a sociologist, Ould Cheikh began with a contemporary understanding of what constitutes 'maure(tanian)' society, with its emphasis on the horizontal socio-political divisions between hassan (warriors) and zawaya (clerics), each, in turn, composed of a range of vertical social strata, and its distinct marriage of Berber and Arab cultural traits. Social evolution which was identifiably maure was apparent in the ordering of affairs among the Amoravids, and was further sculpted by the experiences of absorbing the Bani Hassan (the Arab infiltration which gave its name to a 'conquering' class and language), of developing Islam through Saharan scholarship, of accepting (increasingly) the Arabic-dominated hassaniyya in place of traditional Sanhaja and azayr(20) dialects, and of centralizing power in political entities called 'emirates' from the second half of the seventeenth century. The physical space defined by this process of identity creation, which Ould Cheikh refers to as the Western Sahara, stretched from Wadi Dra'a (Southern Morocco) to the Senegal River and east to the eastern frontiers of the emirate of Tagant (bordering modern Mali). He allows that cultural bidan influence exceeded the political, and includes regions stretching into current Algeria and the Azawad-Niger Bend of Mali. However, he does not dwell on the question of what exactly determines 'bidan cultural influence' in the regions where it did not articulate itself in emiral political authority.(21) H. T. Norris does precisely the opposite. For him, culture is the essence. Yet, his temporal and physical 'maps' would resemble those of Ould Cheikh very closely, their contours defined principally by the combined influences of 'Arabization' and commercial networks.(22) Where Ould Cheikh begins with social dynamics and assumptions about accumulation of power in outlining a particular social space, Norris begins with the human articulation of that society in terms of movement and cultural expression: poetry, writing, language, symbolism. His Sahara is the trab al-Shinqit (country of Shinqit), and it subsumes within it Malian Tuareg as well as Mauritanian 'Moors'. His concern with the structure of power is second to his concern for cultural identity and the ways in which it gives definition to social space, but he argues that the lack of emirates in parts of the trab al-Shinqit in the nineteenth century simply reflects a difference in historical conjunctures. He believes that the same process which produced the emirate of the Adrar in central Mauritania by the mid-eighteenth century and a similar if less well-defined political entity in the Tagant a century later, was also under way in the nineteenth-century Azawad region (north of Timbuktu). Delineating the eastern frontier and providing the broader skeleton of the trab al-Shinqit were the commercial salt networks, principally those based on Timbuktu and Tegaza/Tawdeni which traced a large part of the northern 'edge' intersecting with Tuat-Tafilelt (Algeria) and the Wadi Dra'a of Morocco. But he also acknowledges the centrality of western salts (coastal deposits, including the elusive medieval 'Awlil', as well as Tawdeni's inland competition, Ijil(23)) and the network of linkages which followed the southern desert edge through the Adrar, Tagant and Hodh. The origins of this cultural and economic intersection were epitomized in the medieval town of Shinqit, which gave its name to the vast Saharan lands, and welcomed Islamic and Arabic influences from the time of the Almoravids onwards.(24) Disciplinary differences aside, both Ould Cheikh and Norris sought the essence of bidan in the written, Arabic texts produced by that society. Pierre Bonte, an anthropologist by training, began with somewhat different aims and methodologies. He was interested in bidan society primarily because it offered an illustrative study with which to push the limitations of the influential 'segmentary society' theory.(25) That the pastoral, nomadic Saharans of Mauritania had managed to constitute a political entity in the Adrar region as early as the late seventeenth century, suggested that more power and authority could be accumulated and institutionalized among segmentary lineages than 'theory' allowed. Methodologically, Bonte depended primarily on oral interviews to reveal the history of the Adrar and the nature of 'emiral power'. His intimate understanding of familial and 'tribal' relations in the region has become apparent to all who have read his prolific publications; more than twenty-five years of frequent visits have produced a very sensitized, politically-astute vision of the past, liberally laced with closely critiqued oral tradition. The historical exploration, to which he has devoted almost as much attention as to his anthropological theorizing, leads him to argue that the distinctiveness of this society derived both from the fusion of Arab and Berber familial linkages and alliances, and from a subsequent emergence of warrior-clerical distinction in a changing economic climate which was increasingly shaped by capitalist forces. For Bonte, like Norris, the northern connections (Wadi Dra'a, Tafilelt, Tuat) are as important as the southern, and his analysis literally radiates in all directions from the 'heart' of the trab al-Shinqit. Indeed, this heart, the ksur (towns) of the Adrar, was central in shaping bidan society and in distinguishing it from that in other desert regions.(26) Bonte would argue that the particular nature of the political anthropology within which the zawaya evolved was not similarly developed among the Tuareg in the Azawad and indeed, may not even have characterized other parts of Mauritania or at least, not to the same degree.(27) So, while the trab al-Shinqit exists as an historical reality on the level of material culture, for Bonte the societal essence of the Sahara is l'espace Maure in its very limited format. The oral traditions and histories of the Adrar also attracted the attention of this reviewer some twenty years ago. From the perspective of an economic historian, I sought to understand 'power' as it was derived from material wealth. Research for my thesis into the history of the Ijil salt mine and how the zawaya group which controlled it (the Kunta) translated 'wealth' into 'power' (both spiritual and political), resulted in a Sahara delineated by Kunta activity and the salt networks earlier identified by Norris.(28) Driven by assumptions of the role of material wealth and accumulation in shaping social evolution and stratification, my subsequent work pushed the origins of bidan society to the eleventh and twelfth centuries.(29) But I argue that this was only a stage in an evolving Saharan society which predated the Almoravids, and which continued to evolve throughout the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. In short, for this reviewer, l'espace Maure is a considerably more limited concept than trab al-Shinqit both in space and time. Although largely in accord with Bonte's historical reconstruction, my work treats the southern and central Saharan regions as a single political economy (in which spiritual authority is an essential element), at least into the early colonial period. This has formed the framework for explorations into the structural and conceptual evolution of what I prefer to call 'Saharan' (rather than desert or maure) society(30). Desert Frontier is also the work of an economic historian. And Webb uses a goodly part of the extant work on the salt trade, as well as his own on the gum, horse and slave trades, to explore the economic change referred to in the book's sub-title. But Webb's concept of 'Sahara' and ' Saharan society' is very different from any of those described above - different in temporal, geographical, and ideological construction. It is one shaped and reshaped from the beginning of the seventeenth to the middle of the nineteenth century by profound and irreversible ecological change (a drying climate), and the consequential emergence of 'black-white' identities created in the throes of Sahara-Sahelien frontier violence. Spatially, the analysis encompasses a 'south-west' and a 'south-east' frontier which appears to fade off east of the Tagant, and rather vague references to a 'western Sahara' which occasionally seems to encompass territory as far north as the Tiris (former Spanish Sahara), but for purposes of discussion does not extend beyond the Adrar.(31) For Webb, the northern influences so integral to the others' articulations of the Sahara are introduced as part of that frontier violence, and characterized as incessant incursions by 'Moroccans' whose chief aim was to acquire slaves.(32) Given that the centre of Webb's focus is the frontier, not the desert per se, it is perhaps not surprising that the Sahara emerges in his book with somewhat fuzzy frontiers. To the extent that identity is an issue in his analysis, it is an identity defined in terms of contrasts: pastoralists/sedentarists, Muslims/non-Muslims, bidan/sudan, 'White/Black'. Where Webb's ecological framework intersects the issue of defining bidan identity, it challenges the perspectives of almost all the current literature. He argues that it was the particular nature of the material conditions pertaining during this era of droughts, famines and political violence, namely 1600-1750, which shaped bidan society and encoded its meaning among Saharans. This thesis is largely consistent with recent trends in African history which examine the historical import of ecological factors and disease on the one hand, and categories of race and ethnicity as historical constructs on the other. But Webb's argument is unlikely to go unchallenged by those whose concepts of 'Saharan' differ considerably from his, nor by those who would dispute the degree to which the impact of seventeenth-century droughts was especially unusual or irreversible.(33) Some contemporary researchers, however, seem less inclined to pursue issues of traditional economic history;(34) they are less trusting of the revealing nature of numbers and statistics and argue for less literal readings of 'traditional' texts, both oral and written. The questions Ould Cheikh and Bonte have formulated regarding segmentarity, 'tribal' formation and the nature of political power in the Sahara continue to evoke extensive discussion, and the importance of controlling material resources is being interpreted in the context of analyzing identity formation. Mariella Villasante-Debeauvais's recent thesis on the formation of the Ahel Sidi Mahmoud (Tagant) challenges both Bonte and Ould Cheikh on their generalizations about the nature of power accumulation and tribal formation,(35) as does Raymond Taylor's study of 'power, authority and society' in nineteenth-century southern Mauritania (Gebla).(36) While Villassante-Debeauvais analyzes the making of a zawaya tribe, one which achieved considerable power and authority in the nineteenth century outside of the 'parental alliance framework' so central to Bonte's theory, Taylor looks more closely at the unmaking of emiral authority, principally among the hassan tribes of the Trarza and Brakna. He challenges Ould Cheikh's assertions about both the similarities between, and the longevity of, Mauritanian power structures (the emirates of Adrar, Trarza, Brakna and Tagant). McDougall and Nouhi's '... you have known power', also outlines the intersection of zawaya material and ideological interests with the emergence of Saharan political struggles between the seventeenth and nineteenth centuries, and emphasizes the role of the clerical elite in shaping the geographic and economic frameworks of hassan power. Nouhi's current fieldwork in Mauritania is probing this question further by looking at correspondence (both formal and 'informal' as recorded in oral tradition and hassaniyya poetry) between the Kunta and their various friends and foes between the Adrar and the Azawad.(37) These concerns invariably touch on the notion of identity and point to the need to look at Saharan 'tribes' as social constructs. Webb's introduction to his usage of 'white' and 'black' in Desert Frontier is a fine articulation of the premise that these terms are cultural statements, the product of a complex dynamic stretching over space and time. Unfortunately, in Webb's actual analysis the ' dynamic' tends to become fixed in time and space as the book progresses, and the cultural aspects become increasingly tied to skin colour and occupation.(38) Taylor, on the other hand, builds engagingly on Webb's premise, to show further how the concept of 'being bidan' continued to evolve beyond the mid-eighteenth century as power structures changed both within the desert and on either side of its 'frontier' in the context of French colonization. He goes further than Webb in drawing on post-modernist approaches to the reading of oral and written texts, and to the questioning of historical reality to unveil the layers of posturing and presentation which shroud the realities historians seek to describe.(39) The 'process of being bidan' which emerges is one which will influence considerably our future work. Similarly, Timothy Cleaveland makes explicit his approach to questions of politics and identity in the eastern Hodh in the very title of his recent thesis, 'Becoming Walati'. His explorations into identity formation are clearly focused on the ' tribes' which settled the region, and on understanding how the conflicts over power which resulted from the settling process shaped that formation. He too tackles the hoary legacy of 'segmentary lineage theory'(40) and argues for the centrality of basic economic strategies in the structuring of kinship. His thesis also challenges implicitly the applicability of Webb's ecological framework in explaining the region and the movements of its peoples. And his handling of the question of identity in terms of the Arab/Berber/Mande origins of Walati shades less into 'color' and more into social category. Cleaveland's argument that ethnic and genealogical identities were linked to the evolution of social status in Walati society parallels Webb's approach to unravelling 'cultural dynamic over time and space' and furthers research which increasingly treats what used to be historical 'givens' and societal 'constructs'. Cleaveland's attention to social status and societal hierarchy as aspects of historical change is a welcome counter to our tendency to accept a timeless, ethnographic snapshot of Saharan social classes.(41) Hopefully, future research will pursue the various strata of Saharan society within this optic of process, while also remembering that constructs are often as much the creation of the historian as they are the subjects of history.(42) Webb raises again the issue of the impact of the Atlantic trade, especially the gum and slave trades. Few would question Webb's expertise concerning the role of the Atlantic gum trade,(43) but his challenging of the claim that the Atlantic slave trade was the most significant economic activity in this part of west Africa during the seventeenth and eighteenth centuries is sure to provoke discussion.(44) To the extent that it also draws attention to the absorption of slaves into the Sahara as well as across it, Webb's argument fits into ongoing work on Saharan slavery and speaks to the issue raised above about social structure and hierarchy.(45) In addition, it draws attention to issues recently explored in an edited book by Robin Law,(46) among which was the impact of ending that slave trade on the desert and desert-edge societies which had been affected by it. While confirming the significance of trade across and into the desert, the findings presented in Law do not go as far as Webb in arguing that, at least towards the end of the seventeenth century, the importance of the Saharan trade was greater than that of the Atlantic,(47) nor do they tend to support Webb's hypothesis that the prices of slaves within West Africa probably dropped following the ending of the Atlantic trade.(48) To date, evidence suggests that increased slave use for domestic production both in the sahel and the Sahara kept demand sufficiently high to support pre-existing price structures.(49) There will undoubtedly be those who will not be able to resist some retaliatory number crunching or fine tuning of Webb's environmental calendar. But generally speaking, current research seems more interested in pursuing the impact of the trade (and the Europeans) either through regional studies, which bite off lengthy chronological chunks in which this particular theme is followed through into the colonial era,(50) or through examining the influence which European writings had on local level discourse and ultimately, on historians' interpretations of that discourse. Both Taylor's thesis on the Mauritanian sahel and John Hanson's work on Malian territory to the east, are cases in point.(51) Webb's vantage point of the southern desert-edge notwithstanding, any discussion of 'desert frontiers' in the Saharan context must comprise the northern perspective as well. In large part a consequence of research conditions in Algeria, that 'northern component' has been almost exclusively defined as Moroccan, and research has also tended to be the prerogative of Moroccans.(52) But while earlier work tended to focus on distinguishing Moroccan from 'other' (be it Saharan or Sudanese, Mauritanian or Malian), Saharan-centred research, in relocating the 'centre', will tend to be less concerned with the identity of the so-called peripheries and more interested in how their interaction with Saharans shaped and reshaped desert society.(53) One area where this is clearly the case is in current studies of Saharan Islam. Glen McLaughlin's work on Muhammad Fadil and the evolution of his zawiya and Sufi way in the nineteenth-century Mauritanian Sahara led him to look at a region stretching from Morocco and the Western Sahara into modern Senegambia and Mali.(54) Said Bousbina's work is defined by similar connections: the articulation of the Moroccan-born Tijaniyya tariqa in the West African Soudan, and the subsequent impact of the literature produced by its adherents.(55) Or, alternatively, new work will look at frontier relations on both shores in a comparative fashion, being shaped both from the Saharan and the Atlantic side by common historical processes.(58) A key variable shaping the current direction of research and publication is the combined use of new texts and new theories to critique them. While not all Saharan scholars are Arabists and Islamicists, most are undertaking fieldwork of considerable duration, working with local written and oral texts with the assistance of local scholars or students, and working with textual analyses appropriate to them. In that sense, work in the Sahara is well placed to make major contributions to the methodology of African history. As a society increasingly 'Islamized' and 'Arabicized', the Saharan 'case study' combines layers of written and oral tradition married with earlier oral traditions whose cultural motifs can still be discerned. The overlay first of European observation, then European language(s) and ultimately power and religion in the colonial context only further enriches the intellectual territory. We have not yet explored at all, for example, the links between European perceptions of the 'Moors of Barbary' (the 'Barbarians') and their literary and pictorial presentation of Saharan 'Moors' in the pre-colonial era in the same way as we have begun to treat the subject vis-a-vis Europeans and Saharans in the nineteenth and early twentieth centuries. And Cleaveland's work draws attention to the fact that the earlier, Berber, matrilineal past is not as absent even from the written texts and certainly not from the oral ones, as we have tended to assume.(57) His work, as well as Taylor's, will also be pushing us further to question how gender assumptions both in the formation and the interpretation of the texts have influenced historical interpretations to date.(58) While unquestionably overexploited by current North American university bureaucracies for its political capital, 'interdisciplinarity' has truly enriched the study of Saharan history. In France, history seems to have become increasingly integral to research in sociology and anthropology.(59) And on the American side, Webb's book derives its principal originality and impact from its roots in ecology and environmental study, reflecting the widespread communication between development work and academe which Webb himself epitomizes.(60) Taylor's and Cleaveland's recent theses reflect the impact of post-modernist, post-colonial study on history; it must be said as well that Cleaveland's research reflects a very healthy dose of anthropological fieldwork. The theses currently underway in Canada to some extent straddle these tendencies (as well as the Sahara itself), and will undoubtedly take on new directions over the course of their completion.(61) Clearly, more broadly-based approaches to the process of defining Islam and, in turn, constructing Islamic identity will continue to characterize research in North America, Britain and north/west Africa. If there is a general statement to be made both in relation to the contribution of Webb's book and the overall intellectual vitality of the field, it is that the Sahara is far from being 'constructed' in any indisputable fashion. It is unlikely that Webb's vantage point of a violence-ridden, racially conflictual southern frontier will ultimately prove the most revealing of the Sahara's highly complex social 'reality'. But it will generate debate around its central hypotheses, and force a good deal more attention to issues of ecological change. Indeed, the publication of Webb's book signals the emergence of that 'Saharan field' as an accredited form for exciting, international scholarship, actively debating and reshaping the contours of the Sahara itself. 1 See The Saharan Studies Bulletin, published biannually by the Saharan Studies Association (contact John O. Hunwick, History Department, Northwestern University). 2 Nehemia Levtzion, Ancient Ghana and Mali (London, 1973; rep. New York, 1980). A revised edition of this work is currently being prepared, directed by David C. Conrad, and Rod and Susan McIntosh. See Levtzion's own 'revisions', 'Berber Nomads and Sudanese States: the historiography of the desert-sahel interface' (Paper presented at the International Conference on Manding Studies, Bamako, Mali, 1993). 3 E. W. Bovill, The Golden Trade of the Moors (2nd ed., London, 1968). 4 Boubacar Barry, La Senegambie du XVe au XIXe siecle. Traite negriere, Islam et conquete coloniale (Paris, 1988) and the introduction by Samir Amin. See also discussion in A. G. Hopkins, An Economic History of West Africa (Longman, 1973), 78-112. 5 Ralph A. Austen, 'The trans-Saharan slave trade, a tentative census', in Henry A. Gemery and Jan S. Hogendorn (eds.), The Uncommon Market: Essays in the History of the Atlantic Slave Trade (New York, 1979), 23-72; most recently his 'update', 'The Mediterranean slave trade out of Africa: a tentative census', in Elizabeth Savage (ed.), The Human Commodity, Perspectives on the Trans-Saharan Slave Trade (London, 1992), 214-48; and the seminal work which continues to generate controversy, Philip Curtin, The Atlantic Slave Trade: a Census (Madison, 1969). 6 For example, Marion Malowist, 'The social and economic stability of the Western Sudan in the Middle Ages', Past and Present, XXXIII (1966), 3-15; and A. G. Hopkins' rejoinder, 'Underdevelopment in the empires of the Western Sudan', Past and Present, XXXVII (1967), 149-56; John Ralph Willis, 'The Western Sudan from the Moroccan invasion (1591) to the death of al-Mukhtar al-Kunti (1811)', in J. F. Ade Ajayi and Michael Crowder (eds.), History of West Africa, i, 441-83; J. Spencer Trimingham, A History of Islam in West Africa (Oxford, 1962); Samir Amin, 'Underdevelopment and dependence in Black Africa: historical origin', Journal of Peace Research, II (1972), 105-19. 7 A. G. Hopkins, An Economic History, see general discussion in 'The domestic economy: structure and function', 51-77; and more specifically, 'External trade: the Sahara and the Altantic', 79-86. Hopkins drew attention to the significance of Saharan trade and production in these chapters, calling for more research along those lines. He also noted that the Sahara had its own 'merchant princes' who were as deserving of attention as those of the Niger Delta. Unfortunately, this part of his work seems to have had less impact (and less acknowledgement) than much of the rest. 8 With E. K. Stewart (Oxford, 1973). This book focused on the nineteenth-century Gebla (south-western Mauritania). 9 James L. A. Webb, Jnr., 'Shifting sands: an economic history of the Mauritanian Sahara 1500-1850' (Ph.D. thesis, Johns Hopkins University, 1984). 10 James L. A. Webb, 'The trade in gum arabic: prelude to French conquest in Senegal', J. Afr. Hist., XXVI (1985), 149-68; 'The horse and slave trade between the Western Sahara and Senegambia', J. Afr. Hist., XXXIV (1993), 221-46. Revised versions of these articles constitute chapters 5 and 4 (respectively) of Desert Frontier. 11 S. Baier, An Economic History of the Central Sudan (Oxford, 1980); P. Lovejoy, Salt of the Desert Sun (Cambridge, 1985); E. A. McDougall, 'The Ijil salt industry: its role in the precolonial economy of the Western Sudan' (Ph.D. thesis, University of Birmingham, 1980), 'Camel caravans of the Saharan salt trade: traders and transporters in the nineteenth century', in C. Coquery-Vidrovitch and Paul E. Lovejoy (eds.), The Workers of African Trade (Beverly Hills, 1985), 99-122, and 'Salts of the Western Sahara: myths, mysteries and historical significance', Int. J. Afr. Hist. Studies, XXIII (1990), 231-57; K. Vikor, 'The oasis of salt: the history of Kawar, a Saharan centre of salt production' (Ph.D. thesis, University of Bergen, 1979). 12 Bonte has published extensively; of most interest to historians, perhaps, are 'The constitution of the Emirate and the transformations of systems of production in the Adrar (Mauritania)', Production pastorale et societe, XVI (1985), 33-53; 'Une agriculture saharienne. Les Grayr de l'Adrar mauritanien', Revue de l'occident musulman et de la Mediterranee, XLI-XLII (1986), 378-96; 'Tribus, fractions et etat: Les conflits de succession dans l'emirat de l'Adrar', Cahiers d'Etudes Africaines, XXII-XXIV (1987-8), 489-516; his long-awaited doctorat d'etat, 'L'emirat de l'Adrar' is in the final stages of completion; C. Hames, 'Statuts et rapports sociaux en Mauritanie precoloniale', in Etudes sur les societes de pasteurs nomades, Cahiers du Centre d'Etudes et de Recherches Marxistes, XXXIII (1977), 10-21; A. W. Ould Cheikh, 'Nomadisme, Islam et pouvoir politique dans la societe maure precoloniale (XI-XIX siecles)' (These de doctorat, Universite de Paris V, 1985); many of the central themes in this thesis are summarized in his Elements d'histoire de la Mauritanie (Nouakchott, 1988); see also his 'Herders, traders and clerics: the impact of trade, religion and warfare on the evolution of Moorish society', in John G. Galaty and Pierre Bonte (eds.), Herders, Warriors and Traders: Pastoralism in Africa (Boulder, 1991), 199-218. 13 M. Abitbol, Tombouctou et les Arma (Paris, 1979), Tombouctou au milieu du XVIIIe siecle d'apres la Chronique de Mawlay al-Qasim b. Mawlay Sulayman (Paris, 1982), 'Le Maroc et le commerce trans-saharien du XVIIe siecle au debut du XIXe siecle', Revue de l'occident musulman et de la Mediterranee, XXX (1980), 5-19; E. Hodgkin, 'Social and political relations on the Niger Bend in the seventeenth century' (Ph.D. thesis, University of Birmingham, 1987); J. O. Hunwick, Shari'a in Songhay: the Replies of al-Maghili to the Questions of Askia al-Hajj Muhammad (Oxford, 1985), Z. Tamouh, 'Le Maroc et le Soudan au XIXe siecle (1830-1894): Contribution a une histoire inter-regionale de l'Afrique' (These du doctorat de 3eme cycle, Universite de Pantheon-Sorbonne, Paris I, 1982). 14 'Le pilier et la corde: recherches sur la poesie maure', Bulletin of the School of Oriental and African Studies, XLVIII (1985); 'La mauritanie en noir et blanc: Petite promenade linguistique en hassaniyya', Revue du Monde Musulman et de la Mediterannee, LIV (1989), 90-105; and the ongoing project which has so far produced seven volumes of invaluable reference, Dictionnaire hassaniyya-francais (Paris, 1988-). Hassaniyya spills over Mauritania's borders into southern Morocco and Mali, following Saharan population movements. 15 A. Tauzin, ' Sexualite, mariages et stratification sociale dans le Hodh Mauritanien' (These du Doctorat de 3eme cycle, Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales, Paris, 1981); 'La ruse des femmes: Presentation d'un corpus de contes Mauritaniens', Litterature Orale Arabo-Berbere, XV (1984), 89-118; 'La femme partagee: Controle et deplacement de la sexualite feminine en Mauritanie', in Collectif, Cote femmes, Approches Ethnologiques (1986), 147-57; 'Le gigot et l'encrier: Maitres et esclaves en Mauritanie a travers la litterature orale', Revue du Monde Musulman et de la Mediterranee, LIV (1989), 74-90. Tauzin's interest in oral literature has recently resulted in the publication of her fascinating Contes arabes de Mauritanie (Paris, 1993). 16 H. Norris, Shinqiti Folk Literature and Song (Oxford, 1968) and Saharan Myth and Saga (Oxford, 1972), remain classics. His broad view of the 'trab al-Shinqit' is developed in The Arab Conquest of the Western Sahara (Harlow, 1986). 17 One might add the hitherto unpublished work of Dennis Cordell on Saharan demographic history, with particular attention to the slave populations of oases, much of which has been presented at various congresses over the past decade, most recently at the International Economic History Conference, Milan 1994, and the [American] African Studies Association meeting, Columbus, Ohio, 1997. 18 Ould Cheikh, 'Nomadisme, Islam et pouvoir politique'. 19 Meaning, literally 'white'. 20 A medieval commercial idiom developed largely in the context of the salt trade which reflected strong Soninke influences in Berber-based dialects. 21 Chapters 3, 5, and 6 speak directly to these issues. In the last section, he examines in detail, and then rejects, the arguments which associate the emergence of the 'bidan' with the late seventeenth-century war of Shurr Bubba. This argument is summarized in 'Herders, traders and clerics', with specific reference to the work of Boubacar Barry and Constant Hames. 22 These themes are succinctly sketched in The Arab Conquest, ch. 1, 'The historical geography of the Western Sahara and its peoples', 2-10, and most directly addressed and developed in Part IV, 'The Arabisation of the Western Sahara', 135-78. 23 Saharan Myth and Saga, 78-9 (n. 6); 92-3. 24 Norris' Sharan Myth and Saga remains the seminal introductory study of this process. 25 Defined in a general sense in Meyer Fortes and E. Evans-Pritchard (eds.), African Political Systems (London, 1940); with respect to nomads in Neville Dyson-Hudson,' The study of nomads' in William Irons and N. Dyson-Hudson (eds.), Perspectives on Nomadism (Leiden, 1972), and most influential for studies of the Sahara, Ernest Gellner's 'Introduction to nomadism', in The Desert and the Sown (Berkeley, 1973). Most recently, Timothy Cleaveland devotes most of the concluding chapter of his thesis to the subject: 'Becoming Walati: a study of politics, kinship and social identity in pre-colonial Walata' (Ph.D. thesis, Northwestern University, 1995); see ch. 8, 'Segmentary theory, economics and social identity'. 26 In 'L'emirat de l'Adrar', Bonte emphasizes the significance of the 'town culture' which emerged as a consequence of sedentarized zawaya intellectual and economic activities. 27 Pers. comm., Dec. 1996. I would like to take this opportunity to acknowledge Pierre Bonte's generosity in sharing with me parts of his thesis prior to its being examined, as well as his thoughts on a range of topics concerning Saharan history. 28 McDougall, 'The Ijil salt industry'. These themes have been further explored in McDougall, 'The economics of Islam in the southern Sahara: the rise of the Kunta Clan', in Nehemia Levtzion and Humphrey J. Fisher (eds.), Rural and Urban Islam in West Africa (Boulder, 1986), 45-60, and 'Banamba and the salt trade of the western Sudan', in D. Henige and T. McCaskie (eds.), West African Economic and Social History: Studies in Memory of Marion Johnson (Madison, 1990), 151-69. 29 McDougall, 'The view from Awdaghust: war, trade and social change in the southwestern Sahara from the eighth to the fifteenth century', J. Afr. Hist., XXVI (1985), 1-31. 30 For example, see McDougall, 'The question of Tegaza and the conquest of Songhay: some Saharan considerations', in Le Maroc et l'Afrique subsaharienne aux debut des temps modernes (Rabat, 1992), 251-82; and McDougall and Mohamed Nouhi, '... you have known power': Zwaya development and the evolution of Saharan politics, seventeenth and eighteenth centuries' (Paris/Rabat, forthcoming). 31 This framework is set out in ch. 1, ' Ecological change and emergence of the desert frontier, 1600-1850', 3-26. 32 The central argument is outlined on pp. 48-9, but it permeates the whole analysis. This is not the place for a detailed critique of this presentation; suffice it to say that there are some problems with Webb's interpretations of the evidence regarding locations of 'border towns' from which slaves were said to have been taken, as well as with the identities of the so-called Moroccans and the ability of the maghzan or Moroccan 'state' to have orchestrated such regular incursions through the late seventeenth and early eighteenth centuries. 33 The issue of the impact of drought was discussed at some length following the presentation of McDougall and Nouhi, '... you have known power', during the Table Ronde on 'L'ordre politique tribal au Maroc Saharien et en Mauritanie', Guelmime, Morocco, 1996. The paper was somewhat critical of Webb's ecological determinism while accepting the role of drought in shaping seventeenth-century political economy. Ould Cheikh endorsed the view that the impact of the drought had been significant, whereas Bonte argued that the seventeenth century was no more nor less a watershed than most other centuries. 34 This is not to say that concerns about issues of trade, commerce and production are not being explored, merely that they are being set in somewhat different frameworks of analysis or are being explored through the use of different research techniques and evidence. Gislaine Lydon (History, Michigan State University) is currently exploring the role of the Tekna in Mauritania through the study of an extensive collection of local oral and written texts. David P. Gutelius (History, Johns Hopkins University) is preparing a dissertation on market growth in the context of the Nasiriyya Muslim brotherhood in southern Morocco, c. 1640-1830. For Gutelius, 'the market' is about negotiating identities, moral values and ideas as well as prices and profits; see his 'Research note' in Saharan Studies Association Newsletter, v, i (May 1997), 8-9. McDougall's current research examines nineteenth-century trans-Saharan connections from the perspective of family history. and documentation, and focuses on the role of marriage(s) in consolidating and protecting property. On the other hand, it could be argued that the regeneration of the journal African Economic History in recent years is a sign to the contrary, as is the appearance of two economic history textbooks: Ralph Austen, African Economic History: Internal Development and External Dependency (London, 1987), and Paul Tiyambe Zeleza, A Modern Economic History of Africa (Dakar and Oxford, 1993). 35 M. Villasante-Debeauvais, 'Solidarite et hierarchie au sein des Ahl Sidi Mahmud: Essai d'anthropologie historique d'une confederation tribale mauritanienne, XVIIIeme-XXeme siecle' (These de doctorat, Ecole des Hautes Etudes en Sciences Sociales, Paris, 1995). 36 R. Taylor, 'Of disciples and sultans: power, authority and society in the nineteenth-century Mauritanian Gebla' (Ph.D. thesis, University of Illinois-Champaign-Urbana, 1996). 37 The working title of Nouhi's Ph.D. thesis is ' Islam, identity and power in (eastern) Mauritania'. 38 There is also the problem, presented in the introduction, of just who is constructing whose identity. Webb notes that the black peoples of Senegambia did not develop a ' broad term of cultural identity to refer to all (Black) sedentary peoples in the region (in juxtaposition to the nomadic populations), probably due to their illiteracy ...' (p. xxvi). In other words, the 'black' identity he uses was not created by the same process as the 'white' or bidan, but rather was a creation of the bidan construction itself. Nouhi is looking at a similar phenomenon with respect to the zawaya who have created the hassan in the process of constructing their own identity. 39 R. Taylor, 'Of disciples and sultans'. See also Taylor's papers presented at the African Studies Association meetings: 'History and tribal discourse in the Southwest Sahara' (St Louis, 1991); and 'Genealogy, gender and tribal discourse in the pre-colonial Southwest Sahara' (Toronto, 1994). He is also much more hesitant about the 'identity' of the Moroccans about whom Webb speaks. In a lengthy note exploring what is known, and not known, about these so-called 'ormans' or ' Moroccans', Taylor refers to them as 'nomadic warriors from the northwest Sahara ... [whose] identity and intentions ... are much in doubt'; 'Of disciples and sultans', 77, n. 38. 40 Cleaveland also argues that segmentary lineage theory continues to influence Bonte's work; see, ' Becoming Walati', 12. 41 The most overstated case was made by Constant Hames some years ago when he presented Mauritanian society through the optic of Indian 'castes'. In spite of the fact that his subsequent views have become more nuanced, the earlier construction has had a lasting influence; see his 'La societe maure ou le systeme des castes hors de l'Inde', Cahiers Internationaux de Sociologie, XLVI (1969), 163-77. Charles Stewart signalled issues of spacial flexibility and variability in Islam and Social Order (see especially, 64, [ILLUSTRATION FOR FIGURE 1 OMITTED]), but historians have been slow to pursue the implications of these issues. 42 See also Taylor's work on 'Genealogy, gender and tribal discourse'. An attempt to convey something of the complexities of 'being slave' in a changing colonial context was made in McDougall, 'A topsy-turvy world: slaves and freed slaves in the Mauritanian Adrar, 1910-1950', in Suzanne Miers and Richard Roberts (eds.), The End of Slavery in Africa (Madison, 1988), 362-90. See also the life story of a female Saharan slave/freed-slave in McDougall, 'A sense of self: the life of Fatma Barka (North/West Africa)', Can. J. Afr. Studies, forthcoming. 43 Most recently, see Webb, 'The mid-eighteenth century gum arabic trade and the British conquest of Saint-Louis du Senegal, 1758', J. Imp. and Comm. Hist., XXV (1997), 37-58. 44 This is a seductive argument which is developed on pp. 65-7, especially in nn. 69 and 70. However, one feels obliged to call attention to what might be described as a 'statistical sleight of hand'. Having 'assumed' a total number of slaves entering the Sahara between 1700 and 1809 from 'below the southeastern Frontier' (a total derived as a percentage of another total, derived in turn as a percentage of the total number of slaves entering the Atlantic trade from the whole of the Senegambia, which is itself a disputed figure!), Webb arrives at an annual export simply by dividing the total by a decade. These very roughly estimated 'annual averages' are then compared with specific export figures for the Atlantic trade during the same decades to arrive at comparative volumes! There are some other 'assumed percentages' regarding population which also need more careful and judicious treatment before being applied as they are here. 45 See, for example, McDougall, 'A sense of self'; 'Topsy-turvy world'; 'Salt, Saharans and the trans-Saharan slave trade: nineteenth century developments', in Savage, The Human Commodity, 61-88: and in progress, entries on' Saharan Slavery' and 'Slavery in Morocco' for Paul Finkleman and Joseph C. Miller (eds.), Encyclopedia of Slavery (New York forthcoming). Bonte devotes a full chapter to 'Esclavage et affranchissement' in ' L'emirat de l'Adrar'. Ralph Austen has recently shown interest in Saharan slaves and especially 'freed slaves' or haratin (generating discussion on H-AFRICA in the autumn of 1996). Katherine Mosely continues work begun some years ago in southern Morocco on the social and economic positioning of abid and haratin. And there are currently at least three theses either in progress or recently defended which deal with Haratin to some significant extent: Meskerem Brhane, 'Narratives of the past, politics of the present: Identity, subordination and the haratines of Mauritania' (2 vols.) (Ph.D. thesis, University of Chicago, 1997); Madia Thomson, 'Desert crossings: a cultural history of trans-Saharan trade and migration in southern Morocco, 1600-1830' (Boston University, in progress); and Urs Peter Ruf, 'Dissolving slavery: changing configurations of hierarchy and dependency among slaves, haratin and masters in Central Mauritania' (University of Bielefeld, in progress). A panel organized by Raymond Taylor at the 1997 African Studies Association annual meeting in Columbus, Ohio, on 'Hierarchy and social change at the desert's edge' involved several of these scholars. 46 Robin C. Law (ed.), From Slave Trade to 'Legitimate' Commerce: the commercial transition in nineteenth-century West Africa (Cambridge, 1995). 47 The argument is developed pp. 82-90. 48 Webb, Desert Frontier, 67; that said, more work needs to be done on the subject before generalized conclusions can be drawn. 49 See Law, From Slave Trade, 6-11, and the chapters by Paul E. Lovejoy and David Richardson, 'The initial "crisis of adaptation": the impact of British abolition on the Atlantic slave trade in West Africa, 1808-1820', 32-56, and by McDougall, 'In search of a desert-edge perspective: the Sahara-Sahel and the Atlantic trade c. 1815-1890', 222-3. 50 See, for example, Villasante-Debeauvais, 'Solidarite et hierarchie', which explores the history of the Ahel Sidi Muhamed tribe from its formation in the Tagant in the eighteenth century through its twentieth-century fortunes; Abdallah ould Youba ould Khalifa, whose thesis encompasses the history of Tidjika from its seventeenth-century foundation to the 1960s: 'Les aspects economiques et sociaux de l'Oued Tijigja: De la fondation du ksar a l'independance' (These de doctorat, Universite de Paris I, 1990-1); and Gislaine Lydon, whose projected work on the Tekna will encompass the pre-colonial, colonial and contemporary economic situation. 51 Taylor, 'Of disciples and sultans.'; John H. Hanson, 'African testimony reported in European travel literature: what did Paul Soleillet and Camille Pietri hear and why does no one recount it now?', History in Africa, XVII (1991), 143-58. Mohamed Hassan Mohamed's current research on the Beyrouk family of Wadi Noun, the 'northern Sahel', holds exciting promise along the same lines. The Beyrouk family is represented in much of the travel literature of the nineteenth century and has entered African history largely through studies of the trans-Saharan trade, as well as the discussion of European attempts to tap into that trade by establishing themselves in coastal ports/forts. 52 The economic, political, cultural and religious roles played in Saharan history by the peoples of Tuat, Tafilelt and Tindouf are indisputable (if also largely undocumented), but serious research in the Algerian Sahara has not been a political possibility for many years, and the situation does not look likely to change for the better in the near future! On the Moroccan front, however, there has been considerable interest and activity. It is somewhat ironic that those historians for whom the Sahara is next door base their research almost solely on written texts, while those from North America and Europe are inclined to do fieldwork! See for example, Z. Tamouh, 'Le Maroc et le Soudan'; Jamal Bellakhdar, Abdelmalek Benabid, Jacques Vittoz, Jean Marechal, Tissint. Une oasis du Maroc presaharien. Monographie d'une palmeraie du moyen Dra (Collection Etudes Sahariennes, Al Biruniya, 1992), a multi-disciplinary work which contains a sizable historical section (pp. 45-158); Larbi Mezzine, Le Tafilalt. Contribution a l'histoire du Maroc aux XVIIIe et XVIIe siecles (Rabat, Faculte des Lettres et des Sciences Humaines, Serie these 13, 1987). Mustapha Na'imi has published several articles and chapters dealing with the Tekna confederation (southern Morocco/western Sahara) and their role in Saharan political and economic history, for example 'Espace tribal et specificites sahariennes en 1592, in Le Maroc et l'Afrique subsaharienne aux debuts des temps modernes, Institut des Etudes Africaines, Serie Colloque et seminaires, no. 2, Universite Mohammed V, Rabat (Casablanca, 1995), 119-30; 'The evolution of the Tekna confederation caught between coastal commerce and trans-Saharan trade', in E.G. H. Joffe and C. R. Pennell (eds.), Tribe and State: Essays in Honour of David Montgomery Hart (Wisbech, 1991), 213-38; 'Le pays Tekna: centre ou peripherie?', Bulletin Economique et Social du Maroc, CLIX-CLXI (1987-8), 231-45. Since its inception in 1990, the Institute of African Studies at the Universite Mohammed V, Rabat has encouraged research involving Moroccan-African connections. The Institute has published a number of public lectures by visiting scholars, among which are several concerning Saharan history: Adam Ba Konare, 'Les relations politiques et culturelles entre le Maroc et le Mali a travers les ages' (Rabat, 1991); John O. Hunwick, 'Les rapports intellectuels entre le Maroc et l'Afrique sub-saharienne a travers les ages' (Rabat, 1990). Fatima Harrak (a professor of history associated with the Institute) is currently working on trans-Saharan intellectual and religious connections with Mali, and Zahr Tamouh is currently supervising a thesis which examines representations of the so-called 'conquest' of Songhay by Morocco through Arabic and European literature. 53 Naimi's recent work, cited in the preceding note, is an example of this shift, as is the thesis research of Gutelius, Nouhi and Mohamed, cited above, and Madia Thomson (History, Boston University) is beginning research on cultural connections across the Sahara. 54 G. McLaughlin, 'Sufi, saint, sharif: Muhammad Fadil wuld Mamin: his spiritual legacy and the political economy of the sacred in nineteenth-century Mauritania' (Ph.D. thesis, Northwestern University, 1997); see 'Author's Abstract' in Saharan Studies Association Newsletter, v, i (May 1997), 8-9. See also F. Belhachemi, 'L'itineraire d'une lignee issue de Sidi Muhammed al-Kunti al-Saghir (XVeme-XVIeme siecles) depuis le Sahara Occidental jusqu'au Damagaram', Revue de Geographie Alpine, Numero 'Special Niger' (1994). Journal of African History, Vol.39, No.3 COPYRIGHT 1998 Cambridge University Press (c) 1998 Information Access Company. All rights reserved. This article may only be stored on a computer network for a maximum of 30 days. Sources:IAC TRADE AND INDUSTRY DATABASE JOURNAL OF AFRICAN HISTORY 01/10/1998 <<...>> <<...>> <<...>>
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