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Are there alternatives? by Paul Riesz 02 May 2001 00:09 UTC |
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Dear Jan: "In a recent posting you said: While few people seem prepared to sacrifice capitalism's advantages, many yearn somehow to put up the shutters. But yielding to foes of global capitalism by restricting trade and investment would not end popular anxieties, many of which stem from technological change and other sources unrelated to globalisation. The only result would be impoverishment, above all of struggling economies, whose prospects hinge on improved access to world markets and foreign capital. No superior alternative to capitalism and an open global economy is on offer. I should be grateful for comments on the following ideas of mine on this subject Proposals for a fairer distribution of the benefits of globalization, plus some concrete ideas on how developing countries could make good use of the suggested changes. Regards Paul HOW THE BENEFITS OF GLOBALIZATION COULD BE DISTRIBUTED MORE FAIRLY In order to enable individual countries to carry out trade policies, well fitted to their needs, it would be necessary to find enough votes among the present members of the WTO, for a motion that would establish a double standard for belonging to this organization: REGULAR MEMBERSHIP for countries, who accept all the present rules and regulations of this body and ASSOCIATE MEMBERSHIP for countries wanting to negotiate special terms, according to their individual needs and degree of economic development. Since a citizen of Thailand has been chosen as the next president of the WTO and since developing countries command a majority of votes, such a motion should have a reasonable chance to succeed. Under such rules, the ASSOCIATE MEMBERS would have the right to protect certain sectors of their economy, which employ a great part of their workforce and are not (or not yet) capable to compete with imports. Some basic agricultural crops and industries such as textiles, shoes etc. might be among the protected sectors. On the other hand such countries would also want to have access to world markets for products in which they enjoy comparative advantages and would naturally have to offer a fair compensation for such privilege; e.g. the elimination of import duties for a number of goods, that might generate a volume of roughly similar value. Such a BALANCED international trade might seem to offer a fair deal for both sides. The pioneering country might also want to invite foreign investments in selected sectors, where such investments offer both a lot of well paying jobs and other benefits for the country and good profitability for the investors. Conditions on decent and slowly growing wages, workers protection and on safeguarding the environment could be established in the invitation or could be negotiated. The free withdrawal of yearly profits and conditions for a gradual repatriation of the investment itself should also be determined in beforehand. To make such investments desirable in spite of such limitations, compensations such as reductions on taxes or import duties or other positive incentives might be needed. As an example I have tried to imagine on how these proposals could work out in practice here in Chile. Chile has been very successful during a long period, through liberalizing its trade relations and relying mostly on exports for economic growth. Nevertheless some less beneficial results have appeared after the Asian economic crisis and are still with us several years later. Many jobs have been lost through industrial reorganizations and investments in new activities are lagging. The unemployment rate is now approaching 10 %, which is a major disaster in a country that has as yet no functioning unemployment insurance and no system of public welfare. When people lose their jobs, they might be able to go on for a little while, spending their very limited savings, but afterwards they have only 2 options to survive: BEGGING OR STEALING. But unemployment is not the only problem; while there are many VERY rich people, a great % of families can barely survive on what they earn. Under my proposals for "associate membership" Chile could apply the following measures: In order to protect the most vulnerable sectors of its economy against cheaper imports, higher customs duties or quotas and other non-tariff barriers could be established. Among industrial products, textiles and shoes might benefit most from such policies, creating jobs for many unemployed persons. At least the present number of workers could be maintained. As to other sectors, wheat and sugar beet farmers and cattlemen are most in need of protection. (see below for details). On the other hand Chile would want to not only preserve the markets for its export products, but to find also new ones for items with more added value. To achieve such goals Chile would have to negotiate with its trade partners, first of all with the many fully industrialized countries, who at present buy its copper, wine, fruits, wood-pulp, salmon etc. But since Chile also imports many industrial goods such as cars and computers from the US, Japan and Europe and many cheap consumer goods from China, a roughly balanced foreign trade would be beneficial for BOTH SIDES, therefore such negotiations should be relatively easy. To achieve similar results with other developing countries, such as Argentina, from which it imports great quantities of wheat and meat, would be more difficult, but with some imagination any emerging problems could also be overcome. Chile could temporarily raise some tariffs and impose some quotas on the items most resented by its farmers and cattlemen. Nevertheless, to really help them in the long run, they should be guided towards more specialized crops and breeds of animals or towards making better use of their forestry resources. Chile should also replace the present trend of allowing absolute freedom for the flow of capital, with fixed or negotiated conditions for withdrawing annual profits and the gradual repatriation of the capital itself, deemed to be equitable. The flow of purely speculative capital should be severely restricted. To encourage new investments in chosen sectors, in spite of such imitations, positive inducements, such as tax exemptions and/or granting exploitation rights for desirable mineral sites might be needed. One example: Using such inducements for attracting investors into adding more value to its copper, through transforming it HERE into cables, wire etc. would be especially beneficial. Similar measures should be used to encourage the industrial development of RENEWABLE energy sources, such as hydro ~, wind ~ and geothermal power.
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